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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" dtd-version="1.3" xml:lang="en" article-type="research-article"><?properties manuscript?><processing-meta base-tagset="archiving" mathml-version="3.0" table-model="xhtml" tagset-family="jats"><restricted-by>pmc</restricted-by></processing-meta><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-journal-id">8701858</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="pubmed-jr-id">6404</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Pediatr Infect Dis J</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Pediatr Infect Dis J</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>The Pediatric infectious disease journal</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0891-3668</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1532-0987</issn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">39951078</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">11966382</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1097/INF.0000000000004638</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="manuscript">HHSPA2058886</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Effect of the Ten-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine on Invasive Pneumococcal Disease and Pneumonia in Infants Younger Than Ten Weeks of Age in Southern Mozambique</article-title><subtitle>A Population-based Prospective Surveillance Study</subtitle></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid" authenticated="false">http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1201-1009</contrib-id><name><surname>Massora</surname><given-names>S&#x000e9;rgio</given-names></name><degrees>PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Mucavele</surname><given-names>H&#x000e9;lio</given-names></name><degrees>MD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Carvalho</surname><given-names>Maria da Gloria</given-names></name><degrees>PhD</degrees><xref rid="A2" ref-type="aff">&#x02020;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Mandomando</surname><given-names>In&#x000e1;cio</given-names></name><degrees>PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Cha&#x000fa;que</surname><given-names>Alberto</given-names></name><degrees>MSc</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Moiane</surname><given-names>Benild</given-names></name><degrees>MSc</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Tembe</surname><given-names>Nelson</given-names></name><degrees>PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref><xref rid="A3" ref-type="aff">&#x02021;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Omer</surname><given-names>Saad B.</given-names></name><degrees>MD, PhD</degrees><xref rid="A4" ref-type="aff">&#x000a7;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Bassat</surname><given-names>Quique</given-names></name><degrees>MD, PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref><xref rid="A5" ref-type="aff">&#x000b6;</xref><xref rid="A6" ref-type="aff">&#x02016;</xref><xref rid="A7" ref-type="aff">**</xref><xref rid="A8" ref-type="aff">&#x02020;&#x02020;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Verani</surname><given-names>Jennifer R.</given-names></name><degrees>MD, MPH</degrees><xref rid="A2" ref-type="aff">&#x02020;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Men&#x000e9;ndez</surname><given-names>Clara</given-names></name><degrees>MD, PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref><xref rid="A5" ref-type="aff">&#x000b6;</xref><xref rid="A8" ref-type="aff">&#x02020;&#x02020;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Quint&#x000f3;</surname><given-names>Lloren&#x000e7;</given-names></name><degrees>MSc</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref><xref rid="A5" ref-type="aff">&#x000b6;</xref><xref rid="A8" ref-type="aff">&#x02020;&#x02020;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Siga&#x000fa;que</surname><given-names>Betuel</given-names></name><degrees>MD, PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref><xref rid="A9" ref-type="aff">&#x02021;&#x02021;</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Bardaj&#x000ed;</surname><given-names>Azucena</given-names></name><degrees>MD, PhD</degrees><xref rid="A1" ref-type="aff">*</xref><xref rid="A5" ref-type="aff">&#x000b6;</xref><xref rid="A8" ref-type="aff">&#x02020;&#x02020;</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="A1"><label>*</label>Centro de Investiga&#x000e7;&#x000e3;o em Sa&#x000fa;de de Manhi&#x000e7;a (CISM), Maputo, Mo&#x000e7;ambique</aff><aff id="A2"><label>&#x02020;</label>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Division of Bacterial Diseases, Respiratory Diseases Branch, Atlanta, Georgia</aff><aff id="A3"><label>&#x02021;</label>Instituto Nacional de Sa&#x000fa;de, Minist&#x000e9;rio