In a hospital-based observational study in Germany, we investigated children admitted to pediatric intensive care units and deaths caused by confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009 to identify risk factors and outcomes in critically ill children. Ninety-three children were eligible for our study, including 9 with hospital-acquired infections. Seventy-five percent had underlying chronic medical conditions; neurodevelopmental disorders were most prevalent (57%). The proportion of patients having
The novel strain of influenza known as pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus that originated in Mexico and the United States resulted in the first pandemic of the 21st century. Cases were observed in 214 countries, and 18,097 laboratory-confirmed deaths caused by this virus have been reported (
Children were particularly affected by pandemic (H1N1) 2009. This finding is evident in the age distribution of patients, which is skewed toward younger age groups, and in high hospitalization rates for children identified in many settings worldwide (
Studies conducted in pediatric ICU (PICU) settings originate predominantly from the Americas (
We investigated cases of critically ill children with confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009 in pediatric hospitals in Germany. The 375 study sites participating in the established nationwide active surveillance network Survey Center for Rare Pediatric Diseases in Germany (ESPED) comprise all pediatric hospitals in Germany.
The study included pediatric cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 reported during August 2009–April 30, 2010. Cases were defined as illness in patients <15 years of age who had a laboratory-confirmed infection with pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus (determined by PCR, virus isolation, or antigen detection) and were admitted to a PICU or died.
A structured questionnaire, adapted from an earlier study on seasonal influenza by Liese et al. (
Overview of study participation and participant groups among children with severe pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Germany, 2009–2010. PICU, pediatric intensive care unit.
The structured questionnaire included patient information; data on the hospital stay; clinical signs and symptoms of illness; clinical and laboratory diagnosis; specific treatments; underlying chronic medical conditions (chronic respiratory diseases, cardiac diseases, immunodeficiency and neurodevelopmental disorders, including developmental delay, cerebral palsy, epilepsy, and other cognitive disorders); status of influenza vaccination; and complications of the disease. Answer categories were predetermined, but other diagnoses and concurrent conditions could additionally be specified by the respondents as free text.
Descriptive statistics comprised the calculation of median and interquartile ranges (IQRs) for continuous variables and absolute numbers and proportions (together with 95% binomial exact confidence intervals [CIs] where appropriate) for categorical variables. For the calculation of inpatient periods, patients were excluded if they had acquired pandemic (H1N1) 2009 while hospitalized. Comparative analyses were performed on the basis of the Wilcoxon rank-sum test for continuous variables and Fisher exact test for categorical variables only for patients admitted to a PICU. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs were calculated. Logistic regression was performed for continuous independent variables. All reported p values were 2-sided, and p<0.05 was considered significant. Statistical analyses were performed by using Stata 11.0 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX, USA).
Adherence to national data protection laws was approved by the Federal Commissioner for Data Protection and Freedom of Information of Germany. Ethical approval was granted by the Ethics Committee, Charité, Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Germany.
During the study period, we included 93 critically ill children with confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009. Their dates of disease onset were September 21, 2009–February 23, 2010; a peak in November 2009 included 58% of the cases (
Date of symptom onset for 86 children with severe pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Germany, September 21, 2009–February 22, 2010. Only children with available information are included.
Age distribution of 93 children with severe pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Germany, 2009–2010.
Seventy-five percent (67/89 with available information) of the patients had ≥1 underlying chronic medical condition known as a risk factor for seasonal influenza. The age distribution by presence or absence of ≥1 underlying chronic medical condition is shown in
Age group distribution of 89 children with severe pandemic (H1N1) 2009, by number of underlying chronic medical conditions (risk factors), Germany, 2009–2010. Only children with available information are listed. Risk factors are chronic respiratory diseases, cardiac diseases, immunodeficiency, and neurodevelopmental disorders.
