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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Jan. 23, 2024
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Jan. 23, 2024
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Description:Updated Jan. 23, 2024
Forecasted daily COVID-19 hospital admissions as of January 22, 2024
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s national ensemble predicts 750 to 9,000 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on February 19. Ensemble hospitalization estimates for the next four weeks are also available for states and territories.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.
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