Identifying communities with lower rates of mammography screening is a critical step to providing targeted screening programs; however, population-based data necessary for identifying these geographic areas are limited. This study presents methods to identify geographic disparities in the early detection of breast cancer.
Data for all women residing in Dane County, Wisconsin, at the time of their breast cancer diagnosis from 1981 through 2000 (N = 4769) were obtained from the Wisconsin Cancer Reporting System (Wisconsin's tumor registry) by ZIP code of residence. Hierarchical logistic regression models for disease mapping were used to identify geographic differences in the early detection of breast cancer.
The percentage of breast cancer cases diagnosed in situ (excluding lobular carcinoma in situ) increased from 1.3% in 1981 to 11.9% in 2000. This increase, reflecting increasing mammography use, occurred sooner in Dane County than in Wisconsin as a whole. From 1981 through 1985, the proportion of breast cancer diagnosed in situ in Dane county was universally low (2%–3%). From 1986 through 1990, urban and suburban ZIP codes had significantly higher rates (10%) compared with rural ZIP codes (5%). From 1991 through 1995, mammography screening had increased in rural ZIP codes (7% of breast cancer diagnosed in situ). From 1996 through 2000, mammography use was fairly homogeneous across the entire county (13%–14% of breast cancer diagnosed in situ).
The percentage of breast cancer cases diagnosed in situ increased in the state and in all areas of Dane County from 1981 through 2000. Visual display of the geographic differences in the early detection of breast cancer demonstrates the diffusion of mammography use across the county over the 20-year period.
Geographic differences in health status and use of health services have been reported in the United States and internationally (
Needs assessment to account for noncompliance with breast cancer screening recommendations has focused on personal factors related to participation, including the barriers women perceive (
The purpose of this study was to identify geographic disparities in the early detection of breast cancer using cancer registry data. This information can be used to identify areas where increased mammography screening is needed and to understand the diffusion of innovation in an urban or a rural setting.
Cancer registry data were used for these analyses. Validity of the use of these data rests on the correlation between the percentage of breast cancer diagnosed in situ and mammography screening rates; breast cancer in situ (BCIS) (excluding lobular carcinoma in situ [13-15]) is the earliest stage of localized breast cancer and is diagnosed almost exclusively by mammography (
In Wisconsin, either a physician can refer a patient for screening or a woman can self-refer. More than 60% of the mammography imaging facilities in the state accept self-referrals (
All female breast cancer cases diagnosed from 1981 through 2000 were identified by the Wisconsin Cancer Reporting System (WCRS). The WCRS was established in 1976 as mandated by Wisconsin state statute to collect cancer incidence data on Wisconsin residents. In compliance with state law, hospitals and physicians are required to report cancer cases to the WCRS (within 6 months of initial diagnosis for hospitals and within 3 months for physicians, through their clinics). Variables obtained from the WCRS included histology (
Dane County is located in south central Wisconsin. The population of the county in 1990 was 367,085, with 20% of the population living in rural areas (
Map of Dane County, Wisconsin, showing capital city of Madison, major lakes, active mammogram facilities, and percentage of area classified as urban by ZIP code, using 1996 ZIP code boundaries and 1990 census data. Inset map shows location of Dane County within the state.
We determined the percentage of breast cancer cases diagnosed as BCIS in Wisconsin and Dane County over time and by ZIP codes for Dane County. For ZIP codes that encompassed areas beyond the borders of Dane County, only women who reported their county of residence as Dane were included in the analysis. The percentage of BCIS by ZIP code was mapped using 1996 ZIP code boundary files. For 17 breast cancer cases in which the women's ZIP codes no longer existed, each ZIP code was reassigned to the ZIP code in the same location.
