Cost-effectiveness analysis of hepatocellular carcinoma screening by combinations of ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein among Alaska Native people, 1983–2012
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Cost-effectiveness analysis of hepatocellular carcinoma screening by combinations of ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein among Alaska Native people, 1983–2012

Filetype[PDF-356.71 KB]


English

Details:

  • Alternative Title:
    Int J Circumpolar Health
  • Personal Author:
  • Description:
    Background

    The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) recommends semi-annual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening using ultrasound (U.S.) in persons with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus infection at high risk for HCC such as Asian males aged ≥40 years and Asian females aged ≥50 years

    Objective

    To analyze the cost-effectiveness of 2 HCC screening methods in the Alaska Native (AN) health system: US-alone, or screening by alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) initially and switching to US for subsequent screenings if AFP >10 ng/mL (AFP→US)

    Design

    A spreadsheet-based model was developed for accounting the costs of 2 hypothetical HCC screening methods We used epidemiologic data from a cohort of 839 AN persons with CHB who were offered HCC screening by AFP/US semi-annually during 1983–2012 We assumed that compared with AFP→US, US-alone identifies 33% more tumors at an early stage (defined as a single tumor ≤5 cm or ≤3 tumors ≤3 cm in diameter) Years of life gained (YLG) attributed to screening was estimated by comparing additional years of survival among persons with early- compared with late-stage tumors Screening costs were calculated using Medicare reimbursement rates in 2012 Future screening costs and YLG were projected over a 30-year time horizon using a 3% discount rate

    Results

    The total cost of screening for the cohort by AFP→US would have been approximately $357,000 ($36,000/early-stage tumor detected) compared to $814,000 ($59,000/early-stage tumor detected) by US-alone The AFP→US method would have yielded an additional 278 YLG ($13,000/YLG) compared with 389 YLG ($21,000/YLG) for US-alone Screening by US-alone would incur an additional $114,000 per extra early-tumor detected compared with AFP→US and $41,000 per extra YLG

    Conclusions

    Although US-alone HCC screening might have yielded more YLG than AFP→US, the reduced costs of the AFP→US method could expand access to HCC screening in resource constrained settings

  • Subjects:
  • Source:
  • Pubmed ID:
    27197711
  • Pubmed Central ID:
    PMC4873562
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