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Estimating the Exposure-Response Relationship Between Fine Mineral Dust Concentration and Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Using Speciated Particulate Matter Data: A Longitudinal Surveillance Study



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  • Description:
    Background: Coccidioidomycosis, caused by inhalation of Coccidioides spp. spores, is an emerging infectious disease that is increasing in incidence throughout the southwestern US. The pathogen is soil-dwelling, and spore dispersal and human exposure are thought to co-occur with airborne mineral dust exposures, yet fundamental exposure-response relationships have not been conclusively estimated. Objectives: We estimated associations between fine mineral dust concentration and coccidioidomycosis incidence in California from 2000 to 2017 at the census tract level, spatiotemporal heterogeneity in exposure-response, and effect modification by antecedent climate conditions. Methods: We acquired monthly census tract-level coccidioidomycosis incidence data and modeled fine mineral dust concentrations from 2000 to 2017. We fitted zero-inflated distributed-lag nonlinear models to estimate overall exposure-lag-response relationships and identified factors contributing to heterogeneity in exposure-responses. Using a random-effects meta-analysis approach, we estimated county-specific and pooled exposure-responses for cumulative exposures. Results: We found a positive exposure-response relationship between cumulative fine mineral dust exposure in the 1-3 months before estimated disease onset and coccidioidomycosis incidence across the study region [incidence rate ratio (IRR) for an increase from 0.1 to 1.1 µg/m3=1.60; 95% CI: 1.46, 1.74]. Positive, supralinear associations were observed between incidence and modeled fine mineral dust exposures 1 [IRR=1.13 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.17)], 2 [IRR=1.15 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.20)] and 3 [IRR=1.08 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.12)] months before estimated disease onset, with the highest exposures being particularly associated. The cumulative exposure-response relationship varied significantly by county [lowest IRR, western Tulare: 1.05 (95% CI: 0.54, 2.07); highest IRR, San Luis Obispo: 3.01 (95% CI: 2.05, 4.42)]. Season of exposure and prior wet winter were modest effect modifiers. Discussion: Lagged exposures to fine mineral dust were strongly associated with coccidioidomycosis incidence in the endemic regions of California from 2000 to 2017. [Description provided by NIOSH]
  • Subjects:
  • Keywords:
  • ISSN:
    0091-6765
  • Document Type:
  • Funding:
  • Genre:
  • Place as Subject:
  • CIO:
  • Topic:
  • Location:
  • Volume:
    133
  • Issue:
    1
  • NIOSHTIC Number:
    nn:20070601
  • Citation:
    Environ Health Perspect 2025 Jan; 133(1):17003
  • Contact Point Address:
    Justin V. Remais, Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
  • Email:
    jvr@berkeley.edu
  • Federal Fiscal Year:
    2025
  • Performing Organization:
    University of California, Berkeley
  • Peer Reviewed:
    True
  • Start Date:
    20050701
  • Source Full Name:
    Environmental Health Perspectives
  • End Date:
    20250630
  • Collection(s):
  • Main Document Checksum:
    urn:sha-512:beaad3acb79786568b98be71b07c414c9e074cc669972c4cb293d46dea6ac62722fcc72b7672525a949a657cf600d966c2dbe70852a6a829d328ef32bdc6eccf
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  • File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.62 MB ]
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