de Sa&#x000fa;de, Maputo, Mozambique</aff><aff id="A4"><label>&#x000a7;</label>Peter O&#x02019;Donnell Jr School of Public Health, Dallas, Texas</aff><aff id="A5"><label>&#x000b6;</label>ISGlobal, Hospital Cl&#x000ed;nic &#x02013; Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain</aff><aff id="A6"><label>&#x02016;</label>ICREA, Barcelona, Spain</aff><aff id="A7"><label>**</label>Pediatrics Department, Hospital Sant Joan de D&#x000e9;u, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain</aff><aff id="A8"><label>&#x02020;&#x02020;</label>Consorcio de Investigaci&#x000f3;n Biom&#x000e9;dica en Red de Epidemiolog&#x000ed;a y Salud P&#x000fa;blica (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain</aff><aff id="A9"><label>&#x02021;&#x02021;</label>John Snow Inc. (JSI) on the Maternal and Child Survival Program&#x02013;MCSP (USAID Grantee), Maputo, Mozambique.</aff><author-notes><corresp id="CR1">Address for correspondence: S&#x000e9;rgio Massora, PhD, Centro de Investiga&#x000e7;&#x000e3;o em Sa&#x000fa;de de Manhi&#x000e7;a (CISM), Road 12. P.O. Box 1929, Manhi&#x000e7;a, Maputo, Mozambique. <email>sergio.massora@manhica.net</email>.</corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="nihms-submitted"><day>27</day><month>3</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><day>01</day><month>2</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>14</day><month>2</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>14</day><month>2</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>44</volume><issue>2 Suppl</issue><fpage>S75</fpage><lpage>S79</lpage><abstract id="ABS1"><sec id="S1"><title>Background:</title><p id="P1">Mozambique introduced 10-valent-pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) in 2013. We aimed to evaluate the indirect effect of PCV10 on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and clinical severe pneumonia (CSP) in infants aged less than 10 weeks.</p></sec><sec id="S2"><title>Methods:</title><p id="P2">Routine surveillance data for IPD and CSP among admitted infants less than 10 weeks of age were analyzed to compare IPD and CSP incidence using demographic surveillance data from pre- and post-PCV10 periods. IPD was defined as isolation of pneumococcus from blood or cerebrospinal fluid, and CSP according to World Health Organization criteria.</p></sec><sec id="S3"><title>Results:</title><p id="P3">The incidence of IPD and CSP among infants less than 10 weeks decreased by 87% [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 0.13; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.02&#x02013;0.95] from 283/100,000 in the pre-PCV to 36/100,000 children year at risk (CYAR) post-PCV, and by 62% (IRR: 0.38; 95% CI: 0.27&#x02013;0.52) from 4100/100,000 pre-PCV to 1550/100,000 CYAR post-PCV periods, respectively. Vaccine-type IPD incidence declined by 92% (IRR: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.02&#x02013;1.34) from 205/100,000 pre-PCV to 36/100,000 CYAR post-PCV, though the reduction was not statistically significant. The mortality rate due to IPD among infants less than 10 weeks declined from 47/100,000 CYAR in the pre-PCV to 0 in the post-PCV period. Mortality due to CSP declined by 29% (IRR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.34&#x02013;1.50), from 457/100,000 CYAR in the pre-PCV to 324/100,000 in the post-PCV periods.</p></sec><sec id="S4"><title>Conclusions:</title><p id="P4">PCV10 introduction led to substantial declines in the incidence of IPD, CSP and associated mortality in infants too young to be vaccinated (less than 10 weeks) in Mozambique, suggesting indirect protection.</p></sec></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>invasive pneumococcal disease</kwd><kwd>severe clinical pneumonia</kwd><kwd>10-valent-pneumococcal conjugate vaccine impact</kwd><kwd>young children</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><p id="P5"><italic toggle="yes">Streptococcus pneumoniae</italic> (pneumococcus) is an important cause of severe pneumonia, sepsis and meningitis among children worldwide.<sup><xref rid="R1" ref-type="bibr">1</xref></sup> Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) introduction in routine immunization programs globally resulted in the prevention of an estimated 250,000 cumulative pneumococcal-related deaths from 2000 to 2015.<sup><xref rid="R1" ref-type="bibr">1</xref>&#x02013;<xref rid="R3" ref-type="bibr">3</xref></sup> Despite this achievement, in the year 2015, the total pneumococcal deaths continued to account for at least 10% of all mortality among HIV-uninfected children 1&#x02013;59 months of age, with highest incidence in sub-Saharan Africa.