African Americans (AA) have a higher incidence and lower survival from colorectal cancer (CRC) compared to European Americans (EA). In the present study, statewide, population-based data from South Carolina Central Cancer Registry (SCCCR) is used to investigate the relationship between race and age on advanced stage CRC survival.
The study population was comprised of 3865 advanced pathologically documented colon and rectal adenocarcinoma cases diagnosed between 01 January 1996 and 31 December 2006: 2673 (69%) EA and 1192 (31%) AA. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to generate median survival time and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) by race, age, and gender. Factors associated with survival were evaluated by fitting Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression models to generate Hazard Ratios (HR) and 95% CI.
We observed a significant interaction between race and age on CRC survival (p = 0.04). Among younger patients (< 50 years), AA race was associated with a 1.34 (95% CI 1.06-1.71) higher risk of death compared to EA. Among older patients, we observed a modest increase risk of death among AA men compared to EA (HR 1.16 (95% CI 1.01-1.32) but no difference by race among women (HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.82-1.08)). Moreover, we observed that the disparity in survival has worsened over the past 15 years.
Future studies that integrate clinical, molecular, and treatment-related data are needed for advancing understanding of the racial disparity in CRC survival, especially for those < 50 years old.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common malignancy in the US and the second leading cause of cancer death [
CRC survival has improved significantly over the past fifteen years due to the introduction of several new chemotherapeutic agents; yet, the racial difference in survival has worsened, especially among advanced stage patients [
Differences in CRC tumor biology by race, age, and or gender may influence the difference in stage-specific survival. AA compared to EA are more likely to present at diagnosis at a younger age and with features indicative of greater tumor aggressiveness, including a higher proportion of proximal compared to distal neoplasia (11-17). Proximal colonic location is associated with worse survival [
In the present investigation, statewide, population-based data from South Carolina Central Cancer Registry (SCCCR) is used to examine if there are racial differences in survival in advanced stage CRC. This study is restricted to a single stage because the magnitude of the racial disparity in survival has been shown to differ by stage. This study focuses on metastatic disease because of similar recommended standard therapy, large racial difference in the relative survival, and a documented change in chemotherapy usage in both 2000 and 2004. We investigated the relationship between race and age on CRC survival during three calendar periods: (1) 1996-1999; (2) 2000-2003; and (3) 2004-2006, each corresponding to a change in chemotherapeutic regimen. We also explored the influence of clinicopathologic features by race in younger and older patients, and in males and females, and their impact on survival.
The study population was comprised of 3865 advanced pathologically documented colon and rectal adenocarcinoma cases in South Carolina diagnosed between 01 January 1996 and 31 December 2006: 2673 (69%) EA and 1192 (31%) AA. For analyses of time-to-death, 402 subjects - 267 (66%) EA subjects and 135 (34%) AA subjects --could not be included because no survival time data were available, resulting in 3463 subjects available for survival analyses.
Patient cancer stage was coded using SEER staging criteria: local, regional, or distant. The present study was limited to patients who presented with distant disease (i.e. distant lymph nodes or distant sites); distant disease is equivalent to TNM stage IV. The SCCCR is a population-based, mandated data system that collects cancer incidence in South Carolina. Information on cancer mortality (deaths) is collected by the Division of Vital Registry and published by the Division of Biostatistics and Division of Public Health Informatics within the Department of Health and Environmental Control. For every case, data were collected on age, race (white, black, Hispanic, Asian, or other), gender, first-line chemotherapy treatment (yes or no), and year of diagnosis and death. Our analysis is restricted to EA and AA due to the low number of patients from other racial/ethnic groups.
The clinicopathologic characteristics for each primary tumor include location, tumor grade, and histological type. The primary tumor was characterized according to the location within the colorectum: cecum, ascending colon, appendix, hepatic flexure, transverse colon, splentic flexure, descending colon, sigmoid colon, recto-sigmoid, or rectum. The tumor was grouped as proximal (cecum, ascending colon, appendix, hepatic flexure transverse colon), distal (splentic flexure, descending colon, sigmoid colon) or rectal (recto-sigmoid, or rectum).
Additionally, tumor grade was classified as well-differentiated, moderately differentiated, poorly differentiated, or undifferentiated. For the main analyses, tumor grade was dichotomized into low grade (well differentiated, moderately differentiated) and high grade (poorly differentiated, undifferentiated). Histological type was classified as adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or signet ring cell adenocarcinoma.
Survival time was calculated as the time from diagnosis with distant stage CRC to death from any cause from 1 January 1996 through 31 December 2007; subjects alive as of this date were censored at the end of follow-up. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to generate median survival time and corresponding 95% confidence intervals by race, age, and gender for subjects diagnosed in three time periods: (1) before 31 December 1999, (2). between 01 January 2000 and 31 December 2003 (inclusive), and (3) on or after 01 January 2004, time intervals that were selected to correspond to changes in recommended systematic chemotherapy regimens.
