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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" article-type="research-article"><?properties manuscript?><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-journal-id">9510067</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="pubmed-jr-id">21632</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Health Place</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Health Place</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Health &#x00026; place</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1353-8292</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1873-2054</issn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">32838890</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">7447840</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1016/j.healthplace.2020.102364</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="manuscript">NIHMS1605128</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>The Association Between Blighted Property Remediation and Domestic
Crime by Alcohol Availability</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Kajeepeta</surname><given-names>Sandhya</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">a</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Theall</surname><given-names>Katherine P</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A2">b</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Kondo</surname><given-names>Michelle C</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A3">c</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Branas</surname><given-names>Charles C</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A4">d</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Wallace</surname><given-names>Maeve E</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A5">e</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Jacoby</surname><given-names>Sara F</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A6">f</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Morrison</surname><given-names>Christopher N</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A7">g</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A8">h</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="A1"><label>a</label>Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman
School of Public Health, 722 W 168<sup>th</sup> Street, New York, NY, 10032,
USA;</aff><aff id="A2"><label>b</label>Department of Global Community Health and Behavioral
Sciences, Tulane University, School of Public Health &#x00026; Tropical Medicine, New
Orleans, LA, USA;</aff><aff id="A3"><label>c</label>Philadelphia Field Station, Forest Service, United States
Department of Agriculture, Philadelphia, PA, USA;</aff><aff id="A4"><label>d</label>Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman
School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA;</aff><aff id="A5"><label>e</label>Department of Global Community Health and Behavioral
Sciences, Tulane University, School of Public Health &#x00026; Tropical Medicine, New
Orleans, LA, USA;</aff><aff id="A6"><label>f</label>University of Pennsylvania School of Nursing, Philadelphia,
PA, USA;</aff><aff id="A7"><label>g</label>Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman
School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA;</aff><aff id="A8"><label>h</label>Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash
University School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne VIC,
Australia</aff><author-notes><corresp id="CR1">Corresponding author: Sandhya Kajeepeta,
<email>s.kajeepeta@columbia.edu</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="nihms-submitted"><day>20</day><month>6</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>17</day><month>6</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>7</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>01</day><month>7</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>64</volume><fpage>102364</fpage><lpage>102364</lpage><!--elocation-id from pubmed: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2020.102364--><abstract id="ABS1"><p id="P1">There is increasing evidence that place-based interventions reduce crime
and interpersonal violence in urban settings. However, evidence concerning the
impacts of these neighborhood interventions on domestic crime (crime between
intimate partners, family, or household members) is inconclusive. We used data
from a New Orleans, Louisiana, place-based blighted property remediation
intervention to test the hypothesis that the intervention was associated with
changes in domestic crime. Because there is evidence that alcohol availability
is related to domestic crime, we also assessed whether this association was
moderated by alcohol outlet density. We assessed overall associations using a
difference-in-differences approach and assessed moderation using a
triple-difference approach. The analytic sample consisted of 204 remediated lots
and 612 non-remediated matched control lots over 84 months (2011&#x02013;2017),
for a total of 68,544 lot-months. In difference-in-differences analyses, the
place-based intervention was associated with additional domestic crime incidence
(&#x003b2; = 0.311, 95% CI: 0.016, 0.605; p = 0.039). In triple-difference
analyses, on-premise bar density modified this association (&#x003b2; =
&#x02212;0.119, 95%CI: &#x02212;0.147, &#x02212;0.092; p &#x0003c; 0.001): in areas
with higher bar density, increases in domestic crime were lower near remediated
lots compared with control lots. Place-based interventions to reduce blighted
properties may have contributed to fewer domestic crime incidents in areas with
more bars.</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>neighborhood intervention</kwd><kwd>crime</kwd><kwd>domestic violence</kwd><kwd>alcohol availability</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="S1"><title>Introduction</title><sec id="S2"><title>Domestic violence and place</title><p id="P2">Domestic violence is of growing public health concern, impacting the
health and safety of up to 1 in 3 men and more than 1 in 3 women in the US
(<xref rid="R68" ref-type="bibr">Smith et al., 2019</xref>). Domestic
violence is a leading cause of severe physical injury and death, and can result
in long-term chronic health consequences including depression, gastrointestinal
disorders, reproductive disorders, heart disease, and post-traumatic stress
disorder (<xref rid="R10" ref-type="bibr">Campbell, 2002</xref>). Domestic
violence crime, which can take many forms including physical violence, sexual
violence, psychological abuse, stalking, and more, represents 21% of all violent
crime (<xref rid="R75" ref-type="bibr">Truman, 2014</xref>). Furthermore,
domestic crime has been declining at a far slower rate than total violent crime
over the past few decades (<xref rid="R12" ref-type="bibr">Catalano,
2012</xref>) and, in fact, rates of intimate partner homicide have increased in
the US in recent years (<xref rid="R29" ref-type="bibr">Fridel and Fox,
2019</xref>). Preventive interventions for domestic violence with the
potential for population-wide effects are needed. Despite the fact that domestic
violence often occurs behind closed doors, theoretical and empirical evidence
suggests that domestic violence is driven, in part, by environmental factors
(<xref rid="R3" ref-type="bibr">Beyer et al., 2015</xref>; <xref rid="R61" ref-type="bibr">Pinchevsky and Wright, 2012</xref>; <xref rid="R78" ref-type="bibr">Voith, 2019</xref>).</p><p id="P3">Informed by social disorganization and other theories, prior research
demonstrates that key environmental factors contribute to concentrated
neighborhood disadvantage as well as to social norms that promote or condone
violence and aggression, such as open air drug markets, alcohol availability,
and littering (<xref rid="R7" ref-type="bibr">Branas et al., 2018</xref>; <xref rid="R23" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al., 2014</xref>; <xref rid="R40" ref-type="bibr">Keizer et al., 2008</xref>; <xref rid="R61" ref-type="bibr">Pinchevsky and Wright, 2012</xref>; <xref rid="R78" ref-type="bibr">Voith,
2019</xref>). Studies have suggested a link between neighborhood
socioeconomic status and domestic violence (<xref rid="R3" ref-type="bibr">Beyer
et al., 2015</xref>; <xref rid="R18" ref-type="bibr">Coulton et al.,
2007</xref>; <xref rid="R20" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al., 2000</xref>;
<xref rid="R34" ref-type="bibr">Grisso et al., 1999</xref>; <xref rid="R44" ref-type="bibr">Li et al., 2010</xref>; <xref rid="R55" ref-type="bibr">Nadan et al., 2015</xref>), including intimate partner violence (IPV) and
child maltreatment, and have also revealed protective environmental factors in
the neighborhood such as collective efficacy (<xref rid="R8" ref-type="bibr">Browning, 2002</xref>). IPV is associated with neighborhood conditions such
as unemployment (<xref rid="R58" ref-type="bibr">O&#x02019;Campo et al.,
1995</xref>), deprivation/disadvantage (<xref rid="R25" ref-type="bibr">DeJong et al., 2011</xref>; <xref rid="R44" ref-type="bibr">Li et al.,
2010</xref>), and poverty (<xref rid="R20" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al.,
2000</xref>; <xref rid="R60" ref-type="bibr">Pearlman et al., 2003</xref>).