<sup><xref rid="R1" ref-type="bibr">1</xref></sup> Studies from the prevaccine era indicated that, in Africa, pneumococcus was responsible for up to 47% of cases of culture-proven meningitis during the first 3 months of life,<sup><xref rid="R4" ref-type="bibr">4</xref>,<xref rid="R5" ref-type="bibr">5</xref></sup> and 16.5% of cases of community-acquired neonatal sepsis, second only to <italic toggle="yes">Staphylococcus aureus</italic>.<sup><xref rid="R6" ref-type="bibr">6</xref></sup> The use of PCV has been shown to lead to indirect protection among unvaccinated individuals mediated by a reduction in colonization and transmission of vaccine serotypes.<sup><xref rid="R7" ref-type="bibr">7</xref></sup> Substantial indirect effect of PCV in adults and in infants too young to receive vaccination have been proven in high-income countries.<sup><xref rid="R8" ref-type="bibr">8</xref>&#x02013;<xref rid="R10" ref-type="bibr">10</xref></sup> However, little is known about indirect protection against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in young infants in low-income settings.</p><p id="P6">Since 2001, the Centro de Investiga&#x000e7;&#x000e3;o em Sa&#x000fa;de de Manhica (CISM) has conducted routine surveillance for invasive bacterial disease among children in rural Mozambique.<sup><xref rid="R11" ref-type="bibr">11</xref></sup> In the prevaccination era, pneumococcus was a leading agent of meningitis and sepsis in the country with a peak of reported incidence of IPD in infants of 479 per 100,000 children year at risk (CYAR).<sup><xref rid="R12" ref-type="bibr">12</xref></sup> Data from this surveillance platform were instrumental in prompting the Mozambican Ministry of Health to apply for support from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, to introduce 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) in 2013 using a 3+0 schedule (at 2, 3 and 4 months of age) with no booster or catch-up campaign. Coverage of 3 PCV doses among children 12&#x02013;23 months old from 2015 to 2018, based on World Health Organization and United Nations International Children&#x02019;s Emergency Fund estimates, was at least 80% each year.<sup><xref rid="R13" ref-type="bibr">13</xref></sup> Recent data have shown that PCV10 introduction in Mozambique led to a remarkable decrease in IPD and pneumonia in children under 5 years of age,<sup><xref rid="R14" ref-type="bibr">14</xref>,<xref rid="R15" ref-type="bibr">15</xref></sup> but indirect effects of PCV on children too young to be vaccinated (&#x0003c;10 weeks of age) have not been shown. We focused on the age group less than 10 weeks because the first PCV dose is given at 2 months of age, and we assumed that there is no direct PCV effect during the first 2 weeks after the first dose. In this study, we characterized the burden of IPD and clinical severe pneumonia (CSP) in infants younger than 10 weeks of life before and after PCV10 implementation to assess indirect effect of PCV10 effects.</p><sec id="S5"><title>MATERIALS AND METHODS</title><sec id="S6"><title>Study Area and Population</title><p id="P7">We analyzed data from ongoing surveillance for IPD and pediatric pneumonia routinely conducted by CISM at the Manhi&#x000e7;a District Hospital (MDH), a referral district hospital in Southern Mozambique. Within the district, CISM has maintained a continuous demographic surveillance system (DSS) since 1996. Since 2014, the DSS covers the entire district, which includes a population of approximately 200,000 inhabitants and covers approximately 2300 km<sup>2</sup>.<sup><xref rid="R16" ref-type="bibr">16</xref></sup> Manhi&#x000e7;a has a predominantly young population, with 13.5% aged less than 5 years of age.<sup><xref rid="R17" ref-type="bibr">17</xref></sup></p><p id="P8">The area is rural, malaria-endemic and bears a high HIV burden, with HIV prevalence among pregnant women estimated at 21.7% in 2021 (Mendes et al., unpublished data), and overall community-based HIV prevalence among adults of 33.6% in 2015.<sup><xref rid="R18" ref-type="bibr">18</xref></sup> Acute respiratory infections and malaria are major causes of neonatal, infant and child mortality in the area.<sup><xref rid="R19" ref-type="bibr">19</xref></sup></p></sec><sec id="S7"><title>Morbidity Surveillance and Sample Collection</title><p id="P9">As part of the ongoing morbidity surveillance at MDH, trained clinical personnel perform physical examination and gather demographic data, presenting signs and symptoms, and clinical outcomes. Data collection, cleaning and management were conducted using the OpenClinica open-source software (version 3.1, Copyright OpenClinica LLC and collaborators, Waltham, MA, <ext-link xlink:href="http://www.openclinica.com/" ext-link-type="uri">www.OpenClinica.com</ext-link>), and the REDCap platform (REDCap, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN). Blood for cultures was obtained by venipuncture upon admission and before administration of antimicrobials for all children less than 2 years old requiring hospitalization and for those 2 to &#x0003c;15 years old with axillary temperature &#x02265;39&#x000b0;C or other signs of severe disease (except trauma) according to the admitting clinician. Lumbar puncture to collect cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was systematically performed on all children or infants &#x0003c;29 days old admitted with suspected meningitis.