Conceived and designed the experiments: AG IHH. Performed the experiments: AG XW. Analyzed the data: AG IHH TD XW. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: AG IHH TD. Wrote the paper: AG IHH. Revised drafts: AG. Provided critical feedback on drafts: IHH TD. Contributed to revisions: IHH TD XW.
The timeliness of HIV diagnosis and the initiation of antiretroviral treatment are major determinants of survival for HIV-infected people. Injection drug users (IDUs) are less likely than persons in other transmission categories to seek early HIV counseling, testing, and treatment. Our objective was to estimate the proportion of IDUs with a late HIV diagnosis (AIDS diagnosis within 12 months of HIV diagnosis) and determine the factors associated with disease progression after HIV diagnosis.
Using data from 33 states with confidential name-based HIV reporting, we determined the proportion of IDUs aged ≥13 years who received a late HIV diagnosis during 1996–2004. We used standardized Kaplan-Meier survival methods to determine differences in time of progression from HIV to AIDS and death, by race/ethnicity, sex, age group, CD4+ T-cell count, metropolitan residence, and diagnosis year. We compared the survival of IDUs with the survival of persons in other transmission categories. During 1996–2004, 42.2% (11,635) of 27,572 IDUs were diagnosed late. For IDUs, the risk for progression from HIV to AIDS 3 years after HIV diagnosis was greater for nonwhites, males and older persons. Three-year survival after HIV diagnosis was lower for IDU males (87.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI), 87.1–87.4) compared with males exposed through male-to-male sexual contact (91.6%, 95% CI, 91.6–91.7) and males exposed through high-risk heterosexual contact (HRHC) (91.9%, 95% CI, 91.8–91.9). Survival was also lower for IDU females (89.5%, 95% CI, 89.4–89.6) compared to HRHC females (93.3%, 95% CI, 93.3–93.4).
A substantial proportion of IDUs living with HIV received their HIV diagnosis late. To improve survival of IDUs, HIV prevention efforts must ensure early access to HIV testing and care, as well as encourage adherence to antiretroviral treatment to slow disease progression.
Although mortality has decreased significantly and the prognosis for HIV patients has improved since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART)
In 1994, CDC implemented a uniform system for national surveillance of HIV infection integrated with AIDS surveillance, and 25 states with confidential name-based HIV infection reporting started submitting case reports to the CDC. Over time, additional areas implemented confidential name-based HIV infection reporting and started submitting data to CDC. For our analyses, data were available from 33 states (Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming). We analyzed cases in adults and adolescents, aged 13 years and older, for whom HIV diagnosis was made during 1996–2004 and who were reported to CDC through June 2007 from the 33 states. Persons with HIV infection were defined as those who had received a diagnosis of HIV with or without a diagnosis of AIDS at the time of HIV diagnosis. HIV diagnosis was considered late if an AIDS diagnosis was made <12 months after the HIV diagnosis
To understand patterns in diseases progression, we examined the time from the diagnosis of HIV infection to the time of diagnosis of AIDS among the adolescent and adult HIV-infected IDUs who received a diagnosis of HIV infection during 1996–2004. First, we determined the proportion of IDUs whose diagnosis of AIDS was made within 12 months after HIV diagnosis; then we compared the proportion of IDUs with the proportions of persons in other transmission categories (chi-square test,
We used a standardized Kaplan-Meier survival method
Using data from 33 states, we determined the survival of adolescents and adults for whom HIV infection was diagnosed during 1996–2004. Cases were followed up through December 31, 2005 (i.e., censored), for deaths reported through June 30, 2007 (allowing 2.5 years for deaths to have been reported). Individuals without a death report at censoring date were assumed to be alive.