We used analytic methods to estimate rates of early breast cancer detection by ZIP code. Because of small numbers of BCIS cases in each ZIP code, a well-characterized statistical method was used to stabilize the prediction of rates by borrowing information from neighboring ZIP codes (
For each time period, two CAR models were fitted. The first model included age group as the only covariate. Age group effects were modeled using an exchangeable normal prior. The standard deviation of this distribution was given a uniform prior. The second model included additional ZIP-code–level covariates. Potential covariates were urban or rural status, education, median household income, marital status, employment status, and commuting time from the Summary Tape File 3 of the 1990 U.S. Census of Population and Housing (
Posterior estimates of the age-adjusted percentage of BCIS for each ZIP code in each time period were obtained from the CAR model. Posterior medians were used as point estimates of the parameters, and 95% posterior credible intervals were obtained. Analyses were performed using WinBUGS software (
As an empirical check on our mapping, we fitted a regression model to the BCIS rates by ZIP code. The dependent variable was BCIS rates (using the posterior estimates of age-adjusted percentage of BCIS), and the independent variable in the model was linear distance from the University of Wisconsin Comprehensive Cancer Center (UWCCC), located in Madison, to the centroid of each ZIP code.
A total of 4769 breast cancer cases were reported in Dane County from 1981 through 2000: 825 from 1981 through 1985, 1119 from 1986 through 1990, 1239 from 1991 through 1995, and 1586 from 1996 through 2000. Percentage of cases in situ varied by age group from a high of 18% among women aged 45 to 49 years to a low of 0% among women aged 20 to 24 years. From the mid 1980s, the age group most frequently diagnosed with BCIS was women aged 45 to 49. In contrast, women aged 20 to 34 and older than 84 were the least often (≤2%) diagnosed with BCIS (data not shown). Based on the 1990 U.S. census, the total female population (aged 18 years and older) in Dane County was 145,974; 60% of the female population had more than a high school degree, and 15% of the female population aged 25 and older had never married.
In Dane County, the percentage of BCIS increased from 1.3% in 1981 to 11.9% in 2000. For the state, the percentage of BCIS increased from 1.5% in 1981 to 12.8% in 2000. From 1981 to 1993, Dane County had a higher percentage of BCIS diagnosis than the state as a whole. By the mid-1990s, the percentage of BCIS among breast cancer cases in Dane County was similar to the percentage in the state (
Smoothed trends in percentage of breast cancer cases diagnosed in situ (excluding lobular carcinoma in situ), Dane County, Wisconsin, and Wisconsin, 1981–2000. Data point for Dane County, 1980, was estimated from Andersen et al (
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|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| 1981 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 1982 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| 1983 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1984 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| 1985 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| 1986 | 8.6 | 4.3 |
| 1987 | 7.6 | 5.1 |
| 1988 | 13.9 | 6.8 |
| 1989 | 6.4 | 5.8 |
| 1990 | 11.5 | 7.1 |
| 1991 | 8.6 | 7.2 |
| 1992 | 12.5 | 9.8 |
| 1993 | 9.6 | 9.5 |
| 1994 | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| 1995 | 11.2 | 11.9 |
| 1996 | 12.2 | 12.3 |
| 1997 | 15.2 | 14.3 |
| 1998 | 13.7 | 13.4 |
| 1999 | 13.6 | 13.9 |
| 2000 | 11.9 | 12.8 |
Model-based estimates of age-adjusted percentage of breast cancer cases diagnosed in situ during four 5-year periods, by ZIP code, Dane County, Wisconsin, 1981–2000. BCIS indicates breast cancer in situ.
From 1981 through 1985, there was no significant relationship between distance from UWCCC and the rate of BCIS (
The frequency of BCIS diagnosis increased substantially in Wisconsin and in Dane County from 1981 through 2000. This increase in percentage of BCIS among diagnosed breast cancer cases is consistent with increases in self-reported mammography use, Wisconsin Medicare claims for mammography, and the number of medical imaging centers in Wisconsin (
Although median household income by ZIP code was not a predictor of mammography use in our study, the amount of disposable income by individuals, which is not captured by this variable, might also have been an important factor for early adopters (
As the use of this technology diffused outward, increasing numbers of women living in suburban and rural areas surrounding Madison elected to get a mammogram. From 1996 through 2000, the geographic disparity in mammography use was muted, although the eastern corridor of Dane County still had slightly lower rates of BCIS than other parts of the county. The reasons for persistent disparity in this region of Dane County are unclear: it is unlikely to be because of proximity to mammography screening facilities, nor are the ZIP-code–level SES measures such as percentage unemployed, household income, percentage below poverty level, or education level statistically different from the western corridor of Dane County.