</p></sec><sec id="S8"><title>Study Population and Case Definitions</title><p id="P10">The study included all children less than 10 weeks with CSP and/or IPD admitted to MDH from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2018. IPD was defined as the isolation of pneumococcus from blood or CSF, identified by culture or quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Cases of IPD caused by a serotype included in PCV10 (1, 4, 5, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 18C, 19F and 23F) were classified as vaccine-type IPD (VT-IPD). All other serotypes were classified as non-VTs, with serotypes 3, 6A and 19A being classified as PCV13 unique serotypes. Cases with <italic toggle="yes">S. pneumoniae</italic> detected in CSF (CSF only or in both CSF and blood) were classified as meningitis; all other cases with <italic toggle="yes">S. pneumoniae</italic> in the blood were classified as bacteremia. Among bacteremia cases, those with cough and/or breathing difficulties plus tachypnea were classified as bacteremia with pneumonia. CSP was defined according to World Health Organization classification as the presence of history of cough for up to 2 weeks or difficulty breathing, increased respiratory rate according to age group and chest wall indrawing.<sup><xref rid="R20" ref-type="bibr">20</xref></sup></p></sec><sec id="S9"><title>Laboratory Methods</title><p id="P11">Pediatric blood culture bottles (Pedibact1, Becton Dickinson, Franklin Lakes, NJ) were inoculated with 1&#x02013;3 mL of whole blood and incubated in an automated system (BACTEC 9050, Franklin Lakes, NJ) for 5 days. Positive blood culture bottles with a Gram stain compatible with pneumococcus were subcultured onto blood agar and incubated overnight at 37&#x000b0;C and 5% CO<sub>2</sub>. CSF specimens were first stained by Gram and subsequently cultured onto blood agar, chocolate blood agar and brain heart infusion broth for 5 days, followed by incubation at 37&#x000b0;C in an atmosphere of 5% CO<sub>2</sub>. Brain heart infusion broths were subcultured on blood agar media and incubated for 72 hours in case of turbidity appearance. Typical colony morphology and &#x003b1;-hemolysis, confirmed by optochin (BBL Taxo; Becton Dickinson) sensitivity and bile solubility 2% (Sodium deoxycholate, Sigma-Aldrich, Steinheim, Germany), were used to identify pneumococcus isolates. In addition, CSF samples were processed at a Centers for Diseases Control and Prevention (CDC) laboratory by quantitative-PCR for the detection of pneumococcal lytA gene and serotyping.<sup><xref rid="R21" ref-type="bibr">21</xref>,<xref rid="R22" ref-type="bibr">22</xref></sup> All pneumococcal isolates were serotyped at CISM laboratory by sequential multiplex PCR. Quality control and resolution of serogroups that could not be differentiated by PCR were done at the CDC by Quellung reaction.</p></sec><sec id="S10"><title>Statistical Analysis Methods</title><p id="P12">We analyzed data for all cases admitted to MDH, and for the incidence calculation, we restricted to DSS catchment area. We calculated incidence rates for overall IPD, PCV10 type IPD, non-VT-IPD and CSP among children aged less than 10 weeks residing in the study area for the periods pre- and post-PCV10 introduction. The calendar year of vaccine introduction (April 2013&#x02013;March 2014) was excluded from the vaccine impact analyses as it was considered a transition period to full implementation of the PCV program. Time at risk for incidence rates was calculated as the number of person-years at risk from the beginning of the time at risk until the end of follow-up. In calculating person-year at risk, individuals were excluded during a lag period of 15 days after each episode. Children did not contribute to the time at risk or to the number of episodes during the lag periods or during the migration periods detected through the DSS.</p><p id="P13">Negative binomial regression models were estimated to determine incidence rate ratios (IRRs) between post- and pre-PCV periods. Serotype distributions between pre- and post-PCV periods were compared using chi-square or Fisher&#x02019;s exact test when appropriate. For additional information on <xref rid="S10" ref-type="sec">statistical analysis methods</xref>, see text, <xref rid="SD5" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplementary Digital Content 1</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F839" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F839</ext-link>. All analyses, data manipulation and implementations were done in Stata version 15.