This work was authored as part of Ellen E. Yard, Johnni H. Daniel, Lauren S. Lewis, Michael E. Rybak, Ekaterina M. Paliakov, Andrea A. Kim, Joel M. Montgomery, Rebecca Bunnell, and Robert F. Breiman's official duties as Employees of the United States Government and is therefore a work of the United States Government. In accordance with 17 USC. 105, no copyright protection is available for such works under US Law.
Mamo Umuro Abudo, Willis Akhwale, and Shahnaaz K. Sharif waive their assertion of copyright but not their right to be named as authors of the paper.
Aflatoxins contaminate approximately 25% of agricultural products worldwide. They can cause liver failure and liver cancer. Kenya has experienced multiple aflatoxicosis outbreaks in recent years, often resulting in fatalities. However, the full extent of aflatoxin exposure in Kenya has been unknown. Our objective was to quantify aflatoxin exposure across Kenya. We analysed aflatoxin levels in serum specimens from the 2007 Kenya AIDS Indicator Survey – a nationally representative, cross-sectional serosurvey. KAIS collected 15,853 blood specimens. Of the 3180 human immunodeficiency virus-negative specimens with ≥1 mL sera, we randomly selected 600 specimens stratified by province and sex. We analysed serum specimens for aflatoxin albumin adducts by using isotope dilution MS/MS to quantify aflatoxin B1-lysine, and normalised with serum albumin. Aflatoxin concentrations were then compared by demographic, socioeconomic and geographic characteristics. We detected serum aflatoxin B1-lysine in 78% of serum specimens (range = <LOD-211 pg/mg albumin, median = 1.78 pg/mg albumin). Aflatoxin exposure did not vary by sex, age group, marital status, religion or socioeconomic characteristics. Aflatoxin exposure varied by province (
Aflatoxins are fungal toxins derived from some strains of
Aflatoxins have a variety of hepatotoxic and carcinogenic characteristics. Chronic exposure has been linked to hepatocellular carcinoma (
Aflatoxin exposure has been well documented in Kenya; the first reported aflatoxicosis outbreak occurred in 1981 (
Like most countries, Kenya has no national aflatoxicosis surveillance. Thus, it is unknown whether aflatoxicosis outbreaks and aflatoxin exposure are truly limited to a part of the Eastern province. It is also not known whether aflatoxin exposure varies by demographic, socioeconomic or ecologic factors. This information is critical for determining the total burden of disease attributed to aflatoxin exposure and for targeting public health interventions. Thus, we conducted a cross-sectional serological and epidemiologic survey to assess aflatoxin exposure throughout Kenya and to compare aflatoxin exposure by demographic, socioeconomic and geographic characteristics.
We analysed aflatoxin levels in serum specimens that were originally collected during the 2007 Kenya AIDS Indicator Survey (KAIS) (
Sampling diagram along with inclusion and exclusion criteria
We had a target sample size of 600 serum specimens for this aflatoxin exposure assessment, based on what was logistically and financially feasible. We stratified the 3180 available specimens by Kenya's eight provinces (Nyanza, Western, Rift Valley, Central, Nairobi, Eastern, North Eastern and Coast) and sex and randomly selected an approximately equal number of specimens from each of the 16 possible combinations of province and sex (
Of the 600 selected serum specimens, 3 specimens were of insufficient quantity/quality for laboratory analysis and 2 specimens were mislabelled, preventing us from being able to link them to demographics data. Thus, non-stratified analyses (which did not require linkage) include 597 participants; stratified analyses (which required linkage) include 595 participants.
Serum specimens were linked to household- and individual-level questionnaires that were also collected as part of the KAIS. All participants were aged 15–64 years. The questionnaires captured demographics, socioeconomic status and general health status (i.e., had they been sick in the past week, had they sought health care in the past 3 months and had anyone in their household sought health care in the past 4 weeks). Data were collected during August-November of 2007.
The 600 serum specimens selected for the aflatoxin assessment were similar in sex and age to the full KAIS sample of 15,853 specimens. There was some geographical variation. The parent KAIS selected participants from provinces with probability proportionate to size, whereas we selected an equal number of serum specimens from each province. Kenya's North-Eastern province is less populated than the rest of the country. Thus, the North-Eastern province accounted for only 5% of all KAIS participants but 12% of the serum specimens for this aflatoxin assessment.
