Conceived and designed the experiments: AMF MC DDE DJO HCB. Performed the experiments: MC HCB TCTP RKD PS ST PA WS JF DDE SJO. Analyzed the data: AMF HCB DDE MC TCTP SJO. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: TCTP RKD PS ST PA WS DDE HCB. Wrote the paper: AMF HCB JF SAM DDE SJO.
Current address: Stimson Center, Washington, D.C., United States of America
We describe the epidemiology of hospitalized RSV infections for all age groups from population-based surveillance in two rural provinces in Thailand.
From September 1, 2003 through December 31, 2007, we enrolled hospitalized patients with acute lower respiratory tract illness, who had a chest radiograph ordered by the physician, from all hospitals in SaKaeo and Nakhom Phanom Provinces. We tested nasopharyngeal specimens for RSV with reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assays and paired-sera from a subset of patients with IgG enzyme immunoassay. Rates were adjusted for enrollment.
Among 11,097 enrolled patients, 987 (8.9%) had RSV infection. Rates of hospitalized RSV infection overall (and radiographically-confirmed pneumonia) were highest among children aged <1 year: 1,067/100,000 (534/100,000 radiographically-confirmed pneumonia) and 1–4 year: 403/100,000 (222/100,000), but low among enrolled adults aged ≥65 years: 42/100,000. Age <1 year (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 13.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 7.7, 22.5) and 1–4 year (aOR = 8.3, 95% CI 5.0, 13.9) were independent predictors of hospitalized RSV infection.
The incidence of hospitalized RSV lower respiratory tract illness among children <5 years was high in rural Thailand. Efforts to prevent RSV infection could substantially reduce the pneumonia burden in children aged <5 years.
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common cause of hospitalized respiratory illness among children <5 years of age in industrialized countries and a common pathogen identified among hospitalized children in developing countries
In 2003, active surveillance for hospitalized pneumonia was initiated in two provinces in Thailand, Sa Kaeo and Nakhon Phanom provinces, with the goal of detecting and describing the burden and characteristics of pathogens causing pneumonia
RT-PCR assays used in this study to test for RSV included: 1) an automated fluorescent capillary electrophoresis-based RT-PCR (fceRT-PCR)
A detailed description of the population-based surveillance system for clinical pneumonia in all eight hospitals in Sa Kaeo Province and all 12 hospitals in Nakhon Phanom Province, Thailand has been published
Nasopharyngeal (NP) swabs in viral transport media and acute- and convalescent-phase serum specimens were collected, transported, processed and stored as described elsewhere
We calculated crude and age-specific (<1, 1–4, 5–19, 20–49, 50–64, ≥65 years) incidence for RSV infections using population estimates from Thailand's National Economic and Social Development Board 18 for the period January 1, 2004 through December 31, 2007. Because not all patients eligible for our study chose to participate, we determined a crude incidence and an estimated adjusted incidence to account for RSV cases in eligible patients who did not enroll. For the adjusted incidence we assumed the proportion of RSV infections in the enrolled patients was the same as the proportion of infections among all eligible patients; the number of eligible pneumonia patients in each age group was multiplied by the age-specific proportion of RSV-infected patients and divided by the population estimates. RSV infections with other viral co-infections were included in incidence estimates; we assumed that RSV contributed to illness. Confidence intervals for adjusted incidence estimates were estimated using the 95% confidence intervals of the proportion of RSV positive tests assuming a binomial distribution.
We compared characteristics of patients with radiographically-confirmed pneumonia associated with RSV infections to patients with radiographically-confirmed pneumonia with negative RSV testing results. We also compared patients with RSV infection who had a chest radiograph that was not consistent pneumonia to RSV negative patients without pneumonia. Dichotomous variables were compared by chi-square test and included in an unconditional logistic regression model if p<0.1. Interaction terms and effect modification were ruled out. All analysis was performed in SAS (version 9.1, SAS institute, Cary, NC). Two-tailed P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. The data set for this analysis was finalized September 2009.