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX).</p></sec><sec id="S11"><title>Ethical Considerations</title><p id="P14">The protocol for population-based invasive pneumococcal surveillance described in this study was reviewed and approved by the Mozambican National Bioethics Committee (006CNBS/02), the Institutional Review Board of the Clinic Hospital of Barcelona (Barcelona, Spain), and was reviewed by CDC, deemed research not involving human subjects, and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy.</p></sec></sec><sec id="S12"><title>RESULTS</title><sec id="S13"><title>Characteristics of Participants</title><p id="P15">From January 2003 to December 2018, there were 4754 admissions to MDH among infants less than 10 weeks of age. Among them, 3307 and 1217 admissions in this age group occurred during pre- and post-PCV periods, respectively, and 230 admissions during the transition period. Blood culture was performed for 90.7% (2999) and 74.9% (911) of admitted infants with criteria for blood culture in the pre- and post-PCV periods, respectively; 74.9% (172) of admissions had blood culture performed during the transition period. CSF culture was performed for 37.2% (940/2524) and 28.2% (304/1080) of infants with criteria for lumbar puncture in the pre- and post-PCV periods, respectively, and 32.8% (60/183) during the transition period.</p><p id="P16">A total of 45 IPD cases were identified among infants aged less than 10 weeks admitted to MDH; 38 and 7 cases from the pre- and post-PCV periods, respectively. No cases occurred during the transition period. Of the 45 IPD cases, 42.2% (19/45) were from the Manhi&#x000e7;a DSS catchment area; 18/38 (47.4%) and 1/7 (14.3%) cases from the pre- and post-PCV periods, respectively.</p><p id="P17">A total of 966 MDH admissions were due to episodes of CSP; 669 in the pre-PCV and 261 in the post-PCV periods, respectively, and 36 admissions during the transition period. Of the total CSP episodes, 32.6% (315/966) occurred in the DSS catchment area, 260/669 (38.9%) in the pre- and 43/261 (16.5%) in the post-PCV periods, respectively, and 12/36 (33.3%) during the transition period. Of infants with IPD, 66.7% (30/45) presented as bacteremic without clinical features of pneumonia or meningitis, and of all CSP episodes, 89.8% (867/966) included clinical pneumonia without confirmed bacteremia (<xref rid="SD6" ref-type="supplementary-material">Table</xref>, <xref rid="SD6" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 2</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F840" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F840</ext-link>).</p></sec><sec id="S14"><title>Impact of PCV10 on Invasive Pneumococcal Disease and Clinical Severe Pneumonia</title><p id="P18">A decrease in the incidence of IPD and CSP among infants less than 10 weeks of age was observed from the pre- to post-PCV periods. The incidence of IPD declined by 87% [IRR: 0.13; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.02&#x02013;0.95], from 283/100,000 to 36/100,000 CYAR (<xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Table</xref>, <xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 3</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F841" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F841</ext-link>). No case of IPD was observed in this age group during the last 2 years of the study after PCV10 introduction (<xref rid="SD4" ref-type="supplementary-material">Figure</xref>, <xref rid="SD4" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 4</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F842" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F842</ext-link>). Despite the decline in blood culture collection, no significant impact was observed in IPD incidence (<xref rid="SD2" ref-type="supplementary-material">Table</xref>, <xref rid="SD2" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 5</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F843" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F843</ext-link>). Comparing the pre-PCV and post-PCV implementations, though not statistically significant, the incidence of PCV10 serotypes declined by 82% (IRR: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.02&#x02013;1.34), from 205/100,000 to 36/100,000 CYAR (<xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Table</xref>, <xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 3</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F841" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F841</ext-link>). The incidence of non-PCV10 serotypes IPD was 63 per 100,000 CYAR in the pre-PCV period. No non-PCV10 IPD case was observed in this age group after PCV introduction. The incidence of CSP decreased by 62% (IRR: 0.38; 95% CI: 0.27&#x02013;0.52), from 4100/100,000 to 1550/100,000 CYAR between pre- and post-PCV10 periods.