During initial collection, blood samples were transported to the National Reference Laboratory in Nairobi, Kenya, for HIV testing and remnant serum was stored at −70°C for future testing. HIV test results were returned to participants. The 600 serum specimens included in this study were shipped on dry ice to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) National Center for Environmental Health Division of Laboratory Sciences (DLS, Atlanta, Georgia, USA) for analysis. CDC DLS analysed serum specimens for aflatoxin B1 albumin adduct, which consisted of two measurements: (1) analysis of aflatoxin B1-lysine (AFB1-lys) by using LC-MS/MS (
We analysed data by using SAS version 9.3. We assigned AFB1-lys concentrations <LOD (0.02 ng/mL) a value equal to the LOD divided by the square root of 2. We normalised serum AFB1-lys concentrations to serum albumin concentrations and present aflatoxin adduct levels in units of pg/mg (
We also compared the aflatoxin exposure levels seen here to those in other countries. However, aflatoxin exposure levels calculated by different laboratories by using different assays are not directly comparable. To correctly interpret aflatoxin data across studies, we applied a method conversion factor. Such factors have been computed previously as follows: radioimmunoassay LC-MS/MS ∼ radioimmunoassay ÷ 32); enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (LC-MS/MS ∼ enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay ÷ 3.3); and HPLC using fluorometric detection (LC-MS/MS ∼ HPLC using fluorometric detection ÷ 0.71) (
Participants provided informed oral consent for interviews, blood draws and storage of blood for future testing of unspecified pathogens. Survey participants were informed that future test results would not be returned to them. The survey protocol was approved by the Ethics Review Committee of the Kenya Medical Research Institute and the Institutional Review Board of the US CDC.
AFB1-lys adducts were detected in 78% of serum specimens (range = <LOD-9.52 ng/mL; median = 4.5 ng/mL). Albumin-corrected serum AFB1-lys levels ranged from <LOD to 211 pg/mg, with a median of 1.78 pg/mg.
Aflatoxin exposure was ubiquitous by sex, age, marital status and religion (
AFB1-lys levels (pg/mg albumin) by demographic characteristics, Kenya 2007.
| Characteristic | % >LOD | Range | Median (95% CI) | 75th Pct | 90th Pct | GM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 597 | 78 | <LOD–211 | 1.78 (1.46–2.12) | 5.53 | 15.1 | 2.01 |
| Sex | |||||||
| Men | 282 | 79 | <LOD–186 | 1.85 (1.40–2.61) | 6.75 | 16.8 | 2.15 |
| Women | 313 | 78 | <LOD–211 | 1.73 (1.43–2.08) | 4.78 | 12.6 | 1.89 |
| If female, pregnant | |||||||
| Yes | 26 | 77 | <LOD–105 | 1.78 (0.89–3.16) | 8.06 | 17.6 | 2.25 |
| No | 243 | 78 | <LOD–211 | 1.73 (1.43–2.14) | 4.88 | 12.8 | 1.89 |
| Age (years) | |||||||
| 15–24 | 212 | 81 | <LOD–207 | 2.00 (1.49–2.44) | 6.74 | 15.7 | 2.32 |
| 25–29 | 61 | 74 | <LOD–105 | 1.46 (0.73–3.00) | 5.40 | 15.8 | 1.76 |
| 30–39 | 120 | 75 | <LOD–211 | 1.62 (1.25–2.61) | 5.00 | 16.8 | 1.90 |
| 40–49 | 107 | 77 | <LOD–44.1 | 1.78 (1.25–2.62) | 5.48 | 13.7 | 1.95 |
| 50–59 | 67 | 76 | <LOD–53.2 | 1.40 (0.83–2.68) | 4.32 | 10.3 | 1.61 |
| 60–64 | 28 | 89 | <LOD–49.2 | 2.26 (1.11–5.00) | 5.52 | 16.4 | 2.30 |
| Marital status | |||||||
| Not married | 233 | 80 | <LOD–211 | 1.92 (1.49–2.55) | 5.88 | 14.0 | 2.14 |
| Married | 362 | 77 | <LOD–207 | 1.64 (1.39–2.17) | 5.32 | 15.9 | 1.93 |
| Religion | |||||||
| Muslim | 101 | 79 | <LOD–96.9 | 2.00 (1.46–2.65) | 4.42 | 7.44 | 1.84 |
| Roman Catholic | 159 | 81 | <LOD–186 | 1.95 (1.43–2.91) | 6.43 | 18.6 | 2.24 |
| Other Christian | 322 | 76 | <LOD–211 | 1.51 (1.28–2.04) | 5.53 | 14.9 | 1.90 |
Notes: AFB1-lys, aflatoxin B1-lysine; CI, confidence interval; GM, geometric mean; Pct, percentile.
Totals do not always sum to 597 because of missing data.