Neighborhood disorder may weaken ties among residents (<xref rid="R41" ref-type="bibr">Kim, 2010</xref>; <xref rid="R59" ref-type="bibr">Packard et
al., 2013</xref>; <xref rid="R67" ref-type="bibr">Shaw and McKay,
1942</xref>), potentially leaving survivors more vulnerable to violence from
their partners (<xref rid="R71" ref-type="bibr">Stets, 1991</xref>; <xref rid="R84" ref-type="bibr">Wright and Skubak Tillyer, 2017</xref>) or leading
to less intervention on their behalf by neighbors (<xref rid="R8" ref-type="bibr">Browning, 2002</xref>). It may also intensify stress among
couples (<xref rid="R65" ref-type="bibr">Ross and Mirowsky, 2009</xref>), which
may increase the likelihood of violence within the partnership (<xref rid="R83" ref-type="bibr">Wright and Benson, 2011</xref>). Socially disordered
neighborhoods, including those with poor housing quality or vacant housing, have
also been linked to higher rates of child injuries due to accidents (<xref rid="R62" ref-type="bibr">Reading et al., 2005</xref>), and higher rates of
child maltreatment (<xref rid="R19" ref-type="bibr">Coulton et al., 1999</xref>;
<xref rid="R26" ref-type="bibr">Freisthler, 2004</xref>; <xref rid="R28" ref-type="bibr">Freisthler et al., 2005</xref>). With respect to child
maltreatment, parents living in disordered or disadvantaged neighborhoods may
have less opportunities to develop social networks and work together to enforce
shared norms (<xref rid="R66" ref-type="bibr">Sampson et al., 1999</xref>).</p></sec><sec id="S3"><title>Place-based interventions and blighted property remediation</title><p id="P4">In recent years, there has been increased recognition of the widespread
public health benefits of place-based violence interventions (<xref rid="R37" ref-type="bibr">Hohl et al., 2019</xref>). Place-based interventions move
beyond individual-level drivers of violence and crime to address the underlying
environmental and social contexts that foster violence. One class of place-based
interventions are those focused on urban blighted property remediation. Blighted
properties are abandoned structures or vacant lots that result from systematic
disinvestment in specific neighborhoods, often reflecting historical and ongoing
racist and discriminatory practices such as redlining and other racialized
patterns of structural neighborhood disinvestment (<xref rid="R4" ref-type="bibr">Bieretz and Schilling, 2019</xref>). The presence of these
properties results from disinvestment and contributes to ongoing cycles of
disinvestment wherein a lack of future investment is justified by the presence
of blighted properties (<xref rid="R4" ref-type="bibr">Bieretz and Schilling,
2019</xref>). Additionally, research shows that a high density of blighted
properties is associated with increased neighborhood crime (<xref rid="R24" ref-type="bibr">Curtis and Mills, 2011</xref>). Blighted property
remediation interventions are interventions that aim to interrupt such cycles of
disinvestment and prevent crime through a variety of strategies such as property
maintenance and rehabilitation, demolition and greening, and/or partnerships
with government land banks to increase local ownership of rehabilitated
properties (<xref rid="R11" ref-type="bibr">Carpenter et al., 2015</xref>).</p><p id="P5">There is an expanding body of evidence demonstrating that blighted
property remediation interventions can reduce neighborhood crime. Observational
studies have been complemented by recent quasi-experimental studies and
randomized controlled trials in urban areas across the United States that have
demonstrated consistent evidence of the causal effects of blighted property
remediation on crime (<xref rid="R5" ref-type="bibr">Branas et al., 2011</xref>,
<xref rid="R6" ref-type="bibr">2016</xref>, <xref rid="R7" ref-type="bibr">2018</xref>; <xref rid="R31" ref-type="bibr">Garvin et al., 2013</xref>;
<xref rid="R42" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018a</xref>; <xref rid="R54" ref-type="bibr">Moyer et al., 2018</xref>). Blighted property remediation is
hypothesized to reduce crime and contribute to improved public health through a
number of different social, economic, and biological pathways, including
strengthening of social cohesion and social ties; reducing strain on local
economies, property values, and social services systems; and removing
place-based chronic stressors like environmental disorder (<xref rid="R37" ref-type="bibr">Hohl et al., 2019</xref>). Notably, the majority of research
concerning the role of blighted property remediation in reducing crime has been
focused on firearm violence, drug crime, and property crime. To date, the
evidence concerning the impacts of neighborhood intervention on domestic crime
is inconclusive (<xref rid="R37" ref-type="bibr">Hohl et al., 2019</xref>; <xref rid="R42" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018a</xref>).</p><p id="P6">While blighted properties are strongly correlated with socioeconomic
conditions as well as neighborhood disorder and collective efficacy, studies
examining their relationship with domestic crime are limited. Blighted
properties may have an impact on domestic crime, such as child maltreatment risk
(<xref rid="R27" ref-type="bibr">Freisthler et al., 2006</xref>) and IPV
(<xref rid="R8" ref-type="bibr">Browning, 2002</xref>), potentially through
social cohesion and control. Neighborhoods with fewer boarded up and abandoned
buildings have been correlated with lower child maltreatment rates (<xref rid="R48" ref-type="bibr">McDonell and Skosireva, 2009</xref>). Studies
linking child maltreatment with a diminished social ecology, including a
scarcity of neighborhood resources, run-down housing, and parents&#x02019; own
perceptions of their neighborhood being a poor environment for raising children,
are not new (<xref rid="R30" ref-type="bibr">Garbarino and Sherman,
1980</xref>), but such studies are rare. In this way, the link between blighted
properties in a neighborhood and domestic violence, particularly IPV, is
inconsistent (<xref rid="R79" ref-type="bibr">Waller et al., 2012</xref>) and
