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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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Sept. 14, 2022
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Description:Updated Sept. 14, 2022
Reported and forecasted new COVID-19 hospital admissions as of September 12, 2022.
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of new daily confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend, with 1,300 to 7,700 new confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on October 7, 2022.
• The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in all states and territories.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.
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