All participants were informed of the study objectives and written consent was obtained. This study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Internal Review Board and the Thailand Ministry of Public Health Internal Review Board.
During September 1, 2003 - December 31, 2007, 41,761 patient admissions were identified with acute lower respiratory tract disease in Sa Kaeo and Nakhon Phanom Provinces. Of these, 22,857 (55%) received a chest radiograph and were eligible for enrollment and 11,097 (49%) were enrolled. Among enrolled patients, 987 (8.9%) had a positive diagnostic test for RSV. During September 1, 2003 – August 31, 2005, when serology was performed on specimens from enrolled patients from Sa Kaeo Province, 44 (25%) of the 175 RSV infections were only detected by serology. Conversely, 62 (35%) RSV infections were detected only by RT-PCR and 54 (31%) were detected by both methods. The proportion of RSV infections only detected by serology was highest among older children and adults (≥65 years 4/8 [50%], 50–64 years: 1/1 [100%], 20–49 years: 3/10 [30%], 5–19 years: 8/15 [53%], 1–4 years: 24/102 [24%], <1 year: 4/39 [10%]).
Among all enrolled patients, most hospitalized RSV infections occurred among young children (
2004 data are only from Sa Kaeo Province. Inset shows adjusted incidence values for age groups, 5–19 years, 20–49 years, 50–64 years, and ≥65 years.
| Age group | Enrolled/Eligible No./No. (%) | Enrolled patients with RSV No. (% of enrolled) | Enrolled patients with CXR confirmed pneumonia No (% of enrolled) | CXR confirmed pneumonia with RSV No (% of patients with CXR pneumonia) | Crude incidence CXR confirmed RSV pneumonia | Adjusted incidence CXR confirmed RSV pneumonia (95% CI) | Crude incidence RSV hospitalization among enrolled patients | Adjusted incidence RSV hospitalization among enrolled patients (95% CI) |
| 1–11 mo | 1313/2723 (49) | 294 (22) | 601 (46) | 148 (25) | 257 | 547 (464, 630) | 524 | 1,087 (977, 1196) |
| 1–4 yrs | 2790/5250 (53) | 505 (18) | 1333 (48) | 277 (21) | 120 | 223 (198, 248) | 216 | 406 (374, 438) |
| 5–19 yrs | 1069/1954 (55) | 55 (5) | 387 (36) | 25 (6.5) | 2.2 | 4.0 (2.4, 5.5) | 4.8 | 8.7 (6.5, 11) |
| 20–49 yrs | 1616/3617 (45) | 33 (2) | 698 (43) | 16 (2.3) | 0.8 | 1.8 (0.9, 2.6) | 1.6 | 3.6 (2.4, 4.9) |
| 50–64 yrs | 1509/3034 (50) | 24 (2) | 651 (43) | 12 (1.8) | 2.1 | 4.3 (1.9, 6.8) | 4.3 | 8.6 (5.2, 12) |
| ≥65 yrs | 2577/5669 (45) | 48 (2) | 1189 (46) | 20 (1.7) | 7.5 | 16 (0.3, 24) | 18 | 39 (28, 50) |
| Total | 10,868/22,247 (49) | 959 (9) | 4850 (45) | 498 (10) | 12 | 24 (22, 26) | 22 | 46 (43, 48) |
CXR = chest radiograph, CI = confidence intervals.
Among patients with radiographically-confirmed RSV pneumonia during January 1, 2004 through December 31, 2007, 46 had co-infections with other viruses, including one with HPIV1, five with HPIV3, 16 with adenovirus, 15 with influenza A or B viruses, and nine with HMPV. These patients were included in RSV incidence calculations.
Among enrolled children <5 years of age during 2004 though 2007, infection with RSV was most common among children aged 0–5 months (120/548 [22%]) and 6–11 months (167/741 [23%]). RSV infection was also common for each subsequent year of age, 12–23 months (251/1315 [19%]), 2 years (148/778 [19%]), 3 years (68/416 [16%]), and 4 years (36/272 [13%]) of age.
