CDAD led to significantly worse outcomes in these patients.
Data are limited on the attributable outcomes of
This study was conducted at Barnes-Jewish Hospital (BJH), a 1,250-bed, tertiary-care academic hospital in St. Louis, Missouri. Eligibility was limited to nonsurgical patients admitted for
For each patient, a modified APACHE II Acute Physiology Score (APS) was calculated to adjust for severity of illness (
CDAD case-patients were defined as inpatients with positive
Analyses were performed on the full cohort and a nested case–control population. The first component was a retrospective cohort. For CDAD patients, the admission date when the patient’s CDAD was first identified was used as the index admission. For noncases with >1 admission during the study period, 1 admission was randomly selected as the index admission. The nested case–control population consisted of propensity score matched cases and controls from patients identified in the cohort.
Survival was defined as the number of days from the index hospital admission until death. Survival was censored at 180 days. Time to readmission was calculated as the number of days between the index hospitalization discharge date and the date of the subsequent admission to BJH, if applicable. Days until readmission were censored at death or 180 days, whichever occurred first.
Fisher exact, χ2, and Mann-Whitney U tests were used to compare characteristics of patients with and without CDAD. Time-to-event methods were used to estimate the effect of CDAD on 180-day survival and time-to-readmission. Patients who died during the index hospitalization were excluded from the time-to-readmission analysis. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the unadjusted relationships between CDAD and time-to-event outcomes. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All variables with biologic plausibility or p
The second component of this study was a propensity score matched-pairs analysis of outcomes attributable to CDAD. This study design complemented the cohort by enabling analyses that could not be conducted in the entire cohort, specifically hospital discharge status, attributable length of stay, attributable time-to-readmission, and attributable death. Hospital discharge status could not be analyzed for the entire cohort because manual review of medical records was required to determine the discharge location of each patient. The large size of the cohort prohibited this analysis. In addition, survival and time-to-readmission estimates generated in the cohort analysis were validated in the matched-pairs analysis.
Cases and a subset of controls were selected from the primary cohort for the matched-pairs analysis. CDAD case-patients were matched to controls based on their propensity for CDAD to develop. Patient-specific probabilities of developing CDAD were predicted by a full logistic regression model adjusted for all variables suspected to impact the risk of developing CDAD (
Medical records were reviewed for all CDAD case-patients and controls to determine hospital discharge location for each patient. Patients were categorized as being discharged to home, to a long-term-care facility, or to an outside hospital or dying in the hospital. Long-term-care facility was defined as a long-term-care facility, long-term acute-care facility/chronic ventilation facility, inpatient rehabilitation facility, skilled nursing facility, or nursing home. Outside hospital was defined as a non-BJH hospital or acute-care facility.
Median length of stay was determined for CDAD case-patients and controls. The difference in median pairwise length of stay was compared with the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Attributable length of stay was calculated as the median pairwise difference between CDAD case-patients and controls. Frequencies, adjusted odds ratios, and 95% CIs were calculated to determine if discharge location was associated with CDAD. CDAD-attributable 180-day readmission was calculated as the difference in readmission between CDAD case-patients and controls. Attributable deaths from 0–180 days, 0–60 days, and 61–180 days after admission were also calculated by using this method.
