COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Nov. 28, 2023
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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Nov. 28, 2023

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  • Corporate Authors:
    National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
  • Description:
    Updated Dec. 28, 2023

    Updated Dec. 28, 2023

    Forecasted daily COVID-19 hospital admissions as of December 25, 2023

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

    • This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of daily COVID-19 hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend, with 1,400 to 8,700 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on January 22.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, the number of daily COVID-19 hospital admissions will likely decrease in 1 jurisdiction, as indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future hospitalizations are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

    • Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.

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  • Place as Subject:
    United States
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