| Characteristic | Total | Nonsurvivors not in PICU | Admitted to PICU | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survivors | Nonsurvivors | Subtotal | p value | OR (95% CI) | |||
| Underlying chronic medical conditions | |||||||
| Any | 67/89 (75) | 4/4 (100) | 56/76 (74) | 7/9 (78) | 63/85 (74) | 1 | 1.3 (0.2–13.3) |
| Neurodevelopmental disorders | 51/89 (57) | 4/4 (100) | 40/75 (53) | 7/10 (70) | 47/85 (55) | 0.501 | 2.0 (0.4–13.1) |
| Respiratory disease | 31/82 (38) | 2/3 (67) | 25/70 (36) | 4/9 (44) | 29/79 (37) | 0.718 | 1.4 (0.3–7.3) |
| Immunodeficiency | 13/80 (16) | 1/4 (25) | 12/67 (18) | 0/9 (0) | 12/76 (16) | 0.339 | 0.0 (0.0–2.1) |
| Cardiac disease | 11/84 (13) | 0/4 (0) | 9/70 (13) | 2/10 (20) | 11/80 (14) | 0.621 | 1.7 (0.2–10.6) |
| Vaccination status in patients | |||||||
| Any influenza | 9/56 (16) | 0/4 (0) | 9/48 (19) | 0/4 (0) | 9/52 (17) | 1 | 0.0 (0.0–4.7) |
| Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 | 5/53 (9) | 0/4 (0) | 5/45 (11) | 0/4 (0) | 5/49 (10) | 1 | 0.0 (0.0–9.2) |
*Values are no. positive/no with available information (%) except as indicated. PICU, pediatric intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. ORs were calculated only among patients admitted to the PICU.
Pneumonia was the most frequent clinical diagnosis. It was documented in 70 (75%) of 93 patients and was the only diagnosis for 37% of them. The second most frequent diagnosis was acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in 22 (24%) of 93 patients. This diagnosis was only reported for patients admitted to a PICU and was associated with death (OR 7.4, 95% CI, 1.6–37.8; p = 0.004). Six patients had a diagnosis of encephalopathy and 2 had a diagnosis of myocarditis (
| Clinical diagnosis | Total† | Nonsurvivors not in PICU† | Admitted to PICU | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survivors† | Nonsurvivors† | Subtotal† | p value | OR (95% CI) | |||
| Pneumonia | 70/93 (75) | 4/4 (100) | 59/78 (76) | 7/11 (64) | 66/89 (74) | 0.465 | 0.6 (0.1–2.9) |
| ARDS | 22/93 (24) | 0/4 (0) | 15/78 (19) | 7/11 (64) | 22/89 (25) | 0.004 | 7.4 (1.6–37.8) |
| Secondary pneumonia | 15/93 (16) | 0/4 (0) | 13/78 (17) | 2/11 (18) | 15/89 (17) | 1 | 1.1 (0.1–6.3) |
| Bronchitis/bronchiolitis | 12/93 (13) | 1/4 (25) | 10/78 (13) | 1/11 (9) | 11/89 (12) | 1 | 0.7 (0.0–5.8) |
| Encephalopathy | 6/93 (6) | 0/4 (0) | 5/78 (6) | 1/11 (9) | 6/89 (7) | 0.558 | 1.5 (0.0–15.1) |
| Sepsis | 6/93 (6) | 1/4 (25) | 5/78 (6) | 0/11 (0) | 5/89 (6) | 1 | 0.0 (0.0–5.6) |
| Status asthmaticus | 2/93 (2) | 0/4 (0) | 2/78 (3) | 0/11 (0) | 2/89 (2) | 1 | 0.0 (0.0–14.5) |
| Febrile seizure | 2/93 (2) | 0/4 (0) | 2/78 (3) | 0/11 (0) | 2/89 (2) | 1 | 0.0 (0.0–14.5) |
| Myocarditis | 2/93 (2) | 0/4 (0) | 1/78 (1) | 1/11 (9) | 2/89 (2) | 0.233 | 7.7 (0.1–611.9) |
| Other diagnosis‡ | 26/93 (28) | 0/4 (0) | 21/78 (27) | 5/11 (45) | 26/89 (29) | 0.287 | 2.3 (0.5–9.9) |
*Values are no. positive/no. with available information (%) except as indicated. PICU, pediatric intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome. ORs were calculated only among the cases admitted to the PICU. †Children may have had >1 diagnosis. ‡Acute exacerbation of a chronic disease or new diagnosis.