The primary survival endpoints of interest were death and readmission, which were both censored at 180 days or at death. Kaplan-Meier analyses, conducted by using log-rank tests, were used to determine relationships between the survival endpoints and CDAD. Cox proportional hazards regression stratified by matched-pairs was used to obtain hazard ratios and 95% CIs. Violation of the proportional hazards assumption was verified by the crossing nature of curves in the log-log plots. Therefore, we used an extended Cox regression model stratified by matched-pairs for the periods
All tests were 2-tailed, and p
Among 18,050 nonsurgical inpatients admitted during the 1-year study period, 390 had CDAD and 17,660 did not. Selected patient characteristics of the cohort are summarized in
| Characteristic | CDAD case-patients (n = 390), no. (%) | Non–case-patients (n = 17,663), no. (%) | p value† |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, y | |||
| <45 | 58 (15) | 6,847 (39) | <0.001 |
| 45–65 | 132 (34) | 5,187 (29) | 0.06 |
| >65 | 200 (51) | 5,626 (32) | <0.001 |
| Male sex | 194 (50) | 6,704 (38) | <0.001 |
| White race | 257 (66) | 9,860 (56) | <0.001 |
| Modified APS | |||
| 77 (20) | 6,687 (38) | <0.001 | |
| 3–4 | 76 (20) | 4,573 (26) | 0.004 |
| 5–6 | 82 (21) | 2,970 (17) | 0.028 |
| 155 (40) | 3,430 (19) | <0.001 | |
| Liver disease | |||
| Mild | 5 (1) | 204 (1) | 0.77 |
| Moderate to severe | 6 (2) | 209 (1) | 0.47 |
| Diabetes without chronic complications | 70 (18) | 2,718 (15) | 0.17 |
| Diabetes with chronic complications | 15 (4) | 416 (2) | 0.06 |
| Myocardial infarction | 26 (7) | 1466 (8) | 0.25 |
| Congestive heart failure | 97 (25) | 2,562 (15) | <0.001 |
| Cerebral vascular disease | 16 (4) | 882 (5) | 0.42 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 90 (23) | 2,564 (15) | <0.001 |
| Rheumatologic/collagen vascular disease | 11 (3) | 361 (2) | 0.29 |
| Peptic ulcer disease | 5 (1) | 279 (2) | 0.64 |
| Cancer, excluding leukemia or lymphoma | 45 (12) | 1,283 (7) | 0.001 |
| Leukemia or lymphoma | 69 (18) | 567 (3) | <0.001 |
| Metastatic solid tumor | 33 (9) | 936 (5) | 0.01 |
| HIV/AIDS | 5 (1) | 209 (1) | 0.81 |
| Paraplegia or hemiplegia | 8 (2) | 223 (1) | 0.17 |
*CDAD,
Of 17,492 patients alive at the index hospitalization discharge, 4,207 (24%) were readmitted to BJH within 180 days. Fifty-two percent of CDAD patients were readmitted within 180 days versus 23% of noncases (log-rank p<0.001). Univariate and multivariable Cox regression results for time to readmission are presented in
| Variable | Univariate hazard ratio‡ (95% CI) | Multivariable hazard ratio ‡ (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| CDAD | 3.09 (2.95–3.23) | 2.19 (1.87–2.55) |
| Male sex | 1.42 (1.40–1.45) | 1.11 (1.05–1.19) |
| White race | 1.26 (1.23–1.28) | 1.06 (1.00–1.13) |
| Modified APS | ||
| Reference | Reference | |
| 3–4 | 1.15 (1.12–1.18) | 1.10 (1.02–1.20) |
| 5–6 | 1.39 (1.35–1.43) | 1.24 (1.13–1.35) |
| 1.84 (1.80–1.89) | 1.50 (1.37–1.64) | |
| Albumin, g/dL§ | ||
| >3.5 | Reference | Reference |
| 2.5–3.5 | 1.05 (1.03–1.08) | 0.99 (0.92–1.08) |
| <2.5 | 1.03 (0.99–1.07) | 0.95 (0.80–1.14) |
| Liver disease | ||
| None | Reference | Reference |
| Mild | 1.80 (1.67–1.94) | 1.44 (1.12–1.83) |
| Moderate to severe | 1.79 (1.65–1.94) | 1.48 (1.13–1.93) |
| Diabetes with chronic complications | 1.89 (1.80–1.99) | 1.53 (1.30–1.80) |
| Diabetes without chronic complications | 1.29 (1.26–1.32) | 1.10 (1.02–1.19) |
| Congestive heart failure | 1.60 (1.56–1.64) | 1.34 (1.23–1.45) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 0.77 (0.74–0.81) | 0.74 (0.63–0.87) |
| Cancer, excluding leukemia or lymphoma | 2.75 (2.67–2.83) | 1.90 (1.70–2.13) |
| Leukemia or lymphoma | 2.31 (2.18–2.45) | 1.84 (1.52–2.23) |
| Metastatic solid tumor | 2.81 (2.71–2.91) | 1.66 (1.46–1.90) |
| HIV/AIDS | 1.74 (1.62–1.87) | 1.74 (1.38–2.19) |
| ICU admission | 1.06 (1.03–1.09) | 0.84 (0.76–0.93) |
*CI, confidence interval; APS, Acute Physiology Score; ICU, intensive care unit.