the studies that have been conducted to date are cross-sectional and unable to
disentangle the interdependence between the emergence of the blighted properties
and abandonment and the occurrence of domestic violence. It is very possible
that an increase in neighborhood domestic violence may have led to a cascade of
family disruption, relocation, and eventual property abandonment and blight, the
opposite temporal direction of what prior cross-sectional studies have assumed.
New research that better measures and accounts for the temporal direction of
these associations is needed.</p></sec><sec id="S4"><title>Alcohol availability as place-based predictor of domestic violence</title><p id="P7">One of the more commonly studied environmental factors related to
domestic violence is alcohol availability. Alcohol consumption is a strong
predictor of domestic violence and aggression at the individual level (<xref rid="R32" ref-type="bibr">Graham et al., 2011</xref>; <xref rid="R50" ref-type="bibr">McKinney et al., 2010</xref>). Substance use, including
alcohol, is strongly associated with more physically severe incidents of IPV and
is highly predictive of the likelihood that incidents will be reported to law
enforcement (<xref rid="R57" ref-type="bibr">Novisky and Peralta, 2015</xref>).
Emerging research assessing the neighborhood-level drivers of domestic crime has
documented associations between neighborhood alcohol outlet density and domestic
crime (<xref rid="R23" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al., 2014</xref>), with much
of the existing research focused on IPV. Specifically, higher alcohol outlet
density is associated with increased IPV-related police phone calls, IPV-related
crime reports, IPV-related emergency department visits, and self-reported IPV
perpetration (<xref rid="R21" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al., 2012</xref>, <xref rid="R22" ref-type="bibr">2011</xref>; <xref rid="R80" ref-type="bibr">Waller et al., 2013</xref>). Of note, studies demonstrated distinct effects
by type of alcohol outlet: namely, off-premise outlets and bars demonstrated
more consistent relationships with domestic crime as compared with other
on-premise outlets, such as restaurants and hotels (<xref rid="R21" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al., 2012</xref>, <xref rid="R22" ref-type="bibr">2011</xref>; <xref rid="R45" ref-type="bibr">Livingston, 2010</xref>; <xref rid="R49" ref-type="bibr">McKinney et al., 2009</xref>; <xref rid="R63" ref-type="bibr">Roman and Reid, 2012</xref>; <xref rid="R80" ref-type="bibr">Waller et al., 2013</xref>). The relationship between off-premise alcohol
outlet density and domestic crime has been shown to peak during weekends and
lessen during weekdays, suggesting that the impact of office-premise alcohol
availability may depend on patterns of social engagement and routine activity
(<xref rid="R63" ref-type="bibr">Roman and Reid, 2012</xref>). Together,
these associations are consistent with the hypothesis that alcohol availability
contributes to increased alcohol consumption and increased alcohol-related harm
(<xref rid="R2" ref-type="bibr">Babor et al., 2010</xref>).</p><p id="P8">Further, there is evidence that supports associations between
neighborhood physical disorder, neighborhood income, population size, and
alcohol outlet density. Evidence suggests that the relationship between
neighborhood physical disorder (e.g., blighted properties, evidence of
vandalism) and alcohol availability is complex and likely cyclical, both
reflecting consequences of concentrated disadvantage and disinvestment (<xref rid="R52" ref-type="bibr">Milam et al., 2014</xref>, <xref rid="R51" ref-type="bibr">2013</xref>). Alcohol outlets are more likely to be
concentrated in lower income areas, despite lower alcohol consumption in these
areas (<xref rid="R53" ref-type="bibr">Morrison et al., 2015</xref>). Research
suggests that higher income areas have increased ability to exclude alcohol
outlets through higher land and structure rents and through resistance from
residents, compared to lower income areas (<xref rid="R53" ref-type="bibr">Morrison et al., 2015</xref>). Meanwhile, population size has a positive
association with alcohol outlet density: higher population size is associated
with higher alcohol outlet density, likely representing a response to market
demands (<xref rid="R39" ref-type="bibr">Jin et al., 2018</xref>; <xref rid="R53" ref-type="bibr">Morrison et al., 2015</xref>). Notably, bar
density is linked to market demands over a larger geographic area compared with
restaurants and off-premise outlets, reflecting potential differences in alcohol
outlet distribution by outlet type (<xref rid="R53" ref-type="bibr">Morrison et
al., 2015</xref>). These varying relationships between alcohol outlet
density and neighborhood income and population size suggest differences in
alcohol availability in relation to the presence of blighted property.</p></sec><sec id="S5"><title>The present study and theoretical framework</title><p id="P9">The present study builds upon the extant literature through the use of a
quasi-experimental study design with clear before/after temporal measures of
dependent and independent variables to answer an understudied question: the
association between a place-based blighted property remediation and domestic
violence. The primary theoretical framework that guides this analysis is an
application of the social ecological model toward the study of domestic violence
(<xref rid="R81" ref-type="bibr">Whitaker et al., 2009</xref>), which
recognizes that while the incidence of domestic violence is shaped by an
individual&#x02019;s behavior, it is also influenced by a number of complex,
interacting social and environmental factors that can be intervened upon at the
macro-level toward the prevention of domestic violence.</p><p id="P10">The aim of this study was to assess the impact of a blighted property
remediation and vacant lot abatement program on the incidence of domestic crime.