Independent risk factors for RSV infection among patients with radiographically-confirmed pneumonia included young age (
| RSV pneumonia vs. non-RSV pneumonia | RSV respiratory illness without pneumonia vs. non-RSV respiratory illness without pneumonia | |
| Adjusted OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | |
| Age group0–11 months1–4 years5–19 years20–49 years50–64 years≥65 years | 11.4 (6.6, 19.8)8.3 (4.9, 14.1)2.5 (1.3, 4.8)Referent0.8 (0.4, 1.8)0.8 (0.4, 1.7) | 13.2 (7.7, 22.5)8.3 (5.0, 13.9)2.3 (1.2, 4.2)Referent0.9 (0.4, 1.9)1.3 (0.7, 2.4) |
| Temperature ≥38C | 1.7 (1.3, 2.2) | 2.6 (2.0, 3.3) |
| Tachypnea | 1.4 (1.1, 1.8) | 1.1 (0.8, 1.5) |
| Wheezing | 0.8 (0.6, 1.0) | 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) |
| Month of admissionJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember | 1.9 (0.6, 5.8)1.4 (0.5, 4.0)1.2 (0.4, 3.5)1.2 (0.4, 4.0)2.1 (0.7, 7.4)11.4 (4.4,29)21.3 (8.4, 53.8)12.0 (4.8, 30.5)9.4 (3.7, 23.8)4.7 (1.8, 12.4)2.4 (0.9, 7.1)Referent | 1.2 (0.2, 7.1)2.7 (0.6, 12.6)1.9 (0.4, 9.2)3.4 (0.7, 16.9)4.4 (0.9, 20.3)13.1 (3.1, 55.0)37.2 (9.1, 153.3)27.7 (6.7, 114.3)16.7 (4.0, 68.8)11.3 (2.7, 47.6)5.3 (1.2, 23.2)Referent |
Age-specific tachypnea = ≥50/min if <12 months; ≥40/min if 1–4 years; >24/min if 5–9 years; >22/min if 10–14 years; >20/min if ≥15 years.
Among the 520 hospitalized patients with radiographically-confirmed RSV pneumonia, 67 (13%) had signs of consolidation, 413 (79%) had interstitial infiltrates, and 153 (29%) patients had alveolar infiltrates (no category was mutually exclusive).
Overall, 247 in-hospital deaths were reported for enrolled hospitalized patients during the four year study period; three deaths occurred among patients with RSV infection (one in a child aged 1–4 years and two in adults aged 20–49 year). Among patients with radiographically-confirmed pneumonia 179 (72%) deaths occurred, 83 (46%) among persons >65 years, 35 (20%) among persons 50–64 years, 46 (26%) among persons 20–29 years, 4 (2.2%) among persons 5–19 years, 6 (3.4%) among children 1–4 years and 5 (2.8%) among children <1 year. One of the 179 pneumonia deaths was associated with RSV infection in a 1-year old child. Two additional fatalities occurred among patients with RSV infection without radiographically-confirmed pneumonia, both were adults 20–49 years of age.
During the period under surveillance, RSV circulation appeared to peak between June and October (
Among 225 available specimens with a positive RT-PCR test for RSV, 147 (65%) were group A, 49 (22%) were group B, and 29 (13%) had a negative typing test. During two RSV peak circulation periods, both group A and B RSV viruses circulated (data not shown).
There were no differences between patients with group A RSV infection versus group B infection with regard to fever (A:108 [78%] vs. B:13 [68%]), mechanical ventilation (A:0 vs. B:0), death (A:0 vs. B:0), or age-specific tachypnea (A:90 [98%] vs. B:12 [67%]). Patients with infection with group B RSV were more likely to present with wheezing (A:29 [21%] vs. B:10 [52%], Fisher's exact p = .008), were more commonly adults ≥65 years of age (A:2 [1.5%] vs. B:4 [21%]) and less commonly children aged 1–4 years (A:87 [63%] vs. B:6 [32%], X2 p = .004). There were no differences among the other age groups.