†The analysis excluded 558 patients who died during the index hospital admission. Nonsignificant variables considered in the model included mechanical ventilation, paraplegia/hemiplegia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, rheumatologic/collagen vascular disease, and peptic ulcer disease.
‡Hazard ratios also adjusted for categorical age (<20, 20–24, 25–29, 30–34, 35–39, 40–44, 45–49, 50–54, 55–59, 60–64, 65–69, 70–74, 75–79, 80–84, 85–89, 90–94,
By 180 days after hospital admission, 149 (38%) of 390 CDAD case-patients and 2,150 (12%) 17,660 noncase-patients had died. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the mortality rate was significantly higher for CDAD case-patients than noncases (log rank p<0.001) (
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for cohort (N = 18,050). CDAD,
| Variable | Univariate hazard ratio‡ (95% CI) | Multivariable hazard ratio‡ (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| CDAD | 3.55 (3.37–3.75) | 1.23 (1.03–1.46) |
| Male sex | 1.73 (1.68–1.77) | 1.17 (1.08–1.27) |
| White race | 1.65 (1.61–1.70) | 1.22 (1.11–1.33) |
| Modified APS | ||
| Reference | Reference | |
| 3–4 | 1.41 (1.36–1.47) | 1.09 (0.96–1.24) |
| 5–6 | 2.09 (2.00–2.17) | 1.30 (1.14–1.49) |
| 4.11 (3.97–4.25) | 1.65 (1.46–1.87) | |
| Albumin, g/dL§ | ||
| >3.5 | Reference | Reference |
| 2.5–3.5 | 2.12 (1.90–2.36) | 1.62 (1.45–1.82) |
| <2.5 | 4.77 (3.91–5.81) | 2.93 (2.52–3.42) |
| Liver disease | ||
| None | Reference | Reference |
| Mild | 3.08 (2.86–3.33) | 2.37 (1.85–3.04) |
| Moderate to severe | 5.50 (5.17–5.85) | 3.76 (3.05–4.64) |
| Diabetes with chronic complications | 1.47 (1.37–1.58) | 1.49 (1.18–1.88) |
| Congestive heart failure | 1.85 (1.80–1.91) | 1.28 (1.15–1.42) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1.68 (1.60–1.76) | 1.62 (1.37–1.92) |
| Cancer, excluding leukemia or lymphoma | 6.42 (6.24–6.61) | 2.44 (2.15–2.76) |
| Leukemia or lymphoma | 3.17 (2.99–3.38) | 4.92 (3.98–6.08) |
| Metastatic solid tumor | 8.82 (8.57–9.09) | 4.41 (3.87–5.03) |
| HIV/AIDS | 1.77 (1.62–1.95) | 2.88 (2.12–3.91) |
| Paraplegia/ hemiplegia | 1.75 (1.60–1.92) | 1.53 (1.12–2.07) |
| Mechanical ventilation | 6.39 (6.18–6.62) | 3.17 (2.71–3.71) |
| ICU admission | 3.08 (2.99–3.17) | 1.31 (1.14–1.50) |
*CI, confidence interval; APS, Acute Physiology Score; ICU, intensive care unit. †Nonsignificant variables considered in the model included diabetes without chronic complications, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, rheumatologic/collagen vascular disease and peptic ulcer disease. Of 2,299 people who died within 180 d of admission, 1,565 (68%) deaths were identified by means of the hospital Medical Informatics database and 734 (32%) were identified with the Social Security Death Index. ‡Hazard ratios also adjusted for categorical age (<20, 20–24, 25–29, 30–34, 35–39, 40–44, 45–49, 50–54, 55–59, 60–64, 65–69, 70–74, 75–79, 80–84, 85–89, 90–94, ≥95 y). §7,525 (43%) patients were missing albumin values. Values were imputed by using multiple imputation methods.
The propensity score matched-pairs analysis included 353 CDAD cases and 353 controls (N = 706). There were no significant differences between the matched cases and controls after correcting for multiple testing with the Bonferroni procedure. Thirty-seven CDAD case-patients were dropped because a nearest-neighbor control was not available. Unmatched CDAD patients had significantly higher modified APS (median = 7.0 vs. 5.0, p<0.001), longer median length of stay (13.6 days vs. 9.6 days, p = 0.01), and higher percentage of deaths at 180 days (59% vs. 36%, p = 0.01) than matched case-patients.
In the matched-pairs analysis, median length of stay was 9.6 days for CDAD patients compared with 5.8 days for controls, and the increased attributable length of stay for CDAD patients was 2.8 days (Wilcoxon signed-rank p<0.001). Among the 706 patients in the matched-pairs analysis, 445 (63%) were discharged to home and 188 (27%) were discharged to a long-term-care facility. Only 7 (1%) patients were discharged to an outside hospital; therefore, these patients were combined with patients discharged to a long-term-care facility in the analysis. CDAD patients were significantly more likely than controls to be discharged to a long-term-care facility or outside hospital (32% vs. 23%, odds ratio 1.62, 95% CI 1.15–2.28, McNemar p = 0.01).
Among 290 matched-pairs with both patient and control alive at index hospitalization discharge, 148 CDAD patients were readmitted to BJH within 180 days compared with 92 controls, for an attributable readmission of 19.3% (11.4%–27.2%). In the Kaplan-Meier and Cox model analyses, CDAD patients were significantly more likely than controls to be readmitted to the hospital within 180 days (
Kaplan-Meier estimates of time until hospital readmission for matched pairs (n = 580). CDAD,
| Variable | CDAD case-patients, no. (%) | Controls, no. (%) | Hazard ratio (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Readmitted within 180 d† | 148 (51.0) | 92 (31.7) | 2.17 (1.59–2.95) |
| Deaths at 180 d‡ | 127 (36.0) | 107 (30.3) | 1.22 (0.92–1.61) |
| Deaths at 0–60 d‡ | 72 (20.4) | 75 (21.2) | 0.96 (0.54–1.70) |
| Deaths at 61–180 d‡ | 55 (15.6) | 32 (9.1) | 2.00 (1.47–2.72) |
*CI, confidence interval. †n = 290 matched pairs; 63 matched pairs were excluded because one or both patients in the pair died during the index hospital admission. ‡n = 353 matched pairs.
By 180 days after hospital admission, 127 CDAD patients died compared with 107 controls, for an attributable mortality of 5.7% (95% CI –1.3%–12.6%). Although CDAD case-patients were no more likely than controls to die within 60 days of hospital admission, a divergence in survival between CDAD case-patients and controls began 60 days after hospital admission (
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for matched pairs (n = 706). CDAD,
The results of this study indicate that CDAD is a major contributor to death even in nonoutbreak settings. In this CDAD-endemic setting, the disease was associated with a 23% higher hazard of death within 180 days after hospital admission in the multivariable cohort analysis and a 7.2% attributable mortality 61–180 days after hospital admission in the matched-pairs analysis. Historically, endemic CDAD has been reported to be associated with minimal increased risk in mortality although NAP1 strain CDAD outbreaks have been associated with much higher attributable mortality (
Although the 5.7% 180-day attributable mortality determined in the propensity score matched-pairs analysis in our study was not statistically significant, the estimate is substantially higher than estimates reported from other CDAD-endemic settings. The attributable mortality we report is more consistent with estimates from outbreaks of the NAP1 strain and is likely clinically significant. The NAP1 strain was first identified at BJH during 2005, but the strain may have been present during the study period (
Our study showed that CDAD had a delayed impact on death. In the matched-pairs analysis, the divergence in survival between CDAD cases-patients and controls did not begin until >60 days after hospital admission. Within 60 days of admission, survival was not significantly different between CDAD patients and controls, when all but 4 (1%) patients had been discharged from the hospital. This finding is consistent with those of 2 recent nested matched case–control studies in nonoutbreak settings, in which no significant excess deaths were reported after 30 days (
The results of the time-to-readmission and discharge location analyses further emphasize the negative impact of CDAD. CDAD patients were more than twice as likely to be readmitted to BJH within 180 days compared with controls. This finding is consistent with our prior findings that CDAD contributes to an increase in hospital costs extending out to at least 180 days (
Data on the excess length of hospital stay attributable to CDAD are limited. Wilcox et al. found that CDAD patients stayed in the hospital, on average, 21.3 days longer than non-CDAD patients; however, the attributable length of stay was not calculated (
Our study has several limitations, including the retrospective study design. Use of electronic data from the hospital’s Medical Informatics database has limitations, although use of these data made analysis of such a large cohort feasible. Differences seen in observational studies may be due to unmeasured confounders. We attempted to address this issue by using 2 methods to control for confounding: multivariable regression analyses and propensity score matched-pairs analyses. As evident from the Kaplan-Meier mortality analyses, the matched-pairs population is a more homogeneous population than the cohort. This design allows more precise effect estimation because the association between CDAD and the propensity score variables among the study participants is eliminated. A strength of the multivariable regression analyses is the use of all available data in the cohort. In the propensity score matched-pairs analyses, 37 CDAD cases were excluded because of lack of a suitable control. Unmatched case-patients were more severely ill than matched case-patients, and their exclusion is a limitation of the propensity-score matched-pairs analyses. In the time-to-readmission analyses, we were unable to identify readmissions to hospitals other than our institution. Finally, surgical patients were excluded from these analyses. Because of this exclusion, the most severely ill CDAD patients requiring colectomies (n = 3) were not represented in the dataset. The absence of these patients, as well as the 37 unmatched case-patients, may have resulted in estimates of attributable length of stay and death that are biased low.
Data on attributable outcomes associated with CDAD are scarce. As previously mentioned, some data on attributable mortality and length of stay exist; however, these findings are limited by lack of adequate controls, small sample size, or outbreak settings. Our study provided detailed analysis on the effect of CDAD on time-to-readmission. Another key strength of this study is the combination of 2 analytical methods: Cox proportional hazards regression in the primary cohort and propensity score matched-pairs analysis. Mortality and time-to-readmission analyses, which were conducted in both the cohort and matched-pairs populations, had remarkably similar results. The results of this study suggest that endemic CDAD can lead to significantly poorer patient outcomes, including increased hospital length of stay, death, risk for admission to a long-term-care facility, and risk for hospital readmission. Even when the most severe CDAD cases are not considered, the detrimental effect of CDAD on patient health appears to extend beyond hospital discharge. Although prospective validation of these findings is needed, proper allocation of healthcare resources toward prevention of this infection is necessary to prevent further illness and death attributable to CDAD.
Details on ICD-9-CM Codes and Creation of the Propensity Score for Clostridium difficile-associated disease
We thank Cherie Hill for technical assistance.
This work was supported by grants from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (UR8/CCU715087-06/1, 1U01C1000333-01) and the National Institutes of Health (nos. K12RR02324901-01, K24AI067794-01, K01AI065808-01).
Dr Dubberke is an assistant professor in the Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, at Washington University School of Medicine. His research interests include