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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated May 11, 2023
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May 11, 2023
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Description:Updated May 11, 2023
Reported and forecasted new COVID-19 hospital admissions as of May 8, 2023.
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of daily COVID-19 hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend, with 160 to 4,400 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on June 5.
• The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, trends in numbers of future hospitalizations are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in all states and territories.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.
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