First, we determined survival among IDUs and then compared their survival with the survival of persons in other transmission categories. To determine the factors associated with survival among IDUs, we stratified IDUs by race/ethnicity, sex, age group, CD4+ T-cell count, concurrent diagnosis of HIV and AIDS (this variable measures severity of disease at diagnosis), metropolitan residence, and diagnosis year. The categories for CD4+ T-cell count at HIV diagnosis (first CD4+ T-cell count reported within 6 months after diagnosis) were: <50, 50–99, 100–199, and ≥200/µL (categories used in earlier prognostic models
Of the 27,572 cases of HIV infection diagnosed among IDUs in the 33 states during 1996–2004, HIV infection in 57.8% did not progress to AIDS within 12 months after HIV diagnosis (
| Race/ethnicity | No | % | Percent without AIDS 1 year after HIV diagnosis | Percent without AIDS 3 years after HIV diagnosis | ||
| % | 95% CI | % | 95% CI | |||
| White | 7,229 | 26.2 | 57.0 | 56.5 , 57.5 | 49.9 | 49.6 , 50.2 |
| Black | 15,616 | 56.6 | 57.7 | 57.1 , 58.2 | 48.9 | 48.5 , 49.2 |
| Hispanic | 4,456 | 16.2 | 57.3 | 56.8 , 57.8 | 48.3 | 47.8 , 48.8 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 57 | 0.2 | 47.3 | — | 39.3 | — |
| American Indian/Alaska Native | 214 | 0.8 | 49.9 | 49.7 , 50.0 | 41.4 | — |
| Male | 17,927 | 65.0 | 54.5 | 54.1 , 55.0 | 46.2 | 45.9 , 46.6 |
| Female | 9,645 | 35.0 | 63.9 | 63.4 , 64.4 | 54.9 | 54.5 , 55.2 |
| 13–24 | 1,339 | 4.9 | 79.8 | 79.5 , 80.1 | 71.7 | — |
| 25–34 | 5,942 | 21.6 | 64.8 | 64.1 , 65.5 | 55.9 | 55.5 , 56.4 |
| 35–44 | 11,718 | 42.5 | 55.9 | 55.2 , 56.5 | 47.3 | 46.9 , 47.6 |
| 45–54 | 7,148 | 25.9 | 51.7 | 51.1 , 52.3 | 43.2 | 42.7 , 43.7 |
| ≥55 | 1,425 | 5.2 | 46.6 | 45.9 , 47.3 | 38.2 | 37.6 , 38.8 |
| <50,000 | 2,502 | 9.1 | 58.1 | 57.1 , 59.0 | 49.8 | 49.5 , 50.1 |
| 50,000–499,999 | 4,278 | 15.5 | 57.6 | 57.1 , 58.2 | 50.5 | 50.0 , 50.9 |
| 500,000–2,499,999 | 14,096 | 51.1 | 57.4 | 56.9 , 58.0 | 49.0 | 48.7 , 49.4 |
| ≥2.5 million | 6,696 | 24.3 | 57.5 | 56.8 , 58.2 | 48.0 | 47.7 , 48.3 |
| 1996 | 3,315 | 12.0 | 54.1 | 53.2 , 55.0 | 46.2 | 45.6 , 46.8 |
| 1997 | 2,676 | 9.7 | 54.4 | 53.3 , 55.5 | 46.6 | 45.8 , 47.4 |
| 1998 | 2,221 | 8.1 | 55.1 | 54.2 , 56.0 | 48.5 | 47.9 , 49.2 |
| 1999 | 2,834 | 10.3 | 56.3 | 55.2 , 57.4 | 47.3 | 46.8 , 47.8 |
| 2000 | 3,289 | 11.9 | 56.9 | 55.9 , 57.8 | 48.2 | 47.6 , 48.8 |
| 2001 | 4,430 | 16.1 | 59.4 | 58.4 , 60.4 | 51.0 | 50.5 , 51.5 |
| 2002 | 3,449 | 12.5 | 59.9 | 58.9 , 61.0 | 50.7 | 49.8 , 51.7 |
| 2003 | 2,872 | 10.4 | 59.2 | 57.9 , 60.4 | ||
| 2004 | 2,486 | 9.0 | 56.8 | 55.6 , 57.9 | ||
Estimates are from standardized Kaplan-Meier analyses, adjusted for all other factors shown in the table. Data reported to CDC through June 2007. Dash indicates data not presented because the variance for the estimate is zero.