</p></sec><sec id="S15"><title>Impact of PCV10 on Mortality due to IPD and CSP</title><p id="P19">Overall case fatality rate due to IPD in all infants less than 10 weeks of age admitted to MDH during the study period was 22.2% (10/45), of which 23.7% (9/38) occurred during pre- and 14.3% (1/7) during post-PCV introduction periods, respectively. Of the IPD deaths that occurred in the pre-PCV period, 33.4 (3/9) cases were due to vaccine serotypes; the 1 death observed in the post-PCV was non-VT. The incidence of death due to IPD among infants aged less than 10 weeks and residents in the DSS area declined from 47/100,000 CYAR in the pre-PCV to 0 in the post-PCV periods (<xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Table</xref>, <xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 3</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F841" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F841</ext-link>). Among CSP, the overall case fatality rate during the study period was 14.2% (137/966), 13.9% (93/669) and 14.5% (38/261) in the pre- and post-PCV10 periods, respectively, and 16.7% (6/36) during the transition period. The incidence of death due to CSP declined by 29% (IRR: 071; 95% CI: 0.34&#x02013;1.50), from 457/100,000 CYAR in the pre-PCV to 324/100,000 in the post-PCV periods (<xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Table</xref>, <xref rid="SD1" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 3</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F841" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F841</ext-link>).</p></sec><sec id="S16"><title>Serotype Distribution of IPD Isolates</title><p id="P20">During the 16-year study period, there were 45 isolates of IPD identified from infants aged less than 10 weeks, including both infant residents and nonresidents in the DSS catchment area; 43 (96%) had known serotypes. No IPD cases caused by PCV10 serotypes were observed among infants aged less than 10 weeks in the post-PCV period, except for serotypes 1 and 23F which increased. The proportion of serotype 19A (included in PCV13 but not in PCV10) and of non-VTs increased in the post-PCV period; however, neither increase was statistically significant (<xref rid="SD3" ref-type="supplementary-material">Figure</xref>, <xref rid="SD3" ref-type="supplementary-material">Supplemental Digital Content 6</xref>, <ext-link xlink:href="http://links.lww.com/INF/F844" ext-link-type="uri">http://links.lww.com/INF/F844</ext-link>).</p></sec></sec><sec id="S17"><title>DISCUSSION</title><p id="P21">We observed a significant decline of IPD and CSP among infants aged less than 10 weeks 5 years after the introduction of PCV10 in the expanded program of immunization in Mozambique. Furthermore, we observed in this same age group a reduction in mortality related to IPD and CSP. Overall, these results show that infants who were too young to be vaccinated benefited from pneumococcal vaccination following the introduction of PCV10 in Mozambique using a 3-dose schedule without booster or catch-up campaign.</p><p id="P22">Indirect protection of PCV vaccination among infants too young to be vaccinated has been documented in high-income countries. A population-based study conducted in the United States in young infants, before and after the introduction of PCV7 in 2000 using a 3+1 schedule for infants at ages 2, 4, 6 and 12&#x02013;15 months, showed a 40% reduction in the incidence of IPD due to all serotypes, providing the first evidence that neonates and infants too young to receive PCV benefited from herd immunity.<sup><xref rid="R9" ref-type="bibr">9</xref></sup> In England and Wales, where PCV7 was introduced in 2006 using 2, 4 and 12&#x02013;13 months of age (2+1) schedule including a catch-up campaign for all children less than 2 years old, the incidence of PCV7 IPD declined by 83% among infants less than 90 days old and a declining trend in overall IPD was observed.<sup><xref rid="R10" ref-type="bibr">10</xref></sup></p><p id="P23">Yet, despite pneumococcus being a major cause of illness and death in children worldwide, and a recognized pathogen in young infants, data from developing settings examining the indirect effects of PCV in early infancy are scarce. A study conducted in Kilifi, Kenya, where PCV10 was introduced with a 3+0 schedule with catch-up vaccination among children under 5 years of age, provided evidence of indirect protection against IPD in young unvaccinated infants. In this study, a notable reduction was observed among infants 0&#x02013;2 months of age with VT-IPD incidence rates declining from 173.2 in the prevaccine to 0.0 per 100,000 CYAR in the postvaccine period.<sup><xref rid="R23" ref-type="bibr">23</xref></sup> Indirect effects through declining incidence of VT-IPD were also observed among individuals &#x0003e;5 years old. In Malawi, the incidence of VT-IPD among infants aged less than 90 days went from 148/100,000 in the pre-PCV13 to 36/100,000 in the post-PCV13 periods.