Given the importance of alcohol availability as a determinant of domestic crime,
and the potential for alcohol outlets to be disproportionately located in lower
income areas often with greater concentrations of blighted properties (<xref rid="R39" ref-type="bibr">Jin et al., 2018</xref>), we also assessed
possible interactions between this place-based intervention and alcohol outlet
density. Using data from a blighted property abatement initiative of vacant land
in New Orleans following Hurricane Katrina, we employed a
difference-in-differences analysis to examine the program&#x02019;s impact on
domestic crime and a triple-difference analysis to determine if alcohol outlet
density modifies the relationship between the intervention and domestic
crime.</p></sec></sec><sec id="S6"><title>Materials and Methods</title><sec id="S7"><title>Design and Setting</title><p id="P11">This study focuses on a blighted property remediation intervention
called New Orleans Chapter 66 Vacant Lot Maintenance Program, or Fight the
Blight, the details of which are described elsewhere (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018b</xref>). In brief, the city of New
Orleans launched the program in 2014 to remediate vacant lots across the city,
many of which had become blighted as a result of the damage caused by Hurricane
Katrina in 2005. Lot remediation consisted of inspection, notice, removal of
debris, and mowing of vegetation. All vegetation in these lots was mowed at
least once, and in some cases multiple times, with a frequency of no more than
every 3 weeks. Mowing occurred with more frequency during summer months.
Remediation and routine maintenance were funded by the City on behalf of
property owners, with the costs of services recorded on the owner&#x02019;s tax
bill. From October 2014 to July 2016, 1,614 lots were remediated as part of the
Fight the Blight program (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al.,
2018b</xref>).</p><p id="P12">Of the 1,614 remediated lots, we selected 204 lots that received removal
of debris and mowing of vegetation under the Flight the Blight program between
October 2014 and July 2016. We selected only the 204 that had violated the
property ordinance for weed and plant overgrowth or for sanitation (most
received citation for both) prior to remediation. Of these 204 lots, 64 lots
received one treatment (i.e., debris and vegetation removal), and the remaining
140 lots received two or more treatments. These 204 remediated lots were then
randomly matched in a 1:3 ratio with 612 control lots that received citations
for weed and plant overgrowth or sanitation and were eligible for the Flight the
Blight program but did not receive the intervention. Matched control lots were
selected from the same neighborhood statistical area as their remediated
counterparts but were over 250 feet away (the average length of a city block) to
minimize spillover. The matching process is also described in more detail
elsewhere (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018b</xref>). The
matched control lots were at most 1,581 feet away from each remediated lot and
the average distance between a remediated lot and control lot was 476 feet.</p><p id="P13">The unit of analysis was the lot-month over a 7-year study period
(2011&#x02013;2017), resulting in a total of 68,544 lot-months for analysis.</p></sec><sec id="S8"><title>Data and Measures</title><sec id="S9"><title>Domestic crime</title><p id="P14">The outcome of interest in the present study was the density of
domestic crime 911 calls (calls per square mile) for each lot-month.
Domestic crime reflects aggravated assault, aggravated battery, domestic
disturbance, simple assault, and simple battery that occurred between
intimate partners, family, or household members as identified by the New
Orleans Police Department (<xref rid="R56" ref-type="bibr">New Orleans
Police Department, 2015</xref>). While these data are reviewed and
supplied by the police department, they are initially based on preliminary
information and may be updated at a later date following additional
investigation. We used 911 calls to the New Orleans Police Department for a
domestic crime between January 2011 and December 2017 to build a density
measure. These data were provided by the New Orleans Police Department and
only domestic crime calls that were designated as report-to-follow were
included, which indicated that the perceived credibility of the report was
high enough for the police officer to file an official report. We
disaggregated these domestic crime call data by month for each month in the
7-year period. X-Y coordinate data were available for 99.9% of domestic
crime calls over the study period; 78 calls (0.1%) with missing coordinate
data were excluded from analysis. We used these point locations from the
domestic crime calls in a given month and, through kernel density
estimation, fit a smoothed surface of density values over all points in the
city. The primary advantage of kernel density estimation is that it allows
us to create estimates across a continuous surface so that the density of
interest can be calculated from any specific point location (<xref rid="R73" ref-type="bibr">Thornton et al., 2012</xref>, <xref rid="R72" ref-type="bibr">2011</xref>). Additionally, it is advantageous to
traditional density measures because it assigns more weight based on
geographic proximity to the variable of interest (<xref rid="R72" ref-type="bibr">Thornton et al., 2011</xref>). A disadvantage of this
approach is that it does not account for potential travel barriers such as
highways or bodies of water (<xref rid="R73" ref-type="bibr">Thornton et
al., 2012</xref>). However, because we are estimating localized effects
within a neighborhood statistical area, it is unlikely that such barriers
would impact remediated lots differently than control lots. We then
extracted the density value corresponding to the centroid of each lot to
obtain a month-specific estimate of the density of domestic crime for each
lot.</p></sec><sec id="S10"><title>Alcohol Outlet Density</title><p id="P15">Density of alcohol outlets was calculated using the same method used
to calculate the density of domestic crime calls. Point locations of all
alcohol beverage outlets with active licenses in New Orleans in 2019 were
provided by the New Orleans Bureau of Revenue via the New Orleans Open Data
portal (<xref rid="R13" ref-type="bibr">City of New Orleans, 2019a</xref>).