AFB1-lys levels (pg/mg albumin) by socioeconomic characteristics, Kenya 2007.
| Characteristic | % >LOD | Range | Median (95% CI) | 75th Pct | 90th Pct | GM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 597 | 78 | <LOD–211 | 1.78 (1.46–2.12) | 5.53 | 15.1 | 2.01 |
| Wealth quintiles | |||||||
| Lowest | 124 | 75 | <LOD–180 | 1.53 (1.25–2.44) | 5.06 | 13.7 | 1.89 |
| Middle | 127 | 72 | <LOD–211 | 1.46 (1.05–2.40) | 5.32 | 17.6 | 1.86 |
| Highest | 140 | 87 | <LOD–179 | 2.06 (1.59–2.63) | 4.89 | 10.1 | 2.17 |
| Education | |||||||
| No primary | 111 | 78 | <LOD–207 | 1.90 (1.40–2.73) | 5.12 | 10.5 | 1.89 |
| Incomplete primary | 176 | 74 | <LOD–186 | 2.31 (1.46–2.96) | 7.96 | 22.0 | 2.35 |
| Complete primary | 151 | 80 | <LOD–96.9 | 2.00 (1.39–2.83) | 5.48 | 14.9 | 2.08 |
| Secondary | 157 | 80 | <LOD–211 | 1.33 (1.06–1.63) | 3.72 | 13.0 | 1.71 |
| Currently employed | |||||||
| Yes | 402 | 79 | <LOD–211 | 1.95 (1.43–2.34) | 5.88 | 16.1 | 2.10 |
| No | 193 | 77 | <LOD–179 | 1.63 (1.40–2.04) | 5.11 | 13.0 | 1.85 |
| Occupation | |||||||
| Service/shop/sales | 25 | 92 | <LOD–44.1 | 2.91 (1.36–4.77) | 5.11 | 10.0 | 2.64 |
| Professionals | 15 | 80 | <LOD–105 | 1.22 (0.47–2.26) | 2.26 | 5.60 | 1.41 |
| Technicians | 24 | 79 | <LOD–11.9 | 1.11 (0.85–1.56) | 2.48 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
Notes: Categories in bold represent
Totals do not always sum to 597 because of missing data.
Wealth index was a composite measure of the living standard of a household, calculated by using data on a household's ownership of selected assets, materials used for housing construction, water access and sanitation facilities.
Only includes occupations with ≥15 participants. Craft/trades includes miners, machine mechanics and food preparers; elementary includes street vendors, farm hands and construction/manufacturing labourers; service/shop/sales includes hairdressers, house stewards and shop assistants; professionals includes teachers and computing professionals; technicians includes engineers, business professionals and middle–level administration; farm/fishery includes farm workers.
Aflatoxin exposure varied by geographic location (
Map of AFB1-lys levels (pg/mg albumin) by district, Kenya 2007. AFB1-lys, aflatoxin B1-lysine
AFB1–lys levels (pg/mg albumin) by geographic characteristics, Kenya 2007.
| Characteristic | % >LOD | Range | Median (95% CI) | 75th Pct | 90th Pct | GM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 597 | 78 | <LOD–211 | 1.78 (1.46–2.12) | 5.53 | 15.1 | 2.01 |
| Province | |||||||
| Nairobi | 75 | 92 | <LOD–179 | 2.44 (1.63–3.10) | 5.40 | 11.8 | 2.60 |
| Central | 76 | 92 | <LOD–49.2 | 2.33 (1.60–3.26) | 4.55 | 16.1 | 2.39 |
| Western | 74 | 80 | <LOD–36.2 | 1.28 (0.91–1.60) | 3.04 | 10.7 | 1.47 |
| District | |||||||
| Busia | 19 | 100 | 0.57–36.2 | 4.32 (1.33–10.6) | 10.6 | 23.7 | 4.03 |
| Garissa | 30 | 97 | <LOD–35.5 | 3.96 (2.31–5.12) | 6.14 | 13.8 | 3.67 |
| Mombasa | 23 | 100 | 0.89–14.0 | 2.91 (1.95–5.22) | 6.04 | 8.40 | 3.08 |
| Nairobi | 75 | 92 | <LOD–179 | 2.44 (1.63–3.10) | 5.40 | 11.8 | 2.60 |
| Urban/rural | |||||||
| Urban | 134 | 93 | <LOD–207 | 2.23 (1.78–3.00) | 5.40 | 9.51 | 2.58 |
| Rural | 461 | 74 | <LOD–211 | 1.49 (1.30–2.00) | 5.71 | 16.2 | 1.87 |
| Town size | |||||||
| Mid–sized city | 7 | 100 | 0.51–10.4 | 3.26 (NA) | 8.68 | 10.4 | NA |
| Small town | 39 | 72 | <LOD–207 | 1.59 (1.22–2.61 | 4.32 | 15.7 | 1.71 |
Notes: Categories in bold represent
AFB1-lys, aflatoxin B1-lysine; CI, confidence interval; GM, geometric mean; NA, not applicable/available; Pct, percentile.
Totals do not always sum to 597 because of missing data.
GM not calculated for strata with fewer than 60% persons detected.