The median duration from symptom onset to hospital admission was 2 days (IQR 1–5 days), and the median duration from hospitalization to PICU admission was 0 days (IQR 0–1 days) for all patients admitted to the PICU. Both of these periods were not different between surviving patients and those who died in the PICU. Among those who died who were treated in the PICU, the median time from symptom onset to death was 8 days (IQR 3–12 days), and the median length of stay in the PICU was 2 days (IQR 0–8 days) (
| Characteristic | Total | Nonsurvivors not in PICU | Admitted to PICU | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survivors | Nonsurvivors | Subtotal | p value | |||
| Time course of illness, d | ||||||
| Symptom to hospital admission | 77, 2 (1–5) | 3, 1 (1–2) | 65, 2 (1–5) | 9, 1 (1–3) | 74, 2 (1–5) | 0.700 |
| Hospitalization to PICU admission | 74, 0 (0–1) | NA | 65, 0 (0–1) | 9, 1 (0–3) | 74, 0 (0–1) | 0.236 |
| PICU length of stay | 80, 8 (3–17) | NA | 69, 9 (3–18) | 11, 2 (0–8) | 80, 8 (3–17) | NC |
| Hospital length of stay | 83, 14 (5–23) | 3, 5 (3–12) | 69, 16 (7–25) | 11, 3 (2–12) | 80, 14.5 (5.5–23.5) | NC |
| Symptom onset to outcome† | 85, 16 (8–26) | 4, 5.5 (5–9.5) | 72, 18.5 (10.5–29.5) | 9, 8 (3–12) | 81, 17 (8–27) | NC |
| Time to treatment, d | ||||||
| Symptom onset to oseltamivir treatment | 45, 4 (1–7) | 1, 4‡ | 39, 4 (1–7) | 5, 4 (2–8) | 44, 4 (1–7) | 0.551 |
*Values given are total no. with available information, median (IQR) ,except as indicated. PICU, pediatric intensive care unit; IQR, interquartile range; NA, not applicable (not admitted to PICU); NC, not compared because of different outcomes (release for survivors and death for nonsurvivors). †Including patients with hospital-acquired pandemic (H1N1) 2009 infection. ‡Only 1 observation.
Among patients admitted to the PICU, oseltamivir was administered to 61% (51/84) of the patients; there was no difference in its use between survivors and those who died (
| Treatment | Total | Nonsurvivors not in PICU | Admitted to PICU |
| Survivors | Nonsurvivors | Subtotal | p value | OR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oseltamivir | 53/88 (60) | 2/4 (50) | 44/74 (59) | 7/10 (70) | 51/84 (61) | 0.733 | 1.6 (0.3–10.2) |
| Antimicrobial drug | 80/91 (88) | 4/4 (100) | 67/77 (87) | 9/10 (90) | 76/87 (87) | 1 | 1.3 (0.2–64.7) |
| Catecholamine | 28/85 (33) | 0/4 (0) | 20/70 (29) | 8/11 (73) | 28/81 (35) | 0.007 | 6.7 (1.4–41.8) |
| Mechanical ventilation | 56/90 (62) | 0/4 (0) | 45/75 (60) | 11/11 (100) | 56/86 (65) | 0.007 | NA (1.8–NA) |
*Values are no. positive/no with available information (%) except as indicated. PICU, pediatric intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval, NA, not applicable.