We used the most recent data available on alcohol beverage outlets because
the geographic distribution of these outlets has remained stable since 2014
and the accuracy and completeness of the point location data has improved
over time. Using kernel density estimation, we fit these point locations to
a smoothed surface of density values. We then extracted the alcohol outlet
density value corresponding to the centroid of each lot to obtain the
density of alcohol outlets per square mile for the triple-difference term.
Given the distinct mechanisms through which different types of alcohol
outlets impact domestic crime (<xref rid="R23" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et
al., 2014</xref>, <xref rid="R21" ref-type="bibr">2012</xref>, <xref rid="R22" ref-type="bibr">2011</xref>; <xref rid="R49" ref-type="bibr">McKinney et al., 2009</xref>; <xref rid="R69" ref-type="bibr">Snowden,
2016</xref>; <xref rid="R70" ref-type="bibr">Snowden et al.,
2017</xref>), we also used this method to create the following sub-measures
of alcohol outlet density based on the type of business: 1) on-premise bar
density and 2) off-premise alcohol outlet density (which includes liquor
stores and convenience stores).</p></sec><sec id="S11"><title>Potential confounders</title><p id="P16">We selected potential confounders based on their hypothesized
relationships with the intervention, alcohol outlet density, and domestic
crime. We obtained census tract-level estimates of median household income,
percentage of households at the federal poverty level, percentage of people
with a high school diploma, percentage of unemployed civilians, and
percentage of housing units that were vacant from the 2011&#x02013;2015
American Community Survey (<xref rid="R76" ref-type="bibr">US Census Bureau,
2015</xref>). Theoretical and empirical evidence suggest that these
census measures of neighborhood socioeconomic status (i.e., income,
education, employment, and vacancies) may have influenced the likelihood
that a lot was selected by the city for remediation (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018b</xref>) and also the incidence of
domestic crime in that neighborhood (<xref rid="R3" ref-type="bibr">Beyer et
al., 2015</xref>; <xref rid="R18" ref-type="bibr">Coulton et al.,
2007</xref>; <xref rid="R20" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al.,
2000</xref>; <xref rid="R34" ref-type="bibr">Grisso et al., 1999</xref>;
<xref rid="R44" ref-type="bibr">Li et al., 2010</xref>; <xref rid="R55" ref-type="bibr">Nadan et al., 2015</xref>). In addition, we obtained
block-level estimates of population density (per square kilometer) from the
2010 Census (<xref rid="R77" ref-type="bibr">US Census Bureau, 2010</xref>)
compiled by the New Orleans Regional Planning Commission (<xref rid="R14" ref-type="bibr">City of New Orleans, 2019b</xref>), given its
association with alcohol outlet density (<xref rid="R39" ref-type="bibr">Jin
et al., 2018</xref>; <xref rid="R53" ref-type="bibr">Morrison et al.,
2015</xref>). Finally, we used kernel density estimation to create a
density measure of entertainment venue and retail locations using point data
from the New Orleans Open Data portal (<xref rid="R15" ref-type="bibr">City
of New Orleans, 2019c</xref>), given that the location of these
commercial properties are likely associated with the location of alcohol
outlets. This measure primarily reflects the disproportionate distribution
of live music venues and concert halls in areas of New Orleans that are
popular among tourists.</p></sec></sec><sec id="S12"><title>Statistical Analyses</title><p id="P17">To assess whether the blighted property abatement intervention impacted
rates of domestic crime, we conducted a quasi-experimental
difference-in-differences analysis (Model 1) using Tobit regression. Tobit
models were used to account for zero truncation at the lower bound (<xref rid="R33" ref-type="bibr">Greene, 2003</xref>; <xref rid="R35" ref-type="bibr">Grogan-Kaylor and Otis, 2003</xref>; <xref rid="R74" ref-type="bibr">Tobin, 1958</xref>). Model 1 served as a test for
consistency with previously published findings using these data, which
demonstrated no significant effect of the intervention on domestic crime (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018b</xref>). In the present
analysis, compared with the prior analysis, we additionally adjusted for
population density and entertainment venue density, and employed a longer study
period (2011&#x02013;2017 vs. 2014&#x02013;2016). Model 1 was specified as in
<xref rid="FD1" ref-type="disp-formula">Equation 1</xref>.</p><disp-formula id="FD1"><label>(1)</label><mml:math display="block" id="M1"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Domestic</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">crime</mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Treat</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Post</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Treat</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Post</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>4</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Income</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>5</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Poverty</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">rate</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>6</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Education</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>7</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Unemployment</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">rate</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>8</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext>Vacanc</mml:mtext><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>9</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">density</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Entertainment</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">density</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mi>&#x003b5;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><p id="P18">To assess whether alcohol outlet density modified the effectiveness of
the blighted property abatement intervention, we conducted a quasi-experimental
triple-difference analysis, also using Tobit regression models. In these models,
the independent variable of interest was the triple-difference term indicating,
for each lot-month: 1) whether the lot was a remediated lot or a control lot; 2)
whether the month was before or after the intervention date for remediated lots
and their matched control lots; and 3) the density of alcohol outlets (per
square mile) at the centroid of each lot. The first of these models included the
density of all alcohol outlets (Model 2), the second included bars only (Model
3), and the final model including off-premise alcohol outlets only (Model 4).
