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Cost-effectiveness analysis of hepatocellular carcinoma screening by combinations of ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein among Alaska Native people, 1983–2012

Filetype[PDF-356.71 KB]


  • English

  • Details:

    • Alternative Title:
      Int J Circumpolar Health
    • Description:
      Background

      The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) recommends semi-annual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening using ultrasound (U.S.) in persons with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus infection at high risk for HCC such as Asian males aged ≥40 years and Asian females aged ≥50 years

      Objective

      To analyze the cost-effectiveness of 2 HCC screening methods in the Alaska Native (AN) health system: US-alone, or screening by alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) initially and switching to US for subsequent screenings if AFP >10 ng/mL (AFP→US)

      Design

      A spreadsheet-based model was developed for accounting the costs of 2 hypothetical HCC screening methods We used epidemiologic data from a cohort of 839 AN persons with CHB who were offered HCC screening by AFP/US semi-annually during 1983–2012 We assumed that compared with AFP→US, US-alone identifies 33% more tumors at an early stage (defined as a single tumor ≤5 cm or ≤3 tumors ≤3 cm in diameter) Years of life gained (YLG) attributed to screening was estimated by comparing additional years of survival among persons with early- compared with late-stage tumors Screening costs were calculated using Medicare reimbursement rates in 2012 Future screening costs and YLG were projected over a 30-year time horizon using a 3% discount rate

      Results

      The total cost of screening for the cohort by AFP→US would have been approximately $357,000 ($36,000/early-stage tumor detected) compared to $814,000 ($59,000/early-stage tumor detected) by US-alone The AFP→US method would have yielded an additional 278 YLG ($13,000/YLG) compared with 389 YLG ($21,000/YLG) for US-alone Screening by US-alone would incur an additional $114,000 per extra early-tumor detected compared with AFP→US and $41,000 per extra YLG

      Conclusions

      Although US-alone HCC screening might have yielded more YLG than AFP→US, the reduced costs of the AFP→US method could expand access to HCC screening in resource constrained settings

    • Pubmed ID:
      27197711
    • Pubmed Central ID:
      PMC4873562
    • Document Type:
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