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Predicting Quarantine Failure Rates
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Mar 2004
By Day, TroySource: Emerg Infect Dis. 10(3):487-488. -
Alternative Title:Emerg Infect Dis
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Description:Preemptive quarantine through contact-tracing effectively controls emerging infectious diseases. Occasionally this quarantine fails, however, and infected persons are released. The probability of quarantine failure is typically estimated from disease-specific data. Here a simple, exact estimate of the failure rate is derived that does not depend on disease-specific parameters. This estimate is universally applicable to all infectious diseases.
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