During the peak phase of the pandemic, active surveillance in pediatric hospitals identified 93 severe cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 in children with available information on prior medical history, course of disease, and outcome. When we compared absolute numbers, deaths of children caused by pandemic (H1N1) 2009 were reported 23× more frequently in our study than in a prospective study on seasonal influenza (
The higher number of reported deaths caused by pandemic (H1N1) 2009 might be partially explained by the high level of suspicion among physicians during the pandemic, which resulted in more frequent testing and diagnosis of influenza. This hypothesis is supported by a prospective study for seasonal influenza in the United States, in which only 43% of children admitted to a PICU with laboratory-confirmed influenza were independently given a diagnosis of influenza by the treating physician (
Our study indicated a PICU case-fatality rate of 12%, which is consistent with results from a study in Canada, which reported a case-fatality rate of 7% among 57 case-patients admitted to a PICU (
The incidence rate for severe cases in PICU-admitted patients <15 years of age was 8.0 cases/million children, which was 5× times as high as the cumulative incidence over the 3 previous influenza seasons in the same population group reported by Liese et al. (1.7 cases/million children in the same age group) (
Children <1 year of age represented 20% of our cohort, and thus a higher proportion than in the cohort investigated in the Netherlands (15%) (
In our study, ARDS and pneumonia were the most frequent diagnoses among those who died. ARDS was the only diagnosis strongly associated with a fatal outcome (PICU case-fatality rate 32%). In Argentina, 80% of the children in a PICU had ARDS, and this condition was also associated with death (
Nine of 93 children in our study had acquired pandemic (H1N1) 2009 while hospitalized. The risk for nosocomial transmission of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 has also been documented in other studies (
We observed that patients who died had a median time in the hospital of 3 days, including 2 days in a PICU. Death occurred despite maximum intensive care therapy, as demonstrated by the higher rate of catecholamine treatment and mechanical ventilation among those who died. This observed rapid course of fatal disease despite intensive care, which was also reported in the United Kingdom (
The proportion of patients having
In our study, only 5 children had been vaccinated against pandemic (H1N1) 2009. Their vaccination dates were not given, and it remains unclear whether the interval was sufficient to acquire immune protection. A considerable proportion of the patients with investigated cases could not benefit from immunization because the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 vaccine was not publicly available in Germany until after November 2, 2009, and 17% of all children in this study were <6 months of age. In Germany, neurodevelopmental disorders had not been explicitly included in the chronic medical conditions in the vaccination recommendations for seasonal influenza (
Recent reports on adults and children with pandemic (H1N1) 2009 suggested that oseltamivir therapy benefitted patients with severe cases. Early treatment within 2 days after symptom onset was statistically associated with a lower risk for ICU admission and death in hospitalized pandemic (H1N1) 2009 patients (n = 272; median age 21 years) than with later treatment (
The representativeness of our study was assessed by comparing our data with those from the national databases. First, the timeline of our cases was compared with the Praxis Index, which derives from the syndromic surveillance system of the national working group on influenza and accounts for all notifications of influenza-like illness cases in Germany. The Praxis Index curve and the epidemiologic curve of patients investigated in our study show similar shapes. Second, of the 15 identified deaths in our study, 14 could be matched with the 29 deaths in children <15 years of age reported in the National Surveillance System. This difference might be explained by the fact that only children admitted to pediatric hospitals were captured in our study. Because our study was a nationwide study, the 93 cases originated from 55 hospitals in 14 of the 16 Federal States of Germany.
Our study has several limitations. These limitations include potential underreporting, although this might have been minimized by increased awareness during the influenza pandemic in Germany. In addition, patients with influenza could not be included when the questionnaires were not returned despite written reminders. Another limitation might be that not all children are hospitalized in pediatric hospitals. However, patients with severe cases requiring intensive care would likely have been transferred to a PICU and thus should have been captured in our study. This suggestion is supported by the fact that 11 patients had been transferred from other hospitals. An additional limitation might be that knowledge of clinical features of patients was only based on information provided in the questionnaires. Furthermore, ascertainment of underlying chronic medical conditions was not standardized and may differ from 1 physician to another. Because the survey instrument captured temporal information in days, the time from symptom onset to initiation of treatment could not be calculated in hours. Finally, even with an unexpected high number of reported severe cases, the total number of deaths in PICUs was too small to perform a multivariable analysis for factors associated with death.
This study identified a considerable number of severe cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 among children in Germany, confirming observations in the Americas. Our results stress the role of underlying risk factors, especially neurodevelopmental disorders, in children with severe cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009. The results also indicate that measures that would prevent severe disease and adverse outcomes in children, including vaccination and other preventive measures, as well as early diagnosis and prompt treatment of this infection, are not used to their full extent despite availability of maximum care resources.
We thank the ESPED network and Beate Heinrich for managing the study centers, Gabriele Poggensee for drafting the original study concept, Christina Rafehi for assisting with English editing, and the contributing physicians and hospitals for providing valuable information and time.
This study was supported by the Robert Koch Institute.
Dr Altmann is an epidemiologist at the Robert Koch Institute. His research interests include infectious disease epidemiology and international health.