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Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: Aug. 28, 2020

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    Updated Aug. 28, 2020

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases

    • This week CDC received forecasts that predict the number of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next four weeks, for the nation, states and territories, and counties. A total of 24 modeling groups submitted forecasts for one or more jurisdictions.

    • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that weekly reports of new COVID-19 cases will likely decrease over the next month, with 160,000 to 360,000 new cases reported during the week ending September 19, 2020.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts indicate that the number of new reported cases per week may decrease in 30 jurisdictions. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other jurisdictions.

    • Information about participating modeling groups, with model names, intervention assumptions, and methods, is available at https://github.com/cdcepi/COVID-19-Forecasts/blob/master/COVID-19_Forecast_Model_Descriptions.md

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.

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