We demonstrated a substantial burden of RSV-associated pneumonia among children in two rural Provinces in Thailand during the study period; 1 in 187 children aged 1–11 months and 1 in 450 children aged 1–4 years were hospitalized annually for radiographically-confirmed RSV pneumonia. RSV accounted for 25% of hospitalized radiographically-confirmed pneumonia among children <1 year of age and 21% among children 1–4 years of age. In addition, RSV caused an almost equal number of additional hospitalizations among children for lower respiratory tract illnesses that were not radiographically-proven pneumonia. Age <1 year and 1–4 years were strong predictors of RSV-associated illness. In contrast, <2% of enrolled adults ≥65 years of age had RSV infection.
There are few population-based studies that report rates of RSV-associated radiographically-confirmed pneumonia. Our adjusted rate of RSV radiographically-confirmed pneumonia for all adults (3.6/100,000) was higher than that reported in the United States in the 1990s (1.6/100,000); however, we used a more sensitive assay, RT-PCR
To facilitate comparison of our rates with other reports that capture all hospitalized RSV infections (pneumonia, bronchiolitis, etc), we estimated the number of RSV acute lower respiratory tract infections that we missed by limiting our enrollment to patients who had a chest radiograph within 48 hours of admission and added these patients to our incidence estimates. The proportion of RSV infections among hospitalized children aged <5 years who met the case definition for acute lower respiratory tract illness but did not have a chest radiograph was 11% (HC Baggett, personal communication). Combining patients with and without a chest radiograph our estimated rate of hospitalized RSV acute lower respiratory tract infection among children <5 years would be 883/100,000. This crude estimation is consistent with rates for RSV-associated hospitalizations and severe disease among children aged <5 years reported in a recently published system review
Prevention and treatment of childhood pneumonia are important components of the vision of the Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia (GAPP)
We demonstrated annual peaks in RSV circulation occurring between July and October in Thailand. Patients admitted to a hospital with lower respiratory tract illness during these months were more likely to have RSV infection compared to patients with a negative RSV test. These peak months are similar to reports from other countries with tropical and subtropical climates
Unlike previous reports
Our results are limited by some potential biases. We likely underestimated the incidence of hospitalized RSV infections. We did not enroll hospitalized patients who met the clinical case definition for acute lower respiratory illness but did not have a chest radiograph ordered within 48 hours of admission; we may have missed cases of bronchiolitis. Also, serology was performed for a limited time in one province but added a substantial number of cases during that time period. The lack of serology testing for the remainder of the study period likely reduced the number of RSV infections that we detected. This is especially true for older children and adults where approximately 50% of infections were only detected by serology when both RT-PCR and serology were performed. We did not adjust for the lack of serology in later years due to the small number of older children and adults who had both serology and RT-PCR performed. Very young children and very ill patients were less likely to enroll in the etiology study (H. Baggett, personal communication). Thus, we may have underestimated infections among children <6 months of age, and we likely underestimated the number of deaths, especially pediatric deaths.
The burden of hospitalized RSV-associated pneumonia and other RSV-associated lower respiratory tract illness among children <5 years was substantial in rural Thailand. Efforts to inexpensively and effectively prevent and treat RSV infection in children <5 years of age, including development of effective vaccines and treatment modalities could substantially reduce the global number of pediatric pneumonias and respiratory hospitalizations
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We would like to thank Brett Whitaker, Melisa Willby, and George Gallucci (CDC; Atlanta), Pathom Sawanpanyalert (Thailand NIH), and Susan Maloney (International Emerging Infections Program, Thai MOPH-U.S.CDC Collaboration) for their technical assistance; Sununta Henchaichon (IEIP research nurse), Suchada Kaewchana (IEIP research nurse), Prasong Srisaengchai.and the surveillance officers and research nurses in Sa Kaeo and Nakhon Phanom Province, Thailand for their dedication and hard work.
Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the funding agency.