Factors associated with survival were evaluated by fitting Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression models. First, we explored the possibility of interaction between race and age by fitting separate CPH models for each age group in five-year increments, with race as the independent variable. We then examined smoothed scatter plots of the resulting estimated log cumulative hazards by age separately for AA and EA, and detected a highly non-linear effect. Graphically, the log cumulative hazards were relatively flat for ages under 50 years, but then increased linearly for increasing age thereafter (figure not shown). A CPH multivariable model fit using a three-knot restricted cubic spline transformation of age indicated significant nonlinearity (p = 0.01). Furthermore, there was evidence of significant interaction between age (modeled non-linearly), race and gender (p = 0.04). Therefore, we performed stratified analyses for patients both under and over 50 years of age to aid in interpretability of results.
We subsequently fit separate CPH regression models for younger patients (under the age of 50 years) and older patients (50 years of age and older). For each model, we included main effects for location, grade, histologic type, age (continuous and linear), race, gender, first-line chemotherapy initiation, and diagnosis year. Additionally, for each model, we examined twoway interactions between: 1) race and each of following: gender, diagnosis year, location, grade, histology; and 2) gender and each of following: diagnosis year, location, grade, and histology. Interactions were retained in the final model if they were significant at level 0.05.
In the univariate analysis (
For the patients in our sample, the median follow up time was 15 months (range = 1 to 141 months). Median survival improved significantly between 1996 and 2007 for both AA and EA but the improvement in survival differed by race (
In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, overall survival was significantly poorer among African Americans (p=0.02), high tumor grade (p=0.001), adenocarcinoma histological type (p=0.04), and pre-2000 year of diagnosis (p=0.01) (
In the univariate analysis (
For older patients, the median follow up time was 12 months (range = 1 to 143 months). Median survival improved modestly from 1996 through the end of follow-up (
In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, factors significantly associated with worse survival were older age (p < 0.0001), not initiating first-line chemotherapy (p < 00001), higher tumor grade (p < 0.0001), proximal tumor location (p < 0.0001), rectal location (p=0.041), and diagnosis pre-2000 (p=0.02). Furthermore, there was an interaction between gender and race (p =0.04) on overall survival (
In this analysis of South Carolina Central Cancer Registry (SCCCR) data, key findings were that AA had worse overall survival for advanced stage colorectal cancer. This racial disparity was largely concentrated among CRC patients under 50 years of age. A disconcerting observation was that the racial disparity has worsened during the past 15 years. In the survival analysis, we observed that among the younger patients, AA had worse survival especially AA females with proximal tumors. For older patients, AA males had worse survival, but the association with race was not nearly as pronounced as it was in the younger age groups.
Despite improvements in survival among those with advanced stage CRC, our study highlights the high fatality rate of this disease, and thus emphasizing the importance of prevention and early detection of CRC. In the present study, there were a higher percentage of stage IV CRC cases under the age of 50 years in AA than EA (17% vs. 12%) and the prognosis of AA patients was worse suggesting a more aggressive phenotype. This touches on the broader issue of developing strategies for identifying high-risk patients who have not yet reached the age for recommended screening. These findings are thus in line with the recommendations of two national organizations that recommend AA begin CRC screening earlier than EA, 40 [
Our findings of poorer CRC survival in AA compared to EA parallel those of several previous investigations. Our finding that the disparity among late stage CRC patients is largely concentrated among the younger patients is novel. In general, the racial disparity has been shown to occur at each stage for both men and women and has worsened during the past 40 years (23). Most (10, 24-34), but not all (35-37), studies have observed that the disparity persists even after adjustment for variables such as age, sex, stage, socioeconomic status, insurance status, and in some studies pathologic characteristics. After accounting for these factors, the survival differences by race range from 8-50% across the various patients populations that have been studied. The reasons for this persistent racial disparity in CRC survival remain poorly understood. However, results from the present study suggest that the effect of ‘race’ on advanced stage disease survival is not uniform across the population. Factors such as patient’s age at diagnosis, gender, type of CRC, and date of diagnosis (possibly reflecting differences in treatment utilization) all influenced the relationship between race and survival.
On average, AA are known to be diagnosed with CRC at an earlier age (11, 12, 49), but to our knowledge there are no previous reports of racial differences in survival by age. A large body of evidence documents that CRCs in younger persons are more likely to have familial hereditary CRC and, independently of family history, are likely to have more advanced and aggressive tumors (41, 42 2008, 43, 44). Younger patients also appear to have more genome complexity (assessed as copy number aberrations), and higher P53 expression or mutation (41, 42, 45). Within our data, younger AA and EA had different tumor profiles. AA had a higher prevalence of proximally located (+13%), mucinous (+4%) and lower grade (+6%) CRCs at diagnosis. Whether this represents a unique phenotype associated with poorer survival will need further study. On the other hand, despite the presence of more aggressive disease, many studies have shown that younger persons (predominantly EA) have better survival from CRC [
Outcomes in our investigation differed by race and by sex. Similar to two recent studies [
Many studies, like ours, have found that clinicopathologic characteristics influence survival. Similar to previous investigations [
The persistence of racial differences in survival within the same stage suggests that treatment differences may be at least part of the explanation for differences in survival [
Advantages of our study include a large, racially diverse population of patients with advanced stage colorectal cancer with careful characterization of demographic and pathologic characteristics and vital status. However, our study had a few limitations. First, we had no data on patient-level factors (such co-morbid conditions or lifestyle and behaviors) or detailed treatment regimen data, which confound or modify the association between race and CRC survival. Second, we did not have information on CRC specific deaths only on all cause mortality; however, because all of the patients had advanced stage CRC we expect that most of these people died a result of their disease. Finally, the setting in South Carolina may differ from other locales in ways that limit the generalizability of the study findings. For example, South Carolina has a high proportion of rural residents, which may introduce substantive differences in results compared to populations that are largely urban. In the future, it will be essential to see if our findings can be replicated in different populations, and future studies that integrate patient-level, clinical, molecular, and treatment-related data hold promise for advancing understanding of the racial disparity in CRC survival.
Funding for this research was from an American Cancer Society Institutional Research Grant awarded to the Hollings Cancer Center, Medical University of South Carolina (IRG-97-219-11); the National Cancer Institute via the Hollings Cancer Center NCI Cancer Center Support Grant (P30 CA138313), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cooperative agreement to the SC Dept of Health & Environmental Control, Central Cancer Registry (DP12-1205) and a K07 Career Development Award to Dr. Wallace (K07CA151864-01A1).
Univariate associations of demographic and clinical characteristics with race for younger (<50 years) and older (≥ 50 years) patients.
| Age < 50 years | P | Age ≥ 50 years | P | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristic | Descriptive measure | Descriptive measure | ||||
| EA | AA | EA | AA | |||
| (n = 319) | (n = 206) | (n = 2354) | (n = 986) | |||
| Age (years) | 44 (19 - 49) | 44 (21 - 49) | 0.75 | 70 (50 - 97) | 68 (50 - 99) | 0.001 |
| Gender | 0.04 | 0.08 | ||||
| Male | 165 (52) | 88 (43) | 1248(53) | 490(50) | ||
| Female | 154 (48) | 118(57) | 1106(47) | 496(50) | ||
| Colonic location | 0.01 | 0.02 | ||||
| Distal | 100 (37) | 71(38) | 704(33) | 286(33) | ||
| Proximal | 80 (30) | 75(40) | 910(43) | 409(47) | ||
| Rectal | 88 (33) | 40(22) | 507(24) | 170(20) | ||
| Tumor grade | 0.15 | 0.01 | ||||
| Low | 157 (63) | 109(70) | 1391(71) | 600(76) | ||
| High | 93 (37) | 47(30) | 570(29) | 194(24) | ||
| Histologic type | 0.27 | 0.59 | ||||
| Adenocarcinoma NOS | 267 (84) | 169 (82) | 2031 (86) | 861 (87) | ||
| Mucinous adenocarcinoma | 38(12) | 32(16) | 285(12) | 113(11) | ||
| Signet cell adenocarcinoma | 14(4) | 5(2) | 38(2) | 12(1) | ||
| First-line chemotherapy | 0.49 | 0.14 | ||||
| Yes | 203(64) | 125(61) | 1047(44) | 411(42) | ||
| No | 116(36) | 81(39) | 1307(56) | 575(58) | ||
| Diagnosis year | 0.88 | 0.08 | ||||
| <2000 | 105(33) | 65(32) | 830(35) | 308(31) | ||
| 2000-2003 | 123(39) | 78(38) | 843(36) | 379(38) | ||
| 2004+ | 91(29) | 63(31) | 681(29) | 299(30) | ||
Descriptive measures are median (range) for Age, and frequency (%) for all others.
P-value is based on Wilcoxon rank-sum test for Age-Race association, and a chisquare test for all others
Frequencies may not sum to sample sizes for EA and AA due to missing data. Column percents may not total 100% due to rounding.
Kaplan-Meier median survival time estimates by age, gender, and race for patients diagnoses on or before 31 December 1999, between 01 January 2000 and 31 December 2003 (inclusive), and on or after 01 January 2004 (ne = Number of events, M = Median).
| Pre 2000 | 2000-2003 | 2004+ | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | Gender | Race | n | ne | M (95%Cl) | n | ne | M (95%Cl) | n | ne | M (95%Cl) |
| <50 | Male | EA | 54 | 53 | 10.5 (9, 17) | 60 | 53 | 15 (11, 24) | 42 | 20 | 25 (20, NA) |
| AA | 31 | 30 | 12 (6, 17) | 31 | 28 | 15 (7, 28) | 23 | 15 | 16 (12, NA) | ||
| Female | EA | 48 | 46 | 16.5 (11, 22) | 58 | 50 | 19 (15, 25) | 45 | 23 | 24 (20, NA) | |
| AA | 30 | 27 | 10.5 (4, 24) | 47 | 45 | 10 (9, 15) | 40 | 31 | 13 (10, 19) | ||
|
| |||||||||||
| 50+ | Male | EA | 377 | 370 | 10 (8, 12) | 406 | 382 | 14 (12, 16) | 330 | 233 | 16 (15, 20) |
| AA | 118 | 111 | 8 (6, 11) | 173 | 163 | 11 (9, 13) | 131 | 101 | 13 (10, 18) | ||
| Female | EA | 362 | 351 | 10 (9, 12) | 342 | 320 | 11 (10, 14) | 282 | 212 | 12 (10, 14) | |
| AA | 146 | 137 | 10 (7, 14) | 156 | 141 | 12 (9, 17) | 131 | 100 | 12 (11, 15) | ||
Summary of results from Cox proportional hazards regression model for subjects under the age of 50 and subjects 50 years of age and older. Analysis is based on a sample size of n=2709 and 2367 events. A total of 714 observations with missing data were deleted from analysis.
| Age | Variable | Level | HR | 95% CI | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Gender-by-location | 0.01 | ||||
| Male | Distal | 1.0 | ||||
| Proximal | 0.61 | (0.4-0.95) | 0.03 | |||
| Rectal | 0.75 | (0.49-1.14) | 0.18 | |||
| Female | Distal 1 | 1.0 | ||||
| Proximal | 1.45 | (1.03-2.05) | 0.03 | |||
| Rectal | 1.09 | (0.69-1.72) | 0.71 | |||
| Grade | Low | 1.0 | ||||
| High | 1.5 | (1.17-1.93) | 0.001 | |||
| Histologic Type | Adenocarcinoma NOS | 1.0 | ||||
| Other | 0.68 | (0.47-0.98) | 0.04 | |||
| Age | 0.92 | (0.84-1.02) | 0.13 | |||
| Race | EA | 1.0 | ||||
| AA | 1.34 | (1.06-1.71) | 0.02 | |||
| First-line chemotherapy | Yes | 1.0 | ||||
| No | 1.1 | (0.85-1.41) | 0.47 | |||
| Diagnosis year | < 2000 | 1.0 | ||||
| 2000-2003 | 0.95 | (0.73-1.24) | 0.73 | |||
| 2004+ | 0.56 | (0.40- 0.78) | 0.01 | |||
|
| ||||||
|
| Gender-by-Race | 0.04 | ||||
| Male | EA | 1.0 | ||||
| AA | 1.16 | (1.01-1.32) | 0.04 | |||
| Female | EA | 1.0 | ||||
| AA | 0.94 | (0.82-1.08) | 0.41 | |||
| Location | Distal | 1.0 | ||||
| Proximal | 1.25 | (1.13-1.38) | 0.0001 | |||
| Rectal | 1.13 | (1.01-1.28) | 0.041 | |||
| Grade | Low | 1.0 | ||||
| High | 1.36 | (1.23-1.5) | <0.0001 | |||
| Histologic type | Adenocarcinoma NOS | 1.0 | ||||
| Other | 1.01 | (0.89-1.16) | 0.86 | |||
| Age | 1.08 | (1.06-1.1) | <0.0001 | |||
| First-line chemotherapy | Yes | 1.0 | ||||
| No | 1.47 | (1.34-1.61) | <0.0001 | |||
| Diagnosis year | <2000 | 1.0 | ||||
| 2000-2003 | 0.89 | (0.81-0.99) | 0.03 | |||
| 2004+ | 0.86 | (0.77-0.97) | 0.01 | |||
HR is hazard ratio
P-value for Gender-by-Location based on a partial likelihood ratio test of interaction. All others correspond to Wald tests assessing significance relative to the reference category.
NOS is not otherwise specified; “other” includes Mucinous adenocarcinoma and Signet cell adenocarcinoma
HR and 95% CI for Age correspond to a 5-year increment.