Only includes districts with ≥15 participants. Eastern province: Meru North and Makueni; Central province: Thika; Western province: Busia; North-Eastern province: Garissa and Mandera; Coast province: Mombasa; Nairobi province: Nairobi; Nyanza province: Central Kisii.
Large city: Nairobi, Mombassa and Kisumu; mid-sized city: Nakuru, Eldoret, Thika and Nyeri.
Aflatoxin levels were higher in urban (median = 2.23 pg/mg albumin) than in rural participants (median = 1.49 pg/mg albumin;
The final multivariate ordinal logistic regression model indicated that province and occupation were most closely related to aflatoxin exposure; all other characteristics were not statistically significant after this adjustment (data not shown).
The three health-related variables captured by the KAIS were all related to aflatoxin exposure: participants who reported that they were sick in the past week had higher aflatoxin adduct levels (median = 2.29 pg/mg albumin) than did those who reported not being sick (median = 1.67 pg/mg albumin,
We found widespread aflatoxin exposure across Kenya. Over three-quarters of serum specimens had evidence of recent exposure, and this exposure persisted across the spectrum of age, sex and socioeconomic status. This widespread exposure could negatively impact health throughout Kenya. Research suggests that chronic aflatoxin exposure at the levels seen here could stunt growth (
During aflatoxicosis outbreaks in Kenya in 2004, 2005 and 2010, GM aflatoxin levels among patients with potential liver dysfunction ranged from 120 to 1200 pg/mg albumin (
We found higher aflatoxin levels among persons who reported recently being sick or recently seeking health care. We do not know the details or the timing of the illness, and thus we cannot definitively link increased aflatoxin exposure to illness. It is possible that there is no causal association. However, the fact that all three of the health-related questions were associated with higher aflatoxin levels suggests a possible link. One possibility is that aflatoxin was causing liver damage or suppressing the immune system. Or, perhaps there was confounding between aflatoxin exposure, sickness and an unmeasured third variable such as diet, food security or physiological factors. We still know relatively little about the health effects of aflatoxin exposure, particularly the threshold at which physiologic changes begin to occur, and thus more research in this area is needed.
This study reinforces building evidence that aflatoxin is a problem in many African countries. After applying the appropriate method conversion factors as discussed in the “Materials and methods” section, aflatoxin exposure levels from this study (GM = 2.0 pg/mg albumin) appear to be slightly lower than levels reported previously from some other African countries. For example, Ethiopia (GM = 1 pg/mg albumin; unpublished data from authors), Gambia (published GM = 22–57 pg/mg albumin; LC-MS/MS-normalised GM = 7–80 pg/mg albumin) (
There is a large disparity in aflatoxin exposure between developed and developing countries. The largest population-based aflatoxin exposure assessment to date – and the only other national, baseline assessment that is directly comparable to our results – was conducted in the United States (
This serosurvey did not collect food samples. Maize is presumably the largest source of aflatoxin exposure in Kenya because it is the staple crop (
These data have some limitations. We selected serum specimens in an attempt to provide an indication of exposure throughout Kenya. However, they are not a statistically derived sample and thus we cannot make national estimates. Limited data were available on aflatoxin-related health outcomes or on risk factors for aflatoxin exposure, because the original survey was designed to study HIV. Finally, only one-fifth of participants providing a blood specimen for the KAIS were eligible for inclusion in the aflatoxin analysis. It is unlikely that aflatoxin exposure was related to the volume of available serum; however, it is possible that the aflatoxin level may have been related to HIV status. Evidence suggests that aflatoxin levels are higher among persons with HIV (
Our data demonstrate an urgent need to implement evidence-based interventions in Kenya to decrease aflatoxin exposure and subsequently avert adverse health effects. We found that aflatoxin distribution was not homogenous across province. Thus, these data should be used to target interventions to specific regions of high exposure. Various interventions have demonstrated effectiveness in controlled studies. These include planting resistant cultivars (
We documented exposure across Kenya, including in regions with no prior evidence of exposure and no documented aflatoxicosis outbreaks. Thus, this raises the question as to whether similar exposures may be occurring in neighbouring countries with a similar lack of previous exposure history. Similar serosurveys in other African countries that rely on aflatoxin-susceptible crops such as maize and groundnuts are warranted. With planning across public health sectors, other countries may also be able to reduce costs of such assessments by leveraging nationally representative serosurveys, such as the HIV prevalence survey that was leveraged here.
This study was funded through the United States President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Department of Health and Human Services. We thank the following organisations for their assistance in completing this research: the Government of Kenya, Kenya Ministry of Public Health and Sanitation, Kenya National HIV Reference Laboratory, CDC Global Disease Detection Division and the CDC Division of Global HIV/AIDS within CDC-Kenya.