Differences in the trends of early detection of breast cancer within Dane County suggest that progress in mammography screening has not been uniform across the county. From 1996 through 2000, while more than 14% of age-adjusted breast cancer cases were diagnosed as BCIS in Madison, fewer than 6% of age-adjusted breast cancer cases were diagnosed as BCIS in a few outlying and more rural areas of Dane County, reflecting lower mammography use by residents in this area. The results of an earlier analysis of these data were shared with local health department staff in rural Dane County who were working to increase early detection efforts through outreach education and referrals to providers. As suggested by Andersen et al, strategies to improve mammography use include improving access to primary care physicians, increasing the number of mammography facilities located in rural areas, and increasing outreach efforts by a network of public health professionals promoting screening in their community (
Persistent disparities in mammography use after adjusting for community level of educational attainment and marital status were found. Other studies have found that patients with cancer living in census tracts with lower median levels of education attainment are diagnosed in later disease stages than are patients in tracts with higher median levels of education (
This study demonstrates the use of percentage of BCIS as a tool for comparing population-based mammography screening rates in different geographic areas. Using cancer incidence data to monitor population-based rates of breast cancer screening is possible throughout the nation, because data from population-based cancer registries are now widely available, often by ZIP code or census tract. This method permits comparison of mammography screening rates among geographic areas smaller than areas used in many previous studies of geographic variation in the early detection of breast cancer (
The method described in this article can be used to complement other ways to assess the quality of health care in communities, such as the Health Plan Employer Data and Information Set (HEDIS), created by the National Committee for Quality Assurance. HEDIS addresses overall rates in managed care but does not include the underinsured or fee-for-service populations particularly at risk for inadequate screening (
A potential weakness in this method is the representativeness of the statewide tumor registry. However, the WCRS has been evaluated by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and was given its gold standard for quality, completeness, and timeliness in 1995 and 1996, the first 2 years this standard was recognized (
Another limitation of this type of analysis is our use of BCIS as a proxy for mammography screening practices. Undoubtedly, some diagnoses of BCIS result from diagnostic mammograms, but reported use of screening mammograms by individuals and medical facilities correlates strongly with percentage of BCIS over time, particularly ductal carcinoma in situ (
A third limitation, which would be found in any type of geographic analysis, rests on the accuracy of the assignment of participants to the proper location. For area analysis (e.g., ZIP code, county), this legitimate concern is ameliorated by using tools to check ZIP codes and county assignments for correctness. For this study, women diagnosed with breast cancer provided their addresses, including county of residence, to their medical facilities. These addresses were forwarded to the WCRS, where quality-control checks were implemented to validate ZIP code and county assignments. For example, reference tables of ZIP codes and their county codes were cross-referenced to the ZIP codes and county codes of the addresses provided by the women diagnosed with breast cancer. Inaccuracies were corrected by the WCRS (oral communication, Laura Stephenson, WCRS, January 2005).
Although there has been significant improvement in breast cancer screening across the state and county, this study demonstrates that the improvement has not been uniform. The maps clearly indicate for program directors and policy makers the areas where further outreach and research should be conducted. More specifically, this type of analysis can be used to identify specific areas (such as ZIP codes) within a community (such as a county) with varying rates of early-stage breast cancer. Using this method, public health professionals can provide population-level data to all health care providers to target interventions to improve the early detection of breast cancer in other counties in Wisconsin and other states. Finally, this type of analysis is useful for comprehensive cancer control efforts and can be conducted for other cancers with effective screening methods, such as colorectal cancer.
The authors are grateful to Dr Larry Hanrahan and Mark Bunge for advice and Laura Stephenson of the WCRS for assistance with data.
This study was supported by National Cancer Institute grant U01CA82004.
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