Among HIV-infected IDUs, a larger proportion of males (45.5%) than females (36.1%) received a late diagnosis (
At 3 years, HIV infection in IDUs was least likely to have progressed to AIDS in whites, compared with blacks, Hispanics, Asians/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives (
Of 232,685 persons in 33 states who received a diagnosis of HIV infection (with or without concurrent AIDS) during 1996–2004, 27,027 (11.6%) had IDU-associated HIV diagnoses. Fewer IDUs, compared with persons who had other identified risk factors, survived 3 years after HIV diagnosis (
| Transmission category | No | % | Probability of surviving 1 year after HIV | Probability of surviving 3 years after HIV | ||
| % | 95% CI | % | 95% CI | |||
| Male-to-male sexual contact | 82,673 | 35.5 | 95.2 | 95.2 , 95.3 | 91.6 | 91.6 , 91.7 |
| Injection drug use | ||||||
| Male | 17,528 | 7.5 | 93.2 | 93.1 , 93.4 | 87.3 | 87.1 , 87.4 |
| Female | 9,498 | 4.1 | 95.1 | 95.0 , 95.3 | 89.5 | 89.4 , 89.6 |
| Male-to-male sexual contact and injection drug use | 7,616 | 3.3 | 95.5 | 95.5 , 95.6 | 90.7 | 90.6 , 90.8 |
| High-risk heterosexual contact | ||||||
| Male | 18,670 | 8.0 | 95.7 | 95.6 , 95.8 | 91.9 | 91.8 , 91.9 |
| Female | 33,708 | 14.5 | 96.8 | 96.7 , 96.9 | 93.3 | 93.3 , 93.4 |
| Unknown/other | ||||||
| Male | 38,837 | 16.7 | 92.4 | 92.3 , 92.5 | 88.1 | 88.1 , 88.2 |
| Female | 24,155 | 10.4 | 94.8 | 94.7 , 94.9 | 90.9 | 90.8 , 91.0 |
Diagnosis of HIV infection with or without a concurrent diagnosis of AIDS.
| Race/ethnicity | No | % | Probability of surviving 1 year after HIV | Probability of surviving 3 years after HIV | ||
| % | 95% CI | % | 95% CI | |||
| White | 7,089 | 26.2 | 93.3 | 93.2 , 93.5 | 87.1 | 86.9 , 87.3 |
| Black | 15,312 | 56.7 | 92.8 | 92.6 , 93.0 | 85.8 | 85.6 , 85.9 |
| Hispanic | 4,360 | 16.1 | 94.3 | 94.2 , 94.5 | 88.1 | 88.0 , 88.3 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 57 | 0.2 | 97.9 | — | 97.9 | — |
| American Indian/Alaska Native | 209 | 0.8 | 94.1 | — | 82.8 | — |
| Male | 17,528 | 64.9 | 92.7 | 92.6 , 92.8 | 85.9 | 85.8 , 86.1 |
| Female | 9,498 | 35.1 | 93.8 | 93.7 , 93.9 | 87.1 | 87.0 , 87.2 |
| 13–24 | 1,332 | 4.9 | 98.4 | 98.3 , 98.5 | ||
| 25–34 | 5,893 | 21.8 | 95.9 | 95.8 , 96.0 | 91.1 | 91.0 , 91.2 |
| 35–44 | 11,508 | 42.6 | 93.4 | 93.2 , 93.6 | 86.7 | 86.5 , 86.9 |
| 45–54 | 6,924 | 25.6 | 91.6 | 91.3 , 91.8 | 82.3 | 82.1 , 82.5 |
| ≥55 | 1,370 | 5.1 | 84.2 | 84.0 , 84.4 | 75.6 | 75.4 , 75.8 |
| <50 | 3,516 | 13.0 | 81.6 | 81.2 , 82.0 | 69.0 | 68.7 , 69.4 |
| 50–99 | 1,582 | 5.9 | 85.4 | 85.3 , 85.5 | 74.8 | 74.7 , 74.8 |
| 100–199 | 2,900 | 10.7 | 93.1 | 92.8 , 93.4 | 84.2 | 84.1 , 84.3 |
| ≥200 | 643 | 2.4 | 95.8 | 95.7 , 95.8 | 89.2 | 89.1 , 89.2 |
| Unknown | 18,386 | 68.0 | 94.1 | 93.9 , 94.3 | 88.2 | 88.0 , 88.3 |
| Yes | 6,656 | 24.6 | 84.9 | 84.5 , 85.2 | 75.1 | 75.0 , 75.2 |
| No | 20,371 | 75.4 | 94.4 | 94.2 , 94.5 | 87.9 | 87.7 , 88.0 |
| <50,000 | 2,453 | 9.1 | 94.4 | 94.1 , 94.6 | 89.5 | 89.4 , 89.7 |
| 50,000–499,999 | 4,214 | 15.6 | 93.6 | 93.3 , 93.8 | 87.3 | 87.1 , 87.5 |
| 500,000–2,499,999 | 13,806 | 51.1 | 92.8 | 92.7 , 93.0 | 85.9 | 85.8 , 86.1 |
| ≥2.5 million | 6,554 | 24.2 | 93.3 | 93.0 , 93.5 | 86.5 | 86.4 , 86.7 |
| 1996 | 3,254 | 12.0 | 92.2 | 91.8 , 92.6 | 84.2 | 83.9 , 84.4 |
| 1997 | 2,629 | 9.7 | 93.0 | 92.7 , 93.4 | 85.4 | 85 , 85.8 |
| 1998 | 2,178 | 8.1 | 92.6 | 92.3 , 92.9 | 85.6 | 85.2 , 86.0 |
| 1999 | 2,769 | 10.2 | 93.2 | 92.9 , 93.6 | 86.2 | 85.9 , 86.5 |
| 2000 | 3,225 | 11.9 | 93.3 | 93.1 , 93.5 | 86.5 | 86.2 , 86.8 |
