Predictive Models with Pre-Cooling Interventions Can Minimize Heat Stress in Firefighters
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2014/10/09
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By Aljaroudi A
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Description:Objectives: The objectives of this pilot study were: i) develop a data driven model that can be used to predict if a firefighter would cross the threshold of industrial hyperthermia (core body temperature - CBT > 100.4 OF) during live-fire training, and ii) pilot test the utility of this model by implementing a proactive intervention: precooling to keep firefighters' CBT within "safe" limit. Design: A cross-sectional design was used in this study in order to test the utility of this model by implementing a proactive intervention: active pre-cooling to keep firefighters' CBT within "safe" limit. The independent variables are the amount of heat/cold exposure and physical activities. The dependent variables are the physiological responses (CBT,HR). Methods: Twenty-eight full time firefighters' CBT and heart rate (HR) were measured real time while undergoing a live-fire training consisting of three scenarios (Sc1, Sc2 and Sc3). Classification trees (CT) were used to predict the outcome variable (firefighter crossed the upper threshold of hyperthermia - Y/N). The predictor variables were: age, body mass index, baseline CBT, baseline HR and duration of each scenario. Three CT models were developed, one for predicting CBT response after each scenario. Twenty-eight CTs were developed by randomly leaving out one firefighters' data in each CT to assess the model's efficacy using "leave-one-out" method. Success rate was calculated as: 100*(number of correct classifications)/28. As a proactive intervention application, we first identified a firefighter who would reach hyperthermia as per the model and his CBT was predicted with a regression tree (RT). The firefighter was cooled (using a cooling vest) before the scenario for 14 minutes. Results: The success rate of CT models for Sc1, Sc2 and Sc3 were 43%, 61% and 89%, respectively. The CBT predicted using RT (101.35 degrees F) was higher than that observed after cooling (100.49 degrees F). Conclusions: The predictive model was successful for Sc3, moderately successful for Sc2 and unsuccessful for Sc1. We piloted the utility of predicting CBT response of firefighters through early identification of a firefighter with high risk of entering hyperthermia and implementing proactive cooling to reduce the CBT. Predictive models with pre-cooling interventions can minimize heat stress in firefighters. [Description provided by NIOSH]
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Pages in Document:1
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NIOSHTIC Number:nn:20052505
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Citation:15th Annual Pilot Research Project Symposium, University of Cincinnati Education and Research Center, October 9-10, 2014, Cincinnati, Ohio. Cincinnati, OH: University of Cincinnati, 2014 Oct; :1
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Email:aljaroai@mail.uc.edu
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Federal Fiscal Year:2015
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Performing Organization:University of Cincinnati
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Peer Reviewed:True
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Start Date:20050701
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Source Full Name:15th Annual Pilot Research Project Symposium, University of Cincinnati Education and Research Center, October 9-10, 2014, Cincinnati, Ohio
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End Date:20260630
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:8cef33af0dfba69805bcb2c14311a973baffb28660b9e114355519a65364eb4882c1b9b7d197379d0eda6b9173cb9f685c19aa8b1e7c2d2ca7ae7eda817d2f34
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