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Forecasts of flu hospitalizations : reported and forecasted new influenza hospitalizations as of May 9, 2022 [national forecasts]
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May 10, 2022
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Source: FluSight
[PDF-296.08 KB]
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Description:Updated May 10, 2022
Interpretation of National Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
Interpretation of National Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend nationally, with 1,800 to 4,600 new confirmed influenza hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending June 4, 2022.
• This week, 16 modeling groups contributed one or more forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the new hospitalization ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. Contributing teams are listed below.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. They have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance for previous influenza and COVID-19 forecasts, but even the ensemble forecasts may not reliably predict rapid changes in the trends.
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