Using “Exposure Prediction Rules” for Exposure Assessment: An Example on Whole-Body Vibration in Taxi Drivers
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2004/05/01
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Description:BACKGROUND: It is often difficult and expensive to make direct measurements of an individual's occupational or environmental exposures in large epidemiologic studies. METHODS: In this study, we used information collected in validation studies to develop a prediction rule for assessing exposure in a study with no direct measurement. We established a prediction rule through mixed-effect modeling of direct measurement data and information on observable exposure predictors and their interactions. Specifically, we used 383 measures of whole-body vibration from 247 professional taxi drivers and attempted to quantify vibration exposures for individuals in a large study on low back pain. RESULTS: Using the "jackknife method," we found that our prediction rule had an acceptably low relative prediction error of 11% (95% confidence interval-10-12%). Implementing the prediction rule would result in measurement errors independent of low back pain and of all identified and observable predictors of whole-body vibration. We applied the predicted levels to compute each person's daily exposure, and found a strong association between the predicted daily whole-body vibration exposure and prevalence of low back pain. This supported the construct validity of the exposure prediction rule. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive and construct validity of our prediction rule suggests that this general statistical approach can be useful in other occupational settings to improve the quality of exposure assessment. [Description provided by NIOSH]
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ISSN:1044-3983
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Pages in Document:293-299
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Volume:15
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Issue:3
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NIOSHTIC Number:nn:20054754
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Citation:Epidemiology 2004 May; 15(3):293-299
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Contact Point Address:David C. Christiani, Occupational Health Program, Harvard School of Public Health, Rm. 1402, HSPH-1, 655 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115
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Email:dchristi@hsph.harvard.edu
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Federal Fiscal Year:2004
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Performing Organization:Harvard School of Public Health
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Peer Reviewed:True
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Start Date:20030701
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Source Full Name:Epidemiology
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End Date:20050630
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:a860de8951d485d501a7c1b18e0e24af540978eadf0aa83e5424867c6d2b0ada0c50ae1c41c3b2c7c1e97bda84ec11fa6ea473c1979b7ad7a2d70c340191b728
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