These models were specified as in <xref rid="FD2" ref-type="disp-formula">Equation 2</xref>. We did not include both bar density and off-premise
alcohol outlet density in the same model due to their collinearity.</p><disp-formula id="FD2"><label>(2)</label><mml:math display="block" id="M2"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Domestic</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">crime</mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Treat</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Post</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Alcohol</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>4</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Treat</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>5</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Treat</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Alcohol</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>6</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Post</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Alcohol</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>7</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Post</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Treat</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Alcohol</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>8</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Income</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mn>9</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Poverty</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">rate</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Education</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Unemployment</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">rate</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Vacancy</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>13</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">density</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>&#x003b2;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x022c5;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Entertainment</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">density</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1pt"/><mml:mi>&#x003b5;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><p id="P19">This triple-difference analytic approach is consistent with prior
literature in epidemiology and econometrics (<xref rid="R17" ref-type="bibr">Cornelissen and Sonderhof, 2009</xref>; <xref rid="R38" ref-type="bibr">Jaccard and Turrisi, 2003</xref>).</p><p id="P20">All regression models included all potential confounders described
above. We performed all data management and analysis using R (version 3.6) and
ArcMap (version 10.6).</p></sec></sec><sec id="S13"><title>Results</title><p id="P21"><xref rid="T1" ref-type="table">Table 1</xref> displays the
socio-demographic characteristics associated with remediated and control lots
included in the analysis. Overall, domestic crime density increased in these 816
lots over the study period. <xref rid="F1" ref-type="fig">Figure 1</xref> displays
the average domestic crime density for remediated and control lots over the study
period by month. Of note, in 2014, the New Orleans Police Department instituted a
new domestic violence program in response to high rates of domestic incidents, which
involved increasing the priority of domestic crime calls to decrease response time
and implementing a more in-depth investigatory checklist (<xref rid="R16" ref-type="bibr">City of New Orleans, 2014</xref>). Thus, while crime generally
increased over the study period (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al.,
2018b</xref>), some portion of the pronounced increase in domestic crime from
2014&#x02013;2017 is likely due to this change in policing protocol and improved
identification of domestic incidents. This is not expected to impact remediated vs.
control lots differentially. <xref rid="T2" ref-type="table">Table 2</xref> displays
the findings from Model 1 testing the effect of the intervention on domestic crime.
The intervention was associated with a modest increase of 0.311 domestic crime calls
per square mile (&#x003b2; = 0.311, 95% CI: 0.016, 0.605, p = 0.039).</p><p id="P22">The triple-difference analysis that included all alcohol outlets (Model 2)
showed no significant effect measure modification by alcohol outlet density
(&#x003b2; = &#x02212;0.010, 95% CI: &#x02212;0.023, 0.002, p = 0.100) (<xref rid="T2" ref-type="table">Table 2</xref>). Similarly, off-premise alcohol outlet density
(Model 4) did not modify the association between the intervention and domestic crime
(<xref rid="T2" ref-type="table">Table 2</xref>). However, the triple-difference
term for greater on-premise bar density (Model 3) was negatively associated with the
outcome (&#x003b2; = &#x02212;0.119, 95% CI: &#x02212;0.147, &#x02212;0.092,
p&#x0003c;0.001). This estimate suggests that in areas with higher bar density, the
increases in domestic crime density over time were lower in remediated lots compared
with control lots. Specifically, when the bar density in a location is one unit
(bars/square mile) larger, the association between the blighted property remediation
intervention and domestic crime density decreases by 0.119 calls/square mile. While
the magnitude of this change is modest, it demonstrates a trend that is counter to
the dramatic increases in domestic crime calls observed over the study period. <xref rid="F2" ref-type="fig">Figure 2</xref> presents a graphical display of this
finding, showing the linear combinations of coefficients from Model 3 for minimum
vs. maximum bar density (0 vs. 63.5 bars/square mile).</p></sec><sec id="S14"><title>Conclusions</title><p id="P23">We assessed the impact of a blighted property remediation and vacant lot
abatement program on the incidence of domestic crime and explored the moderating
role of the neighborhood alcohol environment. While we observed a modest positive
association between the program and domestic crime density, this aggregate impact
may not reflect important differences by the level of alcohol outlets in an area.
Findings demonstrate that bar density is a neighborhood-level factor that may modify
the effectiveness of blighted property remediation on reduction of domestic crime.
Specifically, we found evidence that the Flight the Blight program may have reduced
domestic crime in neighborhoods with higher bar density. These results support the
hypothesis that there are neighborhood-level characteristics by which the
effectiveness of neighborhood intervention in reducing domestic crime varies and
highlights the need to consider additional neighborhood contexts in specific
place-based interventions such as blighted property remediation. These findings may
also provide insight into the inconsistency of the extant literature concerning the
impact of blighted property remediation interventions on domestic crime.</p><p id="P24">Plausible mechanisms that may explain the observed associations are rooted
in social ecological theory, social disorganization theory, and assortative drinking
theory (<xref rid="R36" ref-type="bibr">Gruenewald, 2007</xref>; <xref rid="R61" ref-type="bibr">Pinchevsky and Wright, 2012</xref>; <xref rid="R78" ref-type="bibr">Voith, 2019</xref>). In neighborhoods with higher bar density,
it is possible that a greater proportion of domestic crime occurs outside the home.