| 2001 | 4,325 | 16.0 | 93.4 | 93.2 , 93.6 | 87.2 | 86.9 , 87.5 |
| 2002 | 3,380 | 12.5 | 93.8 | 93.6 , 94.1 | 87.9 | 87.6 , 88.2 |
| 2003 | 2,822 | 10.4 | 93.9 | 93.6 , 94.2 | ||
| 2004 | 2,444 | 9.0 | 93.3 | 92.9 , 93.7 | ||
Estimates are from standardized Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, adjusted for all other factors shown in the table.
Diagnosis of HIV infection with or without a concurrent diagnosis of AIDS.
Dash indicates data not presented because the variance for the estimate is zero.
Despite the well-known benefits of early detection and the availability of treatment for HIV infection, 42.2% of HIV-infected IDUs received a diagnosis of AIDS within 12 months after receiving a diagnosis of HIV infection. IDUs whose diagnosis is made late in the course of HIV infection may unknowingly transmit infection and once diagnosed may have worse outcomes. In our analysis we found that survival among IDUs was shorter than among other HIV risk groups. The proportion of IDUs who did not progress to AIDS 3 years after HIV infection was lower among men. IDUs with a diagnosis of HIV at older ages or with more severe disease (lower CD4+ T-cell count at AIDS diagnosis) had shorter survival.
Our results were consistent with earlier findings of shorter survival after HIV diagnosis among IDUs compared with persons in other transmission categories
Shorter survival among IDUs may also be linked to late testing. A large proportion of IDUs learned of their HIV infection late in the course of disease, reducing optimal benefit from new therapeutic strategies, which remains a major public health issue. In an HIV testing study of persons at high risk for HIV infection, researchers found that the main reasons for not being tested were denial of HIV risk factors and fear of being HIV-positive
Similar to earlier analyses
Our analyses are subject to several limitations. Although our data represent the largest set of available population-based data on HIV-infected persons, the data from 33 states may not be nationally representative, and it is not known whether the results can be extrapolated to the United States as a whole. However, all states and the District of Columbia have now implemented confidential name-based HIV reporting. The increased number of name-based reporting states will allow a more accurate description of the size of the population of HIV-infected IDUs and the determinants of disease severity. Risk factor information was missing for 27.1% of the persons with a diagnosis of HIV infection, so the data could not be included in our analysis. We also found that a large proportion of HIV-infected persons did not have a reported CD4+ T-cell count, which may reflect a lack of access to care or differences in reporting (e.g., state laws requiring laboratories to report). Finally, special research should be undertaken to better understand the reasons for late HIV testing (routine surveillance does not collect information about the reasons for late HIV testing).
In summary, we found that for large proportions of HIV-infected IDUs, diagnosis was made late in the disease process and HIV infection progressed to AIDS within 3 years. Also, survival among IDUs was shorter than among other HIV risk groups. These findings suggest that public health and medical services need to be improved to better target interventions for prolonging the lifespan of IDUs living with HIV infection, in addition to primary HIV prevention initiatives.
The authors thank Marie Morgan for editorial assistance.
Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.