Libya introduced rotavirus vaccine in October 2013. We examined pre-vaccine incidence of rotavirus hospitalizations and associated economic burden among children < 5 years in Libya to provide baseline data for future vaccine impact evaluations.
Prospective, hospital-based active surveillance for rotavirus was conducted at three public hospitals in two cities during August 2012 - April 2013. Clinical, demographic and estimated cost data were collected from children <5 hospitalized for diarrhea; stool specimens were tested for rotavirus with a commercial enzyme immunoassay. Annual rotavirus hospitalization incidence rate estimates included a conservative estimate based on the number of cases recorded during the nine months and an extrapolation to estimate 12 months incidence rate. National rotavirus disease and economic burden were estimated by extrapolating incidence and cost data to the national population of children aged <5 years.
A total of 410 children <5 years of age with diarrhea were enrolled, of whom 239 (58%) tested positive rotavirus, yielding an incidence range of 418-557 rotavirus hospitalizations per 100,000 children <5 years of age. Most (86%) rotavirus cases were below two years of age with a distinct seasonal peak in winter (December-March) months. The total cost of treatment for each rotavirus patient was estimated at US$ 679 (range: 200–5,423). By extrapolation, we estimated 2,948 rotavirus hospitalizations occur each year in Libyan children <5 years of age, incurring total costs of US$ 2,001,662 (range: 1,931,726-2,094,005).
Rotavirus incurs substantial morbidity and economic burden in Libya, highlighting the potential value of vaccination of Libyan children against rotavirus.
Rotavirus is a major cause of severe diarrhea and hospitalization among children aged < 5 years worldwide. In 2008, globally rotavirus caused an estimated 453,000 deaths among children in this age group [
The World Health Organization (WHO) Strategic Advisory Committee on Immunization (SAGE) recommended adding rotavirus vaccine to all national immunization programmes, especially where the mortality rate of diarrhea affected up approximately 10% among children aged below 5 years [
In February 2011, ongoing rotavirus surveillance activities in Libya were interrupted due to civil unrest. Our objective was to re-establish rotavirus surveillance to provide up-to-date estimates of the baseline pre-vaccine incidence of rotavirus hospitalizations among children aged < 5 years, and economic burden, in order to allow vaccine impact evaluations in the future.
We conducted prospective, active, hospital-based surveillance for rotavirus-associated diarrheal hospitalizations among children < 5 years of age at three hospitals in two cities in Northwest Libya during the 9-month period from August 2012 to April 2013. These 3 hospitals are the only hospitals for treatment of severe diarrhea patients in the two cities, Khoms (estimated population 235,894) and Zliten (estimated population 239,860), which include a combined catchment population of 57,180 children aged < 5 years [
Children <5 years of age with diarrhea symptoms (three or more instances of liquid stool in a day) who sought therapy in the pediatric ward at the study hospitals were identified and parental/guardian consent was obtained. Trained nurses collected stool samples from the suspected patients, whereas the staff researcher collected the demographic, clinical and economic data from patient’s files. The stool samples were transferred to the national laboratory at the National Center for Diseases Control (NCDC) where an enzyme immunoassay (ProSpect Rotavirus Test, Oxoid Ltd, UK) was used to detect Group A rotavirus.
Treatment cost of hospitalized rotavirus patients was calculated from perspectives of hospital (direct cost) and patient (indirect cost). Hospital cost was conducted only in Zliten hospital because all studied hospitals are reimbursed by the same source, Ministry of health and covered closely similar population. Hospital cost included three components: bed-day (Per Diem), medication and laboratory investigation tests. The cost of bed-day in the hospital includes the cost of staff salaries and the hotel cost, consisting of furniture, foods, laundry, disposal, cleaning, operation and maintenance. The cost of bed-day was calculated by dividing annual expenditure at the pediatric ward (US$ 983,015) by the number of patient’s days in the pediatric ward (accounted at 8,470 patient days in 2012). The cost of bed-day in the pediatric ward was provided from the financial management at the Zliten hospital during 2012. Medication cost was obtained from the central pharmacy, which was calculated separately for each patient, and the cost of laboratory tests were provided by the main laboratory in the hospital.
Several cost elements from the patient perspective were obtained from parents, including 1) the transportation cost for trips to the hospital when bringing or visiting the admitted patient; 2) household cost of expenditures related to the treatment of hospitalized rotavirus patients such as hygiene items for baby such as diapers; and 3) lost income of caregivers during the patient’s illness.
We compared demographic and clinical characteristics of children hospitalized due to rotavirus diarrhea (stool tested positive for rotavirus) and diarrhea-hospitalizations not associated with rotavirus (tested negative for rotavirus). The annual incidence of rotavirus hospitalizations was calculated by dividing the number of rotavirus diarrhea hospitalizations by the number of children < 5 years of age residing in the catchment area of studies hospitals. We provided a conservative estimate calculated using the number of cases during the 9 months of enrolment as numerator (not inflating the number of rotavirus hospitalizations) to calculate annual incidence. Importantly, the historical months of the peak rotavirus season in Libya were captured during the 9 months of enrollment. Lastly, to estimate the annual number of rotavirus hospitalization countrywide and their associated costs, the conservative incidence and costs of rotavirus hospitalization from this study was extrapolated to the national population of 705,190 children <5 years of age in 2012 in Libya.
Data was analyzed by SPSS version 16. Chi-Square and P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. Statistical tests were Chi-Square, X2 and t-test to obtain the outcomes such as mean, range and standard deviation. ANOVA or Mann–Whitney’s test were used to make a comparison between positive and negative-rotavirus cases. Mean, range and standard deviation were identified in economic data.
University of Malaya Medical Ethics Committee (IRP - 908.6), NCDC in Libya, and study hospitals provided ethical clearance to conduct the study.
A total of 410 children hospitalized due to diarrhea were enrolled, of whom 239 (58%) tested positive for rotavirus. Based on the catchment population in the studied hospitals (57,180 children aged < 5 years) in 2012, the unadjusted (conservative) incidence rate of rotavirus associated with hospitalization in the studied hospitals during the study period (9 months) was 418 per 100,000 (95% confidence interval, 405-431 per 100,000, Table
57,180 239 418 (405-431)
705,190 2,948 (2,845-3,084) 418 (405-431)
Rotavirus Cases 239 (58) 171 (42) 0.001 Places of Study (Districts) Zliten 118 (49) 71 (42) 0.116 Khoms 121 (51) 100 (58) Gender Male 140 (59) 99 (58) 0.921 Female 101 (41) 70 (42) Place of Living Urban 62 (26) 42 (25) 0.752 Rural 177 (74) 129 (75) Duration of Symptoms <2 Weeks 233 (97) 165 (96) 0.810 2 weeks and Above 6 (3) 6 (4) Length of Hospital Stay 0.000 <7 Days 227 (95) 237 (99) 8 Days and Above 12 (5) 2 (1) Fever 154 (64) 118 (69) 0.335 Vomiting 233 (97) 146 (85) 0.000 Dehydration Degree 0.022 Severe Dehydration 97 (41) 57 (33) Moderate Dehydration 138 (58) 102 (60) No Dehydration 4 (2) 12 (7) Rehydration Treatment Treatment with IVF 237 (99) 168 (98) 0.404 Treatment with ORT 2 (1) 3 (2)
From the hospital perspective, the total expenditure to treat each rotavirus patient in the hospital was calculated to be US$ 488 (Intra quartile range [IQR], 318-541), the mean cost for each bed-day (Per Diem) was US$ 116 (Table
Hotel Cost includes: Furniture, Equipment, Foods, Laundry, Disposal, Cleaning, Operation and Maintenance Costs.
Per Diem Cost (Bed-Day) Staff Salaries (US$) 752,266 (77%) Zliten Hospital Management Hotel Cost (US$) 230,750 (23%) Zliten Hospital Management Total Per Diem Cost (US$) 983,015 Average Length of Hospital Stay 3.02 days This Study Total Bed-Days at Pediatric Ward 8,470 days Zliten Hospital Management Costs per Day for each Patient (US$) 116 Zliten Hospital Management
From the family perspective, the mean cost for each hospitalized patient was approximately US$ 191 (IQR, 74-220). Family costs combined with hospital costs yielded an overall cost to treat each rotavirus patient of US$ 679 (IQR, 476-737).
Overall, hospital costs comprised 72% of the total expenditure, and family cost made up 28%. Hospital cost included bed-day (51%), medication (16%) and laboratory investigations (5%). Considering the family cost, transportation, household costs, and lost incomes were 12%, 10% and 6% of total cost, respectively (Table
Hospital perspective Per diem 349.31 51% 202.53 57–1,736 Medication 107.73 16% 214.76 14–2,787 Laboratory Tests 31.16 5% 10.62 14–92 Total 488.12 72% 427.91 85–4,615 Patient perspective Transportation 78.42 12% 69.61 8–773 Household 70.09 10% 69.46 16–472 Lost income 42.37 6% 143.69 0–1,223 Total 190.88 28% 282.77 25–2,470 Overall Total 678.99 499.12 200–5,423
Applying the conservative incidence rate for one year of surveillance yielded an estimate of 2,948 rotavirus hospitalizations annually in Libyan children <5 years of age. Combining these burden figures with cost data yielded a national economic burden of US$ 2,001,692 (range: 1,931,726-2,094,005).
Our prospective, active, hospital-based surveillance for rotavirus shows that, prior to rotavirus vaccine introduction, 58% of diarrheal hospitalizations among children < 5 years of age in Northwest Libya were caused by rotavirus. Each rotavirus hospitalization incurred a total cost of US$ 679, of which 72% were costs of hospital expenditures. By extrapolation, we estimated that nearly 3000 hospitalizations for rotavirus diarrhea occur each year in Libyan children 5 years of age or 1 in 50 children born each year is hospitalized for rotavirus by age 5, incurring total costs of US$ 2,001,662. This tremendous morbidity and economic burden highlights the potential value of vaccination of Libyan children against rotavirus.
Reports from Libya during the period 1980-2009 showed a rotavirus detection rate of 24% to 45% among children <5 years of age hospitalized with diarrhea [
Previous studies have not assessed the economic burden of rotavirus hospitalizations in Libya. Hospital costs in this study represented 72% of total costs of disease, which was higher than that reported in the U.S (66%) [
Our study has some limitations. Notably, we had planned to continue surveillance for collection of data for at least one full calendar year; however, due to the political and security situation after the Libyan revolution, the study was interrupted in April 2013. Since the 3 months of data that we were not able to capture were late spring/summer months with lower rotavirus prevalence in previous years [
We documented pre-vaccine incidence of rotavirus hospitalization in Libyan children and their associated costs to provide baseline data for future vaccine impact evaluations. Further studies of rotavirus disease burden among hospitalized children, in the form of active hospital based surveillance in Libya, will be crucial to understand the effect of introducing the vaccine into national childhood immunization, to provide scientific evidence for continued immunization efforts and identification of barriers for vaccine impact and effectiveness [
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
SA and MD conceived the study and participated in its design. SA collected the data. SA, MD, EL and UP analyzed and helped to draft the manuscript. All authors interpreted the findings, and contributed to critical revision of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Authors appreciate the great help for the national laboratory at the NCDC, staffs at the hospitals. We are grateful to the parents who participated in the study. The study was supported by the University of Malaya/Ministry of Higher Education (UM/MOHE) High Impact Research Grant (E000010-20001), Malaysia, and also supported by the AADUN RP026-2012C grant.