Empirical evidence demonstrates that assault incidents, including calls for domestic
violence, cluster around premises licensed to serve alcohol (<xref rid="R9" ref-type="bibr">Burgess and Moffatt, 2011</xref>; <xref rid="R64" ref-type="bibr">Roman et al., 2009</xref>). Additionally, there is an emerging
research literature concerning the impact of drinking context (whether alcohol is
consumed in bars, parties, or private homes) on the nature of domestic violence
incidents (<xref rid="R23" ref-type="bibr">Cunradi et al., 2014</xref>; <xref rid="R47" ref-type="bibr">Mair et al., 2013</xref>). This pattern of domestic
crime occurring outside the home in areas with higher bar density also aligns with
the reported experiences of the New Orleans police officials with whom we have
spoken. As a result, environmental factors may have a stronger impact on this type
of outside-the-home domestic crime and thus, a neighborhood-based intervention may
provide more effective in reducing domestic crime in these areas. However, increased
domestic crime reports may in fact represent an increase in reporting rather than an
increase in underlying crime. Therefore it is also plausible that in areas with
lower bar density, removal of blighted property led to increased call volume for
domestic events, potentially through increased social control in these areas and
potential intervening or awareness on their behalf of neighbors or through increased
presence of police (<xref rid="R8" ref-type="bibr">Browning, 2002</xref>).</p><p id="P25">To our knowledge, the present analysis is the first to test for
neighborhood-level modifiers of blighted property intervention effectiveness. As a
result, more research is needed to corroborate these findings and assess if this
relationship is present in other contexts. Given that only bar density was a
significant modifier of the effectiveness of the intervention while densities of all
alcohol outlets and off-premise outlets were not, the observed finding may be
reflective of some neighborhood characteristic other than alcohol availability that
we are not capturing, such as an indication of busy streets (<xref rid="R1" ref-type="bibr">Aiyer et al., 2014</xref>). To address this and further isolate
the role of alcohol outlet density, we adjusted for population density and density
of entertainment venues and retail locations. The inclusion of these variables did
not lead to appreciable changes in our findings. Additionally, New Orleans has some
of the least restrictive liquor laws in the country (<xref rid="R46" ref-type="bibr">Lombard, 2020</xref>). Beer, wine, and liquor can be sold in grocery stores,
convenience stores, and some pharmacies, including on Sundays. While bars close at 2
a.m. statewide, in New Orleans they can stay open 24 hours. Further, in New Orleans,
it is legal to carry open street containers and purchase alcohol from drive-thru
bars.</p><p id="P26">The present study has several strengths including its novel focus on
neighborhood-level modifiers, the quasi-experimental approach, and the use of kernel
density estimation to obtain lot-specific estimates of domestic crime density and
alcohol outlet density. Additionally, the triple-difference approach is robust to
stable differences between treatment and control lots and differences between the
pre and post time periods. However, there are important limitations that should be
considered when interpreting the study findings. First, while remediated and control
lots were similar in their receipt of property ordinance citations, their
eligibility for the intervention, and the neighborhood in which they were located,
lots were not randomly allocated to the treatment or control conditions. Rather, the
City of New Orleans selected lots to remediate based on inspection and it is likely
that lots with more visible signs of neglect and overgrowth were flagged for
intervention first. Thus, it is possible that remediated lots were in worse
condition than control lots at baseline. However, the difference-in-difference
approach that we employed is robust to baseline differences between intervention and
control groups (<xref rid="R82" ref-type="bibr">Wing et al., 2018</xref>). Second,
additional blighted property remediation projects beyond the Fight the Blight
program were taking place in New Orleans during the study period and thus control
lots may have received some form of blighted property remediation. We aimed to
minimize contamination by selecting only lots that were part of the Fight the Blight
program and selecting a strict temporal period following the intervention ending in
2017, but the risk of contamination may explain the unexpected finding that the
intervention was associated with an increase in domestic crime. Third, we have
interpreted domestic crime 911 calls as reflective of underlying domestic crime.
However, it is possible that increases in domestic crime 911 calls reflect increases
in the reporting of domestic crime (either multiple calls for the same incidents or
increased calls for new incidents), rather than an increase in underlying crime.
Fourth, there was some heterogeneity in the treatment that each treated lot
received, with some lots receiving more comprehensive treatments than others. This
may have compromised the fidelity of the intervention being tested. Fifth,
validation of the remediation of treatment lots, for example through historical
images from Google Street View, could not be conducted for all lots. Finally, it is
possible that any changes in domestic crime were the result of geographic shifting
of crime rather than changes in absolute crime, which would not be captured in this
analysis. These limitations are discussed further elsewhere (<xref rid="R43" ref-type="bibr">Kondo et al., 2018b</xref>).</p><p id="P27">Historical research concerning the drivers of domestic violence has
predominantly focused on individual-level factors; however, an emerging body of
evidence has identified important ecological and environmental factors that drive
domestic violence (<xref rid="R3" ref-type="bibr">Beyer et al., 2015</xref>; <xref rid="R78" ref-type="bibr">Voith, 2019</xref>). Despite this recent shift toward
a more comprehensive ecological approach to the prevention of domestic violence,
there has been a pronounced lack of successful neighborhood-level interventions
(<xref rid="R78" ref-type="bibr">Voith, 2019</xref>). The need for scalable
preventive interventions is particularly evidenced as domestic violence rates in the
US remain generally unchanged and in some cases are increasing (<xref rid="R29" ref-type="bibr">Fridel and Fox, 2019</xref>). The present findings provide
evidence that neighborhood-level characteristics, particularly on-premise bar
density, modify the effectiveness of neighborhood-level interventions on domestic
crime reduction. This nuanced understanding of how the characteristics of a
neighborhood may shape the effect of neighborhood-level interventions on domestic
crime reduction can inform the development of targeted interventions that are
responsive to the dynamics of different neighborhoods, with the aim of increased
success in neighborhood-level prevention of domestic crime.</p></sec></body><back><ack id="S15"><title>Funding:</title><p id="P28">This study was supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health,
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development
(NIH; R01HD095609) and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF; 76131). The views
expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the NIH or RWJF.</p></ack><fn-group><fn id="FN1"><p id="P29" content-type="publisher-disclaimer">This is a PDF file of an unedited
manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers
we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will
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errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal
disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.</p></fn><fn fn-type="COI-statement" id="FN2"><p id="P30">Declarations of interest: none</p></fn></fn-group><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="R1"><mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name><surname>Aiyer</surname><given-names>SM</given-names></name>, <name><surname>Zimmerman</surname><given-names>MA</given-names></name>, <name><surname>Morrel-Samuels</surname><given-names>S</given-names></name>, <name><surname>Reischl</surname><given-names>TM</given-names></name>, <year>2014</year>
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remediated lots (n=204) and control lots (n=612), New Orleans,
2011&#x02013;2017.</p></caption><graphic xlink:href="nihms-1605128-f0001"/></fig><fig id="F2" orientation="portrait" position="float"><label>Figure 2.</label><caption><p id="P32">Linear combinations of coefficients from Model 3 (bars only) using
minimum vs. maximum bar density (0 vs. 63.5 bars/square mile)</p></caption><graphic xlink:href="nihms-1605128-f0002"/></fig><table-wrap id="T1" position="float" orientation="portrait"><label>Table 1.</label><caption><p id="P33">Socio-demographic characteristics of remediated lots and control lots as
part of the Fight the Blight program, New Orleans</p></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><colgroup span="1"><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/></colgroup><thead><tr><th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Demographic characteristic</th><th align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">All lots (N = 816)</th><th align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Remediated lots (n = 204)</th><th align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Control lots (n = 612)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Total alcohol outlet density (per
mi<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">14.9 (5.5&#x02013;32.1)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">15.3 (6.6&#x02013;32.0)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">14.9 (5.3&#x02013;33.0)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">On-premise bar density (per
mi<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">4.2 (0.0&#x02013;10.4)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">4.9 (0.2&#x02013;10.6)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">3.6 (0.0&#x02013;10.3)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Off-premise outlet density (per
mi<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">8.9 (4.5&#x02013;15.1)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">8.7 (4.8&#x02013;14.7)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">8.9 (4.4&#x02013;15.1)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Median household income ($)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">23,906 (19,617&#x02013;28,411)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">22,470 (18,633&#x02013;27,209)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">24,166 (19,727&#x02013;28,942)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Poverty (%)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">37.8 (35.0&#x02013;42.8)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">39.0 (36.2&#x02013;46.6)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">37.5 (34.3&#x02013;41.8)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Unemployed (%)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">15.3 (13.0&#x02013;17.5)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">16.4 (13.7&#x02013;18.9)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">14.9 (12.7&#x02013;17.0)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">High school diploma (%)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">30.3 (26.7&#x02013;32.4)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">30.5 (27.4&#x02013;32.3)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">30.0 (26.2&#x02013;32.4)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Vacant neighborhood properties (%)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">24.9 (22.3&#x02013;27.2)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">25.5 (23.3&#x02013;28.3)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">24.7 (22.2&#x02013;26.9)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Population density (per km<sup>2</sup>)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">3,000 (1,681&#x02013;4,356)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">2,806 (1,764&#x02013;4,132)</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">3,094 (1,620&#x02013;4,427)</td></tr></tbody></table><table-wrap-foot><fn id="TFN1"><p id="P34">Median (IQR)</p></fn></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap><table-wrap id="T2" position="float" orientation="portrait"><label>Table 2.</label><caption><p id="P35">Difference-in-difference and triple difference estimates of the impact
of the Fight the Blight program on density of domestic crime calls by alcohol
outlet density, New Orleans, 2011&#x02013;2017</p></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><colgroup span="1"><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/><col align="left" valign="middle" span="1"/></colgroup><thead><tr><th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1"/><th align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">&#x003b2; for difference- in-difference
term</th><th align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">&#x003b2; for triple-difference term</th><th align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">95% CI</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Model 1</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.311</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1"/><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">(0.016, 0.605)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Model 2: all alcohol outlets</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1"/><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">&#x02212;0.010</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">(&#x02212;0.023, 0.002)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Model 3: bars only</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1"/><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">&#x02212;0.119</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">(&#x02212;0.147, &#x02212;0.092)</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">Model 4: off-premise alcohol outlets only</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1"/><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">0.006</td><td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="1" colspan="1">(&#x02212;0.038, 0.051)</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><boxed-text id="BX1" position="float" orientation="portrait"><caption><title>Highlights</title></caption><list list-type="bullet" id="L2"><list-item><p id="P36">Urban place-based intervention was associated with small increase in
domestic crime</p></list-item><list-item><p id="P37">Bar density was a significant modifier of the association</p></list-item><list-item><p id="P38">Intervention may have reduced domestic crime in neighborhoods with
high bar density</p></list-item><list-item><p id="P39">Neighborhood context matters for effectiveness of place-based
intervention</p></list-item></list></boxed-text></floats-group></article>