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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Jan. 23, 2024
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Feb. 14, 2024
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Description:Updated Feb. 14, 2024
Forecasted daily COVID-19 hospital admissions as of February 12, 2024
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s national ensemble predicts 790 to 6,200 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on March 11. Ensemble hospitalization estimates for the next four weeks are also available for states and territories.
• Publication of forecasts and recent hospitalization data for Texas has been delayed until a technical data issue can be investigated and resolved.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.
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