<sup><xref rid="R24" ref-type="bibr">24</xref></sup> Similarly, to what was observed in Kenya and Malawi, in our study, the IPD incidence declined from 283/100,000 CYAR in the pre-PCV to 36/100,000 CYAR in the post-PCV periods, with no case of IPD admission in this age group documented during the last 2 years of the study period. We also observed that both VT-IPD and non-VT-IPD incidence rates decreased drastically among infants aged less than 10 weeks, though these declines did not show statistical significance. The decline of non-VT-IPD observed in this age group suggests that there are other socioeconomic and epidemiologic factors, including improved access to HIV care that contribute to lessening the risk of IPD. However, despite the decline of VT-IPD and non-VT-IPD, evidence of circulation of VT-carriage among vaccinated children raises the potential for ongoing pneumococcal transmission in our setting.<sup><xref rid="R25" ref-type="bibr">25</xref></sup></p><p id="P24">We observed a notable 62% reduction in the incidence of CSP among infants aged less than 10 weeks following PCV introduction. The indirect effect of PCV on the risk of pneumonia in older children and adults has been documented in high-income countries.<sup><xref rid="R26" ref-type="bibr">26</xref>,<xref rid="R27" ref-type="bibr">27</xref></sup> However, data on indirect effect of PCV in young infants from low-income settings were limited.</p><p id="P25">The incidence of death due to IPD and CSP among young infants aged less than 10 weeks observed in this study decreased from 47 to 0.0 cases per 100,000 CYAR, and from 457 to 324 cases per 100,000 CYAR in the pre- to post-PCV10 periods, respectively. Some evidence exists on the effect of PCV introduction on child mortality, especially in high- and middle-resource settings. In Denmark, a nationwide population-based cohort study looking at the impact of the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13 showed a substantial decline (28%) in pneumococcal-related mortality across all age groups (from &#x0003c;2 to &#x02265;65 years); mainly among the nonvaccinated population.<sup><xref rid="R28" ref-type="bibr">28</xref></sup> In addition, data from South Africa showed a reduction of 23% in mortality in children 8&#x02013;18 years of age who are not eligible to receive vaccination.<sup><xref rid="R29" ref-type="bibr">29</xref></sup> However, most studies of PCV impact on mortality reflect a direct effect or a mix of direct and indirect effects. This study adds to the literature by showing a reduction in IPD and pneumonia-related mortality in infants too young for vaccination.</p><p id="P26">Our findings should be interpreted considering some potential limitations. First, data on HIV status were not systematically measured and were not included in the analysis. Improvements in the access to antiretroviral drugs for maternal prophylaxis and prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV occurred over the study period<sup><xref rid="R30" ref-type="bibr">30</xref></sup>; data from Malawi and South Africa documented a significant decline of IPD after the implementation of antiretroviral treatment programs.<sup><xref rid="R31" ref-type="bibr">31</xref>,<xref rid="R32" ref-type="bibr">32</xref></sup> Therefore, some of the reduction in IPD incidence observed in our study is likely attributable to reductions in pediatric HIV infections. Second, the before&#x02013;after study design for the evaluation of the population effect of vaccines is susceptible to bias due to the potential impact of other public health interventions deployed in the study area, such as the massive investment in malaria control strategies (indoor residual spraying and bed net distribution), the introduction of rotavirus vaccine in the country and the overall improvement of socioeconomic and health care. Taking all this into account, it is recognized that the overall reduction of IPD and pneumonia, including mortality observed in this study, cannot be attributed solely to the effect of vaccine introduction. Third, the passive case detection approach may have missed IPD episodes occurring in the community and not seeking health care or with difficulties in accessing the health system. Also, the differences in the proportion of eligible cases having blood culture and CSF done between the pre- and post-PCV periods might influence incidence rate calculations. Moreover, some cases from the study area may not have been identified during the first days of life due to a delay in the allocation of permanent identification numbers from the surveillance system in both the pre- and post-PCV periods. The combination of these factors could have led to an underestimation of the true number of episodes in both periods. Therefore, incidences can be considered in fact as &#x0201c;minimum community-based incidence rates (MCBIR).&#x0201d; Finally, the small case count may also have had an impact on our findings.</p><p id="P27">In conclusion, our data provide further evidence that routine infant PCV use can result in indirect protection among infants too young for vaccination, and potentially reduce IPD mortality in this age group. Ensuring the long-term continuation of PCV vaccination programs with high coverage in LMIC is essential for the reduction of childhood morbidity and mortality, and advancing toward the ending of preventable deaths in young infants.</p></sec><sec sec-type="supplementary-material" id="SM1"><title>Supplementary Material</title><supplementary-material id="SD1" position="float" content-type="local-data"><label>supplementary material 3</label><media xlink:href="NIHMS2058886-supplement-supplementary_material_3.pdf" id="d67e552" position="anchor"/></supplementary-material><supplementary-material id="SD2" position="float" content-type="local-data"><label>supplementary material 5</label><media xlink:href="NIHMS2058886-supplement-supplementary_material_5.pdf" id="d67e555" position="anchor"/></supplementary-material><supplementary-material id="SD3" position="float" content-type="local-data"><label>supplementary material 6</label><media xlink:href="NIHMS2058886-supplement-supplementary_material_6.pdf" id="d67e558" position="anchor"/></supplementary-material><supplementary-material id="SD4" position="float" content-type="local-data"><label>supplementary material 4</label><media xlink:href="NIHMS2058886-supplement-supplementary_material_4.pdf" id="d67e561" position="anchor"/></supplementary-material><supplementary-material id="SD5" position="float" content-type="local-data"><label>supplementary material 1</label><media xlink:href="NIHMS2058886-supplement-supplementary_material_1.pdf" id="d67e564" position="anchor"/></supplementary-material><supplementary-material id="SD6" position="float" content-type="local-data"><label>supplementary material</label><media xlink:href="NIHMS2058886-supplement-supplementary_material.pdf" id="d67e567" position="anchor"/></supplementary-material></sec></body><back><ack id="S18"><title>ACKNOWLEDGMENTS</title><p id="P28">The authors are grateful to the children and their parents for participating in the study. The authors thank all clinicians and laboratory technicians from the CISM and the Manhi&#x000e7;a District Hospital for their contribution to the conduct of the study. The authors also thank the health authorities from Manhi&#x000e7;a District and the Ministry of Health of Mozambique for their continued support and collaboration with the research activities ongoing at the Manhi&#x000e7;a District Hospital. The authors acknowledge support from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the &#x0201c;Centro de Excelencia Severo Ochoa 2019&#x02013;2023&#x0201d; _Program (CEX2018&#x02013;000806-S) and support from the Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program.</p><p id="P29">This work received support from the Program for Appropriate Technology in Health (PATH) through the pneumonia and Pneumococcus surveillance study (GAT.770&#x02013;790-01350-LPS), Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation through Center for Vaccine Development, University of Maryland, School of Medicine (Grant: S00957), GAVI Alliance through the Hib Initiative (Award No. 90022369), GAVI Full Country Evaluation through Institute for health Metrics and Evaluation-IHME (University of Washington-Subcontract No. 759940 and 760010) and from the U.S. Agency for International Development (Fixed Obligation Grant: AID-656-f-12&#x02013;00001 and TFA-656&#x02013;12-000003) through the Surveillance for Paediatric Pneumonia and Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Mozambique. The routine clinical, microbiological and demographic surveillance ongoing at the MDH run by the CISM receives support since its beginning from the core funding provided by the Spanish Agency for International Development and Cooperation (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Spain). A.B. was supported by the Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, Government of Spain through a Ramon y Cajal Grant (RYC-2013&#x02013;14512). The authors acknowledge support from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the &#x0201c;Centro de Excelencia Severo Ochoa 2019&#x02013;2023&#x0201d; _Program (CEX2018&#x02013;000806-S), and support from the Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program.</p><p id="P30">The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.</p></ack><fn-group><fn fn-type="COI-statement" id="FN1"><p id="P31">The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.</p></fn><fn id="FN2"><p id="P32">Supplemental digital content is available for this article. 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