Global Health Impacts for Economic Models of Climate Change: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Details

• Personal Author:
  Anenberg SC ; Balmes JR ; Cromar KR ; Ewart G ; Fawcett AA ; Ghazipura M ; Gohlke JM ; Hashizume M ; Howard P ; Lavigne E ; Levy K ; Madrigano J ; Martinich JA ; Mordecai EA ; Rice MB ; Saha S ; Scovronick NC ; Sekercioglu F ; Svendsen ER ; Zaitchik BF
• Description:
  Rationale: Avoiding excess health damages attributable to climate change is a primary motivator for policy interventions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, the health benefits of climate mitigation, as included in the policy assessment process, have been estimated without much input from health experts. Objectives: In accordance with recommendations from the National Academies in a 2017 report on approaches to update the social cost of greenhouse gases (SC-GHG), an expert panel of 26 health researchers and climate economists gathered for a virtual technical workshop in May 2021 to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis and recommend improvements to the estimation of health impacts in economic-climate models. Methods: Regionally resolved effect estimates of unit increases in temperature on net all-cause mortality risk were generated through random-effects pooling of studies identified through a systematic review. Results: Effect estimates and associated uncertainties varied by global region, but net increases in mortality risk associated with increased average annual temperatures (ranging from 0.1% to 1.1% per 1 degree C) were estimated for all global regions. Key recommendations for the development and utilization of health damage modules were provided by the expert panel and included the following: not relying on individual methodologies in estimating health damages; incorporating a broader range of cause-specific mortality impacts; improving the climate parameters available in economic models; accounting for socioeconomic trajectories and adaptation factors when estimating health damages; and carefully considering how air pollution impacts should be incorporated in economic-climate models. Conclusions: This work provides an example of how subject-matter experts can work alongside climate economists in making continued improvements to SC-GHG estimates. [Description provided by NIOSH]
• Subjects:
  Climate Change Economics Mortality Occupational Health Safety Temperature
• Keywords:
  Author Keywords: Climate Change Climate Change Economic Consequences Economic Models Global Health Mortality Mortality Rates Social Cost Of Greenhouse Gases Systematic Reviews Temperature Temperature Effects

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• ISSN:
  2329-6933
• Document Type:
  Text
• Funding:
  Grant
• Genre:
  Journal Article
• Place as Subject:
  California ; District of Columbia ; Georgia ; Maryland ; Massachusetts ; New York ; OSHA Region 1 ; OSHA Region 10 ; OSHA Region 2 ; OSHA Region 3 ; OSHA Region 4 ; OSHA Region 9 ; Virginia ; Washington
• CIO:
  National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH)
• Topic:
  Workplace Safety & Health
• Location:
  North America
• Volume:
  19
• Issue:
  7
• NIOSHTIC Number:
  nn:20067262
• Citation:
  Ann Am Thorac Soc 2022 Jul; 19(7):1203-1212
• Contact Point Address:
  Kevin R. Cromar, Ph.D., New York University, Marron Institute of Urban Management, 60 Fifth Avenue, 2nd Floor, New York, NY 10011
• Email:
  kevin.cromar@nyu.edu
• Federal Fiscal Year:
  2022
• Performing Organization:
  University of California, Berkeley
• Peer Reviewed:
  True
• Start Date:
  20050701
• Source Full Name:
  Annals of the American Thoracic Society
• End Date:
  20250630
• Collection(s):
  National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:8cc457751e2024eb9a6ae04a6e4a49149c29b08a009f4a57847ebc768115ae6729000c009e5dcdf96a888e7c74515bdada36109abefd7468d24955ec15d02a89
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/231375/cdc_231375_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 651.83 KB ]