COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated August 1, 2023
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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated August 1, 2023

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  • Corporate Authors:
    National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
  • Description:
    Updated Aug. 15, 2023

    Forecasted new COVID-19 hospital admissions as of August 14, 2023.

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

    • This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of daily COVID-19 hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend, with 860 to 7,000 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on September 11.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, the number of daily COVID-19 hospital admissions will likely increase in 1 jurisdiction, as indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future hospitalizations